Seems like for the foreseeable future (specifically 2027), they have their optimal starting rotation pretty well on the roster now. Even if Ryan gets traded before the deadline for next year they’ve got Lopez, Bradley, Prielipp, and Abel, and possibly Matthews that they’ll be hoping to have in the rotation. Possibly SWR and Ober will still be in the mix, but I certainly wouldn’t count on both. Injuries will probably happen, but they’ll have the offseason to sign replacements for any if need be. Not to mention the possibility that Rojas, Quick, and Hill could be knocking on the door by next spring or mid-summer, that a mid season sell-off brings back more solid pitching prospects, and that a pitcher at the third pick in the draft quickly goes to the front of the line.
Without a competent bullpen, they won’t be competitive even if the starters stay healthy and productive and the offense does relatively well - this year or next. So having 8+ guys that are borderline 5th starters for a year or two at most staying stretched out as “maybe we’ll need them for some spot starts” just seems preposterous.
They don’t have to switch all the guys at once, but they should have at least 1-2 in an extended trial at all times. Those that succeed or at least show some promise stick in the bullpen this year to keep developing there, those that don’t go back and can stretch back out to starting.
Morris already seems to be in the first camp. A quick list (not in any real order) that I think has a minimal chance of starting 10+ games for the Twins but could be worth a look in the bullpen seems pretty long and actually promising, and if you need 30+ starts in total this year from this group, with the current bullpen, the season’s going to be officially over well before the trade deadline.
At AAA - Adams, Klein, Lewis, Culpepper.
At AA - Armstrong, Bengard, Langenberg, Nowlin, Ryan.
Later in the season (August-September), Rojas and Gallagher could get a look after a mostly full season of starting and staying pretty well stretched out.
But out of the first nine, are any realistically thought to have a good chance of having a multi-year run (literally just two at least) as a starter, especially for a competitive team?
If not, start switching one or two at a time right now and give them the chance to work with the major league staff and figure out what they might look like in the bullpen. If 2-3 more of them pan out, with Morris and Funderburk and maybe a little more spending on free agents, you maybe have at least competence as early as next year. And maybe you actually find a Jax or Varland (or multiple). If you hit on more, maybe you even have a good bullpen by later next year.