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jkcarew

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Everything posted by jkcarew

  1. jkcarew
    Interesting...thanks for sharing. It's not much of an exaggeration to say both are twice the players they were prior to the trade. Yes, you try (emphasis on 'try') to shop Forsythe. You never know, I guess. For next year, I'd rather have Escobar. But I guess the Twins have exclusive negotiating rights with Forsythe for a few months...and he might be in the signing mood. I'm not against an 'insurance' second baseman...and Forsythe is pretty flexible, as well...can play 3rd if/when needed. And at 31, Forsythe probably has at least one more decent (relative to his standards) offensive season in him. But, I'm not sure there's reason to pull the trigger on anything until FA hits.
  2. jkcarew
    I don't think anyone has been 'joyful'...at least regarding what this means for the Twins. But, I think one can be a bit joyful for the player, separating what it means for the Twins. Wasn't Stewart's fault he was drafted 4th and offered $4 1/2 million to sign. He could have given up...the 4.5 has been in his pocket for some time. But, he's been a grinder. Maybe an unlikely grinder...but a grinder nonetheless. So, I'm happy for him. We'll see what the future holds.
  3. jkcarew
    We all would have!
  4. jkcarew
    But most of those reasons (to go somewhere other than Rodney) all existed when they originally signed him, IMO. Doesn't matter. We agree that there are many legitimate reasons to trade Rodney at this point.
  5. jkcarew
    In the last 5 years..including this disastrous season, Morrison's wRC+ is better than Joe Mauer's (lower WAR than Joe). And Morrison is 30 years old. And he can hit the ball over the fence. He's a favorite whipping boy on these threads, for obvious reasons. But he's not realistically going to be "cut". I think the Rodney trade was a bit of 'admitting mistake'...or at least changing of the minds...as nothing has really changed in the bullpen since they decided to sign Rodney (lost Pressly, May got healthy)? With guys like Morrison and other objects of our frustration (like Grossman...even Reed, etc.)...it won't be until the off-season until we get a fair view on how quickly the FO is willing 'change their minds' on guys.
  6. jkcarew
    Frustrating, though. Probably the best 5 innings Mejia has ever pitched (in the majors)...given the outstanding pitch count, which has been a bugaboo for him. Now this.
  7. jkcarew
    Scott Klingenbeck is 2 years older than Bartolo Colon. Let that sink in for a moment.
  8. jkcarew
    Agreed. It doesn't work like that. I will say the Rodney signing seems more and more strange in retrospect. If you liked him going into 2018, what don't you like about him going into 2019? Did they actually expect him to be better than he was? They shouldn't have. Seemed like a hedge signing at the time. "We'll get someone better at the deadline if we look to be serious contenders." To me, this trade is changing their mind...admitting mistakes. It's not like anyone else in the bullpen has stepped up to make Rodney redundant (at least yet). Although...I agree with the changing of the mind. Never like the signing in the first place.
  9. jkcarew
    Can't work up much of an opinion. Other than count me as one that did NOT think Rodney would fetch anything even remotely approaching a "near major-league ready" player. And he did need to be traded. So....lottery ticket.
  10. jkcarew
    otoh...Kimbrel's 4 blown saves came in 37 opportunities; Rodney's 6 in 31. So, that's actually pretty significant difference...and Kimbrel is no longer great. I know nobody wants to look at BS anymore...but the guys that blow them at a healthy clip never have the impressive underlying numbers either, as is/was the case with Rodney.
  11. jkcarew
    I'm also skeptical of the 'bad luck' theory in the case of Kepler. The data that drivelikejehu and JLease cite is just as real (and relevant) as the data called out in the article. Additionally, Max's hard-hit balls are distributed very predictably on the pull side. He's easy to defend. Having said that, he's improved on some aspects, and shows every sign of being the type of player that will continue to put in the work to continue to improve. That simple fact along with him still only in his age 25 season suggests that there will be plenty value there before it's all said and done.
  12. jkcarew
    We played that lineup...Berrios was bad...they started Kluber. And it took 9 innings to put us out of our misery!? So next year with the gaps filled in, and even an average start, we beat that team by what?...a dozen?
  13. jkcarew
    OK...since nobody bit...here's the updated 2018 line for away starts... 4.59 ERA, 1.45 WHIP, 2.38 K:BB in 64.2 IP (average start of 5.2 IP) It's not like these starts have been disproportionally against fierce offensive opponents. Apparently, it's his next hurdle on his way to becoming a true ace/stopper.
  14. jkcarew
    Optimistic. His OBP over the last 5 years is just under 360...this year it's about 350, meanwhile he's getting older. Having said that, an OBP of 340+ would still be expected to be one of the better on the team....and I don't quibble with your overall conclusion. Given the alternatives, it wouldn't kill me to see them bring Joe back for 2019. But I really want us to try to do better at that position (like several other positions) sooner rather than later.
  15. jkcarew
    Last night's home run was Rooker's first in about the last 9-10 games. But the things he needs to improve upon, keep improving. Encouraging. His on-base/walks continue to improve, and the K% continues to trend in the right direction. I agree, let's get him to AAA.
  16. jkcarew

    NERDS!

    jkcarew replied to awinter's topic in Other Baseball

    Strongly agree with the first part....I'd say it's become universal regardless of which sport/topic. The second part, though....the game will need to make changes to continue to grow, IMO.
  17. jkcarew
    Jose Berrios, RHP | 3.51 ERA, 1.05 WHIP, 4.11 K:BB in 146.0 IP Tom, thanks for not throwing Berrios's 'away' stat line in there. Gives us more hope.
  18. jkcarew
    I can't believe Joe hasn't gone to the manager and demanded to play today. Shocked.
  19. jkcarew
    Good point. I never thought of it this way. We probably have 'certain long-tenured player' on a step-count.
  20. jkcarew
    I could not care less whether we win or lose these games. The W/L's at this point are less relevant than those of the minor league teams. I'm interested in seeing the individual performances of those that are likely to be in 2019 plans. To that end, I thought a few things were noteworthy. May looked encouraging. So did Sano. Two things happened in the 9th inning Sano at-bat that almost never happen with Sano. He was both looking for the breaking ball away ahead in the count...usually only looking FB in that situation...AND he seemed to consciously try to hit it to the right side of center. To me, he needs to take advantage of the low leverage games/at-bats remaining and keep working on this stuff and not worry about the HR totals, etc....almost as if he's still in the minors. Also, Garver was awful behind the plate again. I don't care (for now)...needs to play more.
  21. jkcarew
    It took me a while. But, now I get it.
  22. jkcarew
    You’ve convinced me. But, at this stage of Joe’s career, I’d rather have the Twins look to see if they can find someone with the “Reggie Jackson style” of awesome clutchiness.
  23. jkcarew
    Well...if 'clutch' and 'choke' are so real to you... which category would Joe's 641 OPS with 1 RBI and 1 X-base hit in 44 post-season plate appearances put him in?
  24. jkcarew
    Clutch is a non-existent concept...at least in terms or regular season at-bats. Over thousands of plate appearances, the guys with high regular batting averages will have high RISP numbers, etc. Players at this level don't choke or get nervous 3 thousand plate appearances into their career. You are what you are. Joe can has been a high BA hitter in his past. We know this. My critique of Joe would not include a hypothesis that bad things happen when he swings the bat. But that he could have chosen to swing the bat more aggressively (more often) in RBI situations. But none of this is relevant for the question of whether Mauer would add (or subtract) value for 2019 and/or 2020. My opinion is...if we can do materially better...and at some point we need to do materially better...we need to do it. If we can't, then take him back, one year at a time. If he's not willing to do that, let him walk. The Twins let Killebrew walk after his second sub-100 OPS+ year....and probably should have done so after the first. Didn't hurt his legacy or relationship with the team at all. He was pure class. From all indications Mauer will probably be the same way if/when that time comes.
  25. jkcarew
    (channeling my inner Chief).... Yes. Good questions. My absolute guess would be that they will leave Lewis at SS...almost no matter what...in the minors. My speculative theory being that the cream of the athletic crop, such as Lewis, can almost immediately transition from SS to CF...but not the other way around. And that when the bat is deemed ready, if SS is not an issue with the major league club, but CF is an issue...that they would not hesitate to make that move. Said a different way....keep the development focused on SS. Then when the bat is ready,...and or you get desperate because everyone else is hurt or failing...you (theoretically) would have both defensive options open. All we're asking is that Lewis be like Robin Yount.
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