I think if you ran the same analysis on any major league team, you would find the same hit and miss track record on their high picks. By only picking out the failures, you fail to see the picks that turned out to be quite good, given where they were picked and what the other options were around them.Scott Baker, Denard Span, Ben Revere, Aaron Hicks, Kyle Gibson(if he hadn't been picked in front of Mike Trout). And you have to consider that a great number of the picks failure was due to health reasons I saw Matt Bashore mentioned here. He, too, could not stay healthy and was eventually released. But years later, I saw him pitch for either the Sioux Falls Canaries or the team they were playing that night. He was fabulous. And not long after the Yankees signed him to a new minor league deal. He pitched quite well for them in 2012, then he was gone again. Probably injured again. As someone else said, this is a lot of times a shot in the dark. Mookie Betts was definitely a shot in the dark. And many others as well. I personally would have picked someone other than Nick Gordon or Tyler Jay. But people with far more expertise than I made those picks. And of course, they too have been felled by the injury bug.