The backwards vision also needs to include this fact: Josh ended the 2012 season injured. Nobody had outbid the Twins, because durability was the issue. He then had a career year, but confirmed the worries at the end. The other teams may have been happy to let a bottom-feeder team like the Twins assume the risk inherent in the contract, and then swoop in if the risk proved to be negligible. That scenario did not wind up playing out. The contract hasn't turned out to be team friendly; it's instead been approximately market-correct all in all (with some months left to go of course). You don't get much in trade, for a contract perceived to be market-correct - otherwise, the team you're trading with would have signed him in the first place.