Brock Beauchamp
-
Posts
32,669 -
Joined
-
Last visited
-
Days Won
328
Content Type
Profiles
Minnesota Twins News, Rumors & Analysis
Minnesota Twins Videos
2026 Minnesota Twins Top Prospect Rankings
2022 Minnesota Twins Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses
Minnesota Twins Trade & Free Agent Rumors
Minnesota Twins Fan Guides & Resources
2023 Minnesota Twins Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses
The Minnesota Twins Players Project
2024 Minnesota Twins Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses
2025 Minnesota Twins Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses
2026 Minnesota Twins Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses
Forums
Blogs
Events
Store
Downloads
Gallery
Everything posted by Brock Beauchamp
-
The Clinton campaign appears to be playing these debates like a fiddle. Sure, you can walk away from each debate and saying "Well, Trump/Pence had a point there..." but the real effect is going to come from the media blitz. And Trump/Pence giddily walk into the trap. It's almost as if one of these campaigns has a strategy while the other is amateur hour. Oh, wait...
-
Grossman was absolutely brutal at something like -21 DRS.
-
As for outfield defense. In 2016 Sano, Grossman, and Schafer combined for -32 DRS. In 2016 Buxton, Rosario, and Kepler combined for +11 DRS. There are other problems in the infield and catcher but the outfield was atrocious last season. If that happens again in 2017, something went terribly wrong.
-
Sure. 90 losses is 72-90 on the season. Which is why I said the goal should be a win total somewhere in the mid 70s. It's a big jump but given the young talent on this team and the possibilities of trading Dozier, that's not unreasonable.
-
They were -12 in BaseRuns. Yeah, it's my belief bad teams make their own bad luck but that's a rather exceptional number. The entire pitching staff is a problem but there are solutions to shore that up in 2017. It won't be good, it probably won't even be mediocre, but it can certainly improve. The offense looks acceptable, even without Dozier. It has the potential to be quite good if a few young players step forward.
-
Where did I say they should cut corners? Young players improving directly correlates to wins. This team shouldn't be focused on wins first and foremost but they should be focused on incremental improvements across the board, which turn into wins.
-
The GOP has posted the results of the vice-presidential debate to their website: https://gop.com/who-won-the-vice-presidential-debate/
-
This post is frightening. Stop oppressing my emotions!
-
I remember many people who make decisions based on name recognition thinking the moves were good ideas. The rest of the world, maybe not so much. (one of my pet peeves is people advocating someone get a job because we recognize their name from an entirely different job... eg. Obama for the Supreme Court).
-
When you get right down to it, I don't think many of the Twins' trades and/or free agent signings have been that bad. To me, the biggest (but not only) problem is what happens when the guy gets here. Worley is terrible, then traded. Nolasco is terrible, then traded. Worley has been competent two out of three seasons since leaving the team. Magically, Nolasco became a competent pitcher again roughly five minutes after he left the team. Inversely, Santiago turned into a dumpster fire the moment he donned a Twins uniform. Hughes was a fantastic signing until they inexplicably double-downed on him after a single season. And that's not even bringing up inexplicable issues like the fact that an obvious starter in May is relieving and an obvious reliever in Duffey is starting. On the other hand, guys like Escobar have been pretty good returns on flailing talent (that, again, seemed to do pretty well for themselves in another organization). Combine that with the bizarre performances we've seen from Arcia, Buxton, Sano, Berrios, et al, and there's reason to believe the largest problem exists somewhere in coaching, not talent acquisition.
-
The bolded is why he needs a GM who buys into his platform. Day to day events, executing trades, etc. should be the General Manager's duty while Falvey works on the large-scale organizational changes. And given Antony's deadline moves, he might not be the worst GM in that kind of structured format. His trades weren't OMG TEH BEST!!!1 but he held his own when negotiating with other General Managers. Obviously Falvey would sign off on any high profile move but he doesn't have to be the guy compiling scouting reports and talking to other GMs on a daily basis.
-
Huh. Dunno how I'd feel about Bonds on the team. He was an extremely smart baseball player, so that's good. The problem is that he was also an extremely talented baseball player, which doesn't exactly translate to coaching. I'm ambivalent on it, I suppose. -
I agree that it's depressing but it's one of the weaknesses of our two party system. The country is full of partisans who will make any popular vote more closely contested than it deserves, even if one of the candidates is abhorrent. And thankfully, Clinton is trending upward. It worries me that any righting of Trump's ship will make this thing closer than it should be in a million years but at least things are going in the correct direction right now. It's the final month of this thing and major course corrections become less likely by the day. The clock is ticking on Trump and he's becoming increasingly unhinged as it happens.
-
Unsurprisingly, Trump continues to wilt once the *really* bright lights are turned on him. He's blundering this campaign in almost every way possible right now. Fivethirtyeight now gives Clinton a 72% chance of winning the election.
-
I got hit hard during the bank fallout. Really, really hard. I had just left California with plans to resettle in either Milwaukee or Minneapolis and the banks crashed literally ten days after I moved. Since that time, I've been extremely debt-wary. My wife and I could have afforded a house three times more expensive than the one we bought. I sold my car earlier this year. We paid off my wife's car three years ago. I expect to have my (cheap) house paid off entirely about ten years after we bought it (five more years to go on that). We carry zero credit card debt month-over-month (though we charge everything possible to credit cards for miles and rewards). So, yeah, I understand your point. I'm terrified of debt after getting royally screwed during the bank fallout. I was broke and unemployed for 18 months and swore that would never, ever happen to me again. Losing everything and starting over at age 32 is a bitter pill to swallow and changes one's outlook.
-
Yeah, I don't expect that 20% to continue at all, which is one of the reasons I was curious what kind of numbers others are seeing. 20% is great but the market has been generally bullish so I wanted a comparison point to know if I was way under what other people were seeing with their own investments. Also, my yearly 20% rate has been dragged down recently due to conservative investments, just like you. My recent investments have been GM for dividends, Disney (partially for dividends, partially because I think they're going to continue marching upward), and Polaris (partially for dividends, partially because their stock took a hit that I believe is temporary). Those three investments are about $7-8k of my initial $27k investment portfolio.
-
Yeah. Anyone who has gone through the pains of populating a department staff knows how hard it is to find good people who work well in your system. I'm sure Falvey has people he wants to bring on board. He'll pursue those people with vigor and integrate them into the front office... But firing people without a plan for replacement is a good way to bury yourself in a deeper hole, at least in the short-term. Firing a mediocre employee means you need to go find a good employee to see an actual gain in performance. And you have to integrate and train that person into both the established system and the new system you want to put in place. That takes time. Lots of time. For every hire you make. Never mind the fact that Falvey, by writing a slew of pink slips on day one, might be firing some pretty damned good employees; people he'll end up replacing with mediocre employees, which means he's working against himself. He'll spend a bunch of time training someone who will ultimately be worse than the person he canned. So, yeah. Patience. It's a bitch.
-
Overall, I agree with everything in the article except the last paragraph. Reusse is taking a tempered approach and I commend him for that. We need to give this guy some space to do what needs to be done, as hard as that is in the short-term. But this line didn't really sit with me: "The Twins will be fortunate if the quote from Falvey’s front office next fall is, “We were just trying to get organized and we made it to fourth place in the division.’’ I don't buy it. That's setting expectations a bit too low, in my opinion. Overhauling this pitching staff in a single offseason is going to be a monumental task but this Twins offense is too good to finish fourth place. The goal should be mid 70s wins. Yes, that's a huge jump but not an entirely unreasonable expectation. Buxton surged at the end of the season. Polanco looks like a solid piece. Kepler will likely have growing pains but should hold his own out there. Sano should be primed for a bounce back season. Berrios is the wild card right now but if he can turn into an average pitcher, that's a 5 WAR swing in itself. And that's not even bringing up Dozier. He's either with the team and posts 4-ish WAR or he's flipped for a guy who can help the team in 2017. At least that's what I want to see. Pick up a smattering of competent bullpen pieces and this team should go from horrible to just bad.
-
Yep. I understand it's really hard to show patience when a team is this horrible. What frustrates me the most is seeing some posters who have been with us for up to ten years making the same impatient mistakes with prospect after prospect after prospect... Showing concern is fine. Buxton's swing and general approach was a real cause for concern and gave substance to talk about exactly what it was this coaching staff was doing with its players. On the other hand, Sano was a beast in his rookie year. Kepler was a beast for a couple of months before tailing off as pitchers adjusted to him (a common cycle among young players). Polanco was solid across the board, though he tailed off a bit in the last month of the season (but still had an OPS over .700). So I'm not sure it's entirely on the coaching staff, either. It's hard to glean real information or trends when we're dealing with a handful of data points, where one guy's success/failure can skew the entire outlook.
-
If people don't mind sharing this information, what kind of gains do you see on a yearly basis? I've been investing for about 3 1/2 years. I invest $6-8k per year for a total of $27k. On that money, I'm currently at 42% overall gains, or just over $11k. This doesn't include dividends, which amount to maybe an additional $1k during that time but it was reinvested so I don't want to count the money twice. I've hit big on some stocks, had a few recent investments remain mostly neutral, and lost a few hundred on a couple. I'm quite happy with that number, as it adjusts to something around a 20% yearly gain once you factor in the gradual rate of investment. What kind of numbers are all of you seeing? I'm curious if I should stay the course or explore different approaches.
-
Man, I really didn't see this coming. I loved the first episode of Luke Cage, really dug the second as well. But my interest dropped and I'm stalled out after episode three. Once the story moved away from its character-driven interactions and into (yet another) mob warfare story, I found myself saying "meh" a lot and picking up my phone while the show was playing. Obviously, I'll finish the series but I'm no longer in a rush to do so.
-
Stop What You Are Doing And Watch Byron Buxton
Brock Beauchamp replied to Parker Hageman's topic in Minnesota Twins Talk
Yeah, it's frustrating. But man, I don't know what to make of it. Last year, Sano was a beast. Buxton was a flop. This year, Sano was streaky and underwhelming. Buxton was a flop until he turned into a monster. What does this mean? Dunno, check back next year. -
I don't buy this at all. Baseball, like all other sports, continues to become more complex, leading to more positions within one organization. The PBO and GM can and should have different roles. One is an strategist, the other implements the strategy. There's a reason why more franchises adopt this model by the year. Do we really want the person in charge negotiating contracts, taking weekly interviews, and acquiring/releasing MiLB organizational filler? Or do we want that person implementing analytics, scouting, and development strategies on a large scale?
-
Nice! Now on to the GM search! What are odds he'll keep Antony for a year? 25%? And I won't hate that move. I won't really like it but I understand that continuity is important in the short-term. If Falvey goes into the org and says "I need to revamp minors development, analytics, and scouting", it makes sense if he doesn't want to replace the GM until he's able to dig into whatever he feels is the highest priority this offseason. He can't fix everything in three months.
-
Byron Buxton Appreciation Thread
Brock Beauchamp replied to John Kelsey's topic in Minnesota Twins Talk
It's a great stat line. However, we cannot rely on those XBH numbers going forward. That's a 50 HR season pace. Buxton still has a lot of work to do. Of all things, I'm most excited about his 10 BB in his final 113 plate appearances. That's a good building block from which to start. He also had a .370 BABIP in the final month of the season. We can't expect that going forward but given his speed, something in the .330-.340 range might be a reasonable expectation if he continues roping the ball. To open the 2017 season, I'd be happy if Buxton comes out of the gate with an OPS around .750 with a goal of approaching .800 as the season progresses. If he can reach .800, he's probably a 5 WAR player with that defense in center. He doesn't have to post gaudy offensive numbers to be the kind of player you build a team around, at least for the first few years. Ultimately, you want that bat to become an .800+ OPS fixture in the lineup once his defense begins to fade but we're still 3-4 years from the guy's prime. Lots of time.
