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twins1095

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Everything posted by twins1095

  1. twins1095
    Pre-2014 - Minors 2014 - 2.14 era / 3.16 FIP 2015 - 2.63 ERA / 2.94 FIP 2016 - 2.43 ERA / 3.6 FIP (3.45 xFIP) 2017 - 10.80 ERA in 16.2 innings / 4.03 ERA in 38 innings (ballooned by 3 bad outings in which he allowed 10 runs) he had a 2.95 ERA before allowing 5 runs in his last 2 outings of the season. 2018 - 2.69 ERA /3.4 FIP 2019 (pre Twins) - 2.47 ERA in 51 innings He's largely been really good and I'd bet that he will continue to be good.
  2. twins1095
    Dyson has an entire career history of being a good reliever sandwiched around 1 year, really a month long stretch, where he absolutely lost it.
  3. twins1095
    I think he could also slot in for just about any MLB team needing a DH. He likely would need to go to a good team though. The immediate team that comes to mind that doesn't fit with the DH idea is the Mets who are looking for MLB ready players. Things in the MLB change fast though. Case in point Twins/Braves last year and this year. There will be a fit.
  4. twins1095
    Rosario + prospects can definitely be part of a package to get a good SP. You don’t think Rosario + say Gordon/SP prospect could get a good SP?
  5. twins1095
    Miguel Sano per 162 game pace: .241/.342/.895 108 runs - 34 2B - 3 3B - 49 HRs - 105 RBIs
  6. twins1095
    If there is a guy the Twins should explore trading for pitching it should be Rosario (rather than Kepler or Sano as have been suggested over the years). Rosario is just as streaky as Sano, gets on base less than Kepler/Sano (by getting himself out expanding the zone), hits for less power, is a bigger minus defensively than Sano, has the worst plate discipline, and is the oldest of the three. Good, exciting player who's got good power forsure--but if the Twins were to use one of their guys as a trade piece (especially with Larnach/Rooker/Kirilloff relatively close to the majors)...it should be Rosario.
  7. twins1095
    The Twins were so impressed by another team and GM's acquisition strategy that they took a page from the same book. That team.... the Timberwolves and Gerson Rosas.
  8. twins1095
    I have to say ultimately other than a Yates or Giles type (for which the asking price seems to be astronomical), I don't think any relievers this year would be magnitudes better than bringing in Graterol, Duran, etc. and letting them pitch an inning out of the pen. Then long-term obviously, those guys have much more value. In terms of starters, our 5 starts are solid in terms of being able to win games during the regular season. The only starter worth acquiring and giving up serious assets for would be those that would start ahead of Odorizzi and or Gibson/Pineda. Synnerguard is not happening the Mets aren't trading him to us. Other than him, the only remaining SPs that I would think of throwing in my top 3 are Bumgarner, Minor, Ray, and Lynn. I'm not really convinced Bumgarner is that much better than our options at this point in his career. I'm also not convinced that Lynn, Minor, or Ray versus no Lynn, Minor, or Ray is really that meaningful in terms of helping or hurting our World Series chances. I guess what I'm trying to say is I don't really like the cards out there and I don't want to deal some of our best cards for marginal upgrades that don't really push the needle past getting creative with internal options.
  9. twins1095
    What are MLB rules, can a player who was just traded.... be traded again? If so, that's one move I would make... Rooker/Graterol/+ for Bauer. I would probably even think about doing Graterol/Larnach.
  10. twins1095
    Juiced-ball or not want to send some recognition to Nick Gordon! He has not slowed down in the second half and his slash line is currently up to: .301 .343 .465 .808 His per 162 game pace stats are: 116 runs 68 doubles 7 triples 10 homers 95 runs batted in 34 stolen bases He may get traded, but I think he'd be a valuable addition to the big league line-up next year in a rotation with Polanco and Arraez at 2B/SS!
  11. twins1095
    I hope they make at least 1 more Romo esque bullpen move and I would not be mad if we acquire a Ross or a Minor or a Lynn and give up a similar haul to the Stroman deal. That's honestly my ideal situation in a world where Synyguard costs what he probably does.
  12. twins1095
    I could be remembering wrong, but I don’t think Buxton struggled as a hitter in the minors much before his call-up. He struggled as a major league hitter and with injuries in his minor league career, but his production when healthy spoke for itself.
  13. twins1095
    The AA team is almost must-watch TV right now with Lewis, Larnach, Kirilloff on the squad. The pitching staff would be fascinating to watch with a healthy Graterol between him and Duran. Also Jake Cave is the Mike Trout of the AAA...change my mind.
  14. twins1095
    Hey Seth/Ted/TD Writers - Thanks as always for all of the hard work you put into these daily reports. I know Jaylin Davis is not on the top 20 list that you update every day with stat lines. What are your thoughts on putting Jaylin Davis honorarily onto the group that you input the individual batting lines with as long as he continues this streak?
  15. twins1095
    Say no more...
  16. twins1095
    I think there's something to having legit above average hitters on your bench--especially with how Baldelli likes to rest guys. If all 3 are above average that's the difference between stretches of Jake Cave/Tyler Austin/etc. type players when injuries hit and during off days and legit above average MLB players. That would be huge value.
  17. twins1095
    I should probably bring this back on topic and add that it looks like Arraez has both. He hits for a high average and consistently has good ABs and is willing to draw a lot of walks. He's not a guy who prides himself in his contact skills so much that he's up there trying to swing at everything. He swings at good pitches and takes walks if the pitcher isn't willing to give him those pitches. He should be a high OBP / high average guy. His BABIP, BB %, and K % are all at the high end of his minor league averages--but not far off. His contact profile is good too--lots of line drives and a sub 10% soft contract rate. He's not going to hit .380, but I think he can definitely hit ~.300+ with a .350-.360+ OBP on a consistent basis.
  18. twins1095
    Really more about OBP than Batting Average, although to some extent there can be some correlation between the two. OBP has ticked downwards from .330-.345 MLB yearly averages in the mid 1990's to 2010 to .315-.325 from 2010 to now. The market correction should not be about guys who hit for average it should be about high OBP guys. Although, it's also true that those guys, if there is no power component with it, are complementary guys rather than cornerstones..they are multiplier players that maximize your cornerstones which is important. It is probably true that high average guys will hit for a higher OBP so in that way the market correction will be about average, but again... .270 average with a .380 OBP > .310 average .345 OBP.
  19. twins1095
    Lucky for you/us Rooker just went down with an injury last night as well! /s
  20. twins1095
    That's how you end of trading Yordan Alvarez for a Kyle Gibson type pitcher.
  21. twins1095
    I definitely do not disagree. I just think it's easier for the non-power/3 true outcomes (XBH, BB, K) guys to get left out with the changes favoring that style. It seems like Gordon has been able to keep up, at a relatively young age for AAA, and really in his first full season at AAA. I think it's promising and suggests that he could have a role in the majors with his speed and contact skills if they play.
  22. twins1095
    Not to throw rain on the parade, but his plate skills have severely regressed at AAA. He's got a tiny walk rate and a K rate near 30%. He's basically like Buxton in previous years in terms of his BB/K% profile. Further, his power numbers are buoyed off a 50+% Flyball to HR ratio and his BABIP is 40-50 points higher than at any other point in his minor league career. He doesn't hit that many flyballs, strikes out a ton, doesn't walk and his power numbers are being buoyed by an unsustainable number of flyballs going over the fence and BABIP. His AA profile is better, but everything about his AAA profile screams fluke. If we can get value for him and a team is interested, my opinion would be that we should jump at it.
  23. twins1095
    The only counter I would have in that is that a lot of that production increase is coming from all of the HRs. Gordon does not hit many HRs so he is disadvantaged compared to other hitters in terms of that production increase being reflected in statistics. Guys who are hitting a lot of HRs who didn't before might have some question marks on how much that power will translate depending on the power profile. I would think that guys succeeding with a line drive/gap type approach would translate pretty naturally compared to the other profile even with the ball changes and silly-ball offense going on down there. Might not be true, but that's the only counter I would throw out.
  24. twins1095
    For all of the flak that Nick Gordon gets for his production especially compared to other middle infielders in the system and his draft spot his production this season as a 23 year old in AAA has actually been pretty solid: Current numbers projected over 162 game sample: .291/.335/.790 124 runs - 65 2Bs - 9 3Bs - 9 HRs (81 total XBHs) - 97 RBIs - 35 SBs __________________________________________________________________________________ If he keeps this up, with the way Baldelli likes to rest players and projecting some regression for Arraez, I'd be really interested in sort of platooning Gordon and Arraez in the MLB and having the main MI rotation be Polanco/Gordon/Arraez.
  25. twins1095
    Some posters are raising concerns about the offense from a combination of too many strikeouts, lack of situational hitting, etc. I think there are some reasons why those concerns are a little bit real. However, I think the biggest thing is healthy getting fully healthy for a consistent stretch. Rosario/Cron/Buxton instead of Cave/Schoop/etc likely leads to those extra runs everyone is looking for. Benign blue to bring Marwin, Adrianza, Schoop/Arraez off the bench is also helpful.
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