Jump to content
Twins Daily
  • Create Account

Brock Beauchamp

Site Manager
  • Posts

    32,669
  • Joined

  • Last visited

  • Days Won

    328

 Content Type 

Profiles

Minnesota Twins News, Rumors & Analysis

Minnesota Twins Videos

2026 Minnesota Twins Top Prospect Rankings

2022 Minnesota Twins Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses

Minnesota Twins Trade & Free Agent Rumors

Minnesota Twins Fan Guides & Resources

2023 Minnesota Twins Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses

The Minnesota Twins Players Project

2024 Minnesota Twins Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses

2025 Minnesota Twins Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses

2026 Minnesota Twins Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses

Forums

Blogs

Events

Store

Downloads

Gallery

Everything posted by Brock Beauchamp

  1. I consider this a very good thing. It shows that the front office and coaching staff realize 2017 Phil Hughes is not 2014 Phil Hughes and are making proactive decisions to keep him in the rotation. Maybe it works, maybe it doesn't... but that's the kind of move we didn't see from 2011-2014. Simply acknowledging that a 90mph Phil Hughes cannot be the same pitcher as 2014 Phil Hughes is a breath of fresh air. Maybe it shouldn't be but after watching this team toil away, trying the same things over and over and failing in the process, it's refreshing.
  2. He had a 1.2 HR/9 from 2005-2014 and a 1.0 HR/9 as a Twin. But there's no discernible HR split between home and away so Target Field isn't responsible for the drop in home runs.
  3. As a Twin, .285 BABIP. In his career, .285 BABIP.
  4. Yes, we all know Santana was an established veteran when he came to the Twins but the guy has become a much better pitcher since joining the team. 2005-2014: 229 games, 99 ERA+, 4.26 FIP, 2.8 BB/9, 7.2 K/9 2015-2017: 49 games, 119 ERA+, 3.94 FIP, 2.8 BB/9, 7.1 K/9 What, if anything, has changed about this guy? Other than the actual runs allowed, his peripherals look close enough to be irrelevant. But he's been playing in front of some pretty questionable defensive alignments and has posted drastically better runs allowed numbers since becoming a Twin. Normally, I'd say "eh, whatever, stat noise" but we're talking about close to 1 2/3rds seasons now and he's picking up 2017 where he left off in 2016. What gives?
  5. We're not in disagreement about that. I was speaking specifically about Mejia, not Mejia in context of the rest of the staff.
  6. It's possible they pull off a top five offense but some serious voodoo is required for this pitching staff to stay middle of the pack as it's currently constructed. The way I see it, the Twins need significant contributions from several pitchers to be middle of the pack: Berrios, Mejia, Duffey, Jay, Chargois, Melotakis. If three of those guys contribute at league average or better rates for a good portion of the season, this pitching staff may be able to pull off a middle of the pack ranking. As the staff stands now, not so much. 60% of their current rotation - Hughes, Gibson, Santiago - have a ceiling of "middle of the pack" while Santana isn't significantly higher than that. While I'm at it, Mejia's ceiling is probably middle of the pack, too.
  7. I agree that if this team has an above .500 season, Berrios will need to be a significant contributor. I'd toss one or more of Jay, Chargois, and Melotakis in there as well. This team is currently playing over its head. If they're going to continue playing good baseball, they'll need to patch some holes along the way. As for Mejia, I give him no fewer than 4-5 starts before I consider pulling him from the rotation. That would only get him through April anyway.
  8. Derp. Whoops. Yeah, okay, six games. Was counting wins, not games.
  9. I still wouldn't be a "believer" so much as I'd think "teams that finish April 6-10 games above .500 always have a shot at the playoffs". Is this a better team than 2015? Yeah, maybe... but it's unlikely they'll get as lucky as the 2015 squad. So, in the end, I think this team's ceiling is mediocrity but a hot/lucky start could be enough to keep a marginal squad in the hunt through August and maybe even September. It would require a feat of magic to keep this team in front of Cleveland, IMO.
  10. While I haven't been there in years, White Sox Interactive was always good for a laugh. The sheer amount of hysteria and teeth-gnashing is truly a spectacle to behold. http://www.whitesoxinteractive.com/vbulletin/
  11. No, I don't think they can do that. I've enjoyed the first five games of the season but I'm only going to nudge my 73 win preseason prediction a game or two. I'd put them around 75 wins this season now. Which is great. I hope they continue playing good baseball through April, which will make the inevitable slumps more palatable.
  12. In a perfect world, you want a closer that can both avoid home runs and strike people out. The Twins don't have that guy. In that situation, may as well go with Kintzler, IMO. That way you can use the strikeout guys in a more flexible fashion. Kintzler almost always enters the game with no one on base and only needs to retire three batters to end the game. He will also enter the game with a one run lead a decent portion of the time. In that situation, I might prefer the groundball, homer-averse pitcher over the guy who misses bats.
  13. Sano isn't getting in his own way right now, which is close to a best-case scenario in my eyes.
  14. The Twins are at 8.5% of their 2016 win total after playing only 3.7% of the season.
  15. From my understanding of framing - which is more abstract, as I was never a catcher - this is just about the perfect example of framing. https://streamable.com/izvec Castro sets up on the far edge of the plate. As the pitch is delivered, he smoothly moves his glove outside the zone. As the pitch is tailing back in toward the batter, he - again, smoothly - begins moving his glove back toward the zone. Castro is positioned perfectly and it appears he's receiving exactly the pitch he called. The pitch tails to the black. At that point, it's anyone's guess whether it's a strike or ball. But because Castro is moving his glove toward the zone, where the ump sees the glove stop is well within the strike zone. Strike. Was that pitch a strike? Ooh boy, dunno. It's a borderline call for sure... But Castro, through his receiving, made it nearly a guaranteed strike.
  16. I didn't view the article as a 1:1 trade of strike/ball calls. Yes, the ump had a relatively consistent strike zone but I believe the point of the article - at least the way I read it - was to illustrate the difference in receiving styles. Perez was all over the place, giving away potential strike calls by jerking his glove at the last moment. Castro, on the other hand, was smoothly receiving the ball and giving the ump a good look at the pitch. Sometimes, that will still net the catcher an undesirable call from the umpire... But a few times a game, the ump will see that smooth receipt of the pitch and give the catcher a strike call. Again, it only happens a few times a game. Framing isn't about "tricking" the umpire and it's far from 100% consistent. All the catcher can do is give the umpire the best look possible, avoid jerky transitions, and try to get that strike call a few additional times per game.
  17. A lot to tackle here so I'll start with this statement. Framing isn't about adding tens of strikes per game. The difference between the best and worst receiver tops out around 4-ish calls per game (going from memory here so I could be off a call or two). Most of the time, the difference will be a couple of calls, no more. But that's immensely valuable. Imagine going 1-2 on a batter instead of 2-1. If you do that just once a game, your likelihood of getting that guy out raises quite a bit. Do that twice and you've given your team a better chance at winning the game. At that point, the catcher has made a substantive contribution to recording two outs simply through receiving the ball cleanly.
  18. Dunno, a closer who keeps the ball on the ground is highly valuable for two reasons: 1. Home runs kill closers 2. It's harder to string together runs on ground balls
  19. While I agree, Molitor said the decision was made because he didn't want Santana going over 100 pitches in his second start.
  20. I'm a fan of rolling Kintzler out there for the ninth every time in a save situation. He profiles as the type of guy who can hold his own in a bases empty, three outs, hold a lead situation. I'd prefer to save the better relievers for higher pressure situations with guys on base, when you need a pitcher who can miss bats. A mediocre reliever can hold a two run lead for an inning 80+% of the time. That's all the team needs from Kintzler.
  21. We're only six games into the season but Castro is making Falvey and Levine look like geniuses thus far.
  22. Tie game or one run game in the eighth or ninth. Past that, I'm against it 95%+ of the time.
  23. You're assuming that the RISP incompetence - which has lasted all of three games - will continue. You're also ignoring how the Twins were quite good with RISP in the first two games of the season. So we're at two good RISP games, three bad RISP games. Hardly a trend to be found there.
  24. In case I wasn't clear, I'm against bunting unless it's an attempt to reach base safely.
  25. Nooooooooo. It's the sixth game of the season and the Twins are 4-1. Bunting leaves runs on the table, not the other way around.
×
×
  • Create New...