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Brock Beauchamp

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Everything posted by Brock Beauchamp

  1. Brock Beauchamp
    I generally agree and I think the front office is smart enough to ignore the Verducci Effect... but that doesn't mean young pitchers without a lot of miles can jump straight into a full MLB season. There's a pretty good chance he wears down under the stress of a 200 IP pace as a 23 year old who has pitched only 215 innings over the past two seasons combined. I hope it doesn't happen but there's a solid chance it does.
  2. Brock Beauchamp
    Actually, Berrios is a really good comp. They were roughly the same age, same handedness, and Jose was actually a much more highly regarded prospect, climbing all the way to the top 20 on a few lists. Berrios also climbed through the minors without a single injury or stumble along the way. The same can't be said for Romero. But Romero literally couldn't have been promoted more quickly without the team looking desperate and irrational. 2015: Didn't pitch. 2016: 90 IP. 2017: 125 IP. 2018: The mighty snow-filled April of 2018 meant the Twins didn't need a fifth starter until April 22nd. Romero made his first start on May 2nd.
  3. Brock Beauchamp
    It's way too early to throw away Lynn. He had one terrible month. We'll see how he looks in May.
  4. Brock Beauchamp
    I suspect the reason Mauer hasn't been leading off is pretty simple: Brian Dozier. Dozier has said multiple times how much he likes leading off. Now, as a manager I would have pushed harder to convince Brian he's more productive further down the lineup but if a team leader and veteran is dead-set on doing something that doesn't really hurt the team that much (but isn't optimal), I don't know whether that's the hill you die upon as the skipper of an MLB club.
  5. Brock Beauchamp
    No, 2020. If Romero is legit and the Twins get back a healthy May, this offseason should be very interesting. They'll have four pitchers with one remaining year of control: Gibson, Odorizzi, Santana, and May. None of them will bring back a king's ransom but we may be looking at the Twins dishing off some starting pitching this offseason, as weird as that is to say.
  6. Brock Beauchamp
    If the movement and command we're seeing is legit, he doesn't need a third pitch right now. He'll get by on sheer power and movement at the MLB level. Of course, if he develops a more adequate third pitch, he could be an even better pitcher... but hopefully he can work on refining that change at the MLB level and during the offseason. I wonder what the Twins plan to do with him if he sticks at the MLB level, which is sure as hell looks like he's going to do. The guy doesn't have many MiLB innings and only logged 125 IP last season.
  7. Brock Beauchamp
    Romero has pitched all of 324 MiLB innings. By comparison, Berrios pitched ~230 innings in AAA alone. It's pretty hard to make the argument the Twins waited too long on Romero.
  8. Brock Beauchamp
    Holy crap, it is. I... just... wow.
  9. Brock Beauchamp
    Yeah. Given that the Twins play a night/day series, no catcher is going to start both games. It makes sense to give the rookie the more established battery mate.
  10. Brock Beauchamp
    Somehow, the Twins have been shut out only once this season but have shut out the opposition four times.
  11. Brock Beauchamp
    Well played.
  12. Brock Beauchamp
    Ugh, just forget it.
  13. Brock Beauchamp
    ”Mostly the good half”, Mike. And this rotation just got a hell of a lot younger. I don’t even understand why you’re pressing this issue. I wasn’t speaking solely about this season and that was pretty clear from the conversation you quoted. The Twins have a good, young core. I don’t really care if fungible assets like Rodney are 103 years old. He’s gone after this season anyway.
  14. Brock Beauchamp
    Yep. There are some really awful combos out there.
  15. Brock Beauchamp
    That's not a strawman, Mike. You said the Twins aren't that young and I responded saying that most of the important players are quite young. Literally half this lineup is 26 or younger... and it's mostly the good half of the lineup. It'd be even younger if not for the Polanco suspension.
  16. Brock Beauchamp
    Fair enough. The more games played, the more likely the better team is to be the last one standing. But in a one game playoff, damned near anything can happen and often does.
  17. Brock Beauchamp
    Eh, average age isn't everything. If the Twins are going to win big, they're going to do it on the backs of their young players, almost all of which are 26 or younger. No one really cares about the age of Ryan Lamarre but he counts the same as Jose Berrios.
  18. Brock Beauchamp
    The ump is giving Romero a really wide zone but holy ****, that guy's pitches are FILTHY.
  19. Brock Beauchamp
    I'm not one to fondly view the past through rose-colored glasses but strikeouts are boring. Walks aren't as boring as strikeouts but they're certainly more boring than hits. Pitching changes are boring. Four hour games that aren't back-and-forth struggles are boring. Station-to-station running is boring. Baseball is a spectator sport and the most boring aspects of the game continue to gain importance. It's not good.
  20. Brock Beauchamp
    I agree they're not on the level of those teams but things can change in a hurry when a huge portion of your roster is 26 or under and you have the likes of Gonsalves, Thorpe, Romero, et al in the upper minors. Maybe the Twins need another piece to improve the team. Maybe they don't... but teams rarely catapult from 58 wins to league powerhouse in two seasons. It's a slow and steady fight to get where the Twins want to be in the near future. And when that time comes, I hope they're ready to make the moves the previous front office refused to make.
  21. Brock Beauchamp
    The fielder screwed up by not even looking at Mauer but Joe put the third baseman in a really bad situation there. The fielder had two options: 1. Chase Joe and maybe get the out (we'll say a breakeven chance of that play going either way). 2. Go to first and allow the run to score. Obviously, the fielder needs to prevent the run in that situation but Joe was standing exactly where he needed to be to make a really difficult decision for the fielder. I don't know if Joe did it intentionally, but it gave the fielder some pretty lousy options in that situation.
  22. Brock Beauchamp
    I agree the postseason shouldn't be the ultimate goal every season (just one goal of several). But no one is making the argument "just get to the postseason", are they? I haven't seen anyone arguing the Twins should stand pat or that their goal is to reach the Wild Card game. I'm certainly not making that argument. In fact, I recently said I'll be immensely disappointed if the Twins back into the Wild Card game by beating up on a weak division, not by being a legitimately good team.
  23. Brock Beauchamp
    You just moved the goalposts to an entirely different stadium. I'm talking about one game and/or one series, not the required 11+ wins needed to win the World Series (which will take even the most dominant postseason team 15+ overall games). The more games you add to baseball, the more often you'll see the best team emerge on top. That's why they play 162 games and not 50.
  24. Brock Beauchamp
    We're talking past each other a bit here. I have repeatedly and intentionally used the phrase "close to a coin flip", not "a coin flip". Given the two teams' rosters, home field, and win-loss record, the Yankees had an advantage. But what was that advantage? 55%/45%? 60%/40%? That's pretty damned close to a coin flip. Unlike the NBA or NFL where you can pretty accurately predict a win because the odds can go as high as 80%/20% or even 90%/10% in extreme situations, a single baseball game is pretty close to a coin flip.
  25. Brock Beauchamp
    And the Twins had all the momentum through the first half inning of the game. And then the entire team melted down. That game probably hinged on a couple of pitches that the Twins' two best pitchers didn't execute, pitchers who had some of their worst starts of the entire season in that one game. Inversely, the Yankees' best pitcher melted down. With two teams who both won 85-90 games, any single game is going to be close to a coin flip because baseball, on a single game basis, is crazy-unpredictable. The Yankees were favored because they were the better team but I bet there were loads of bookies crapping their pants after Severino was yanked after getting all of one out. If the baseball postseason wasn't that unpredictable, you wouldn't see the two best starters on one team melt down at the same time the best starter on the opposing team is also melting down. That game was the Wild West and either team could have won after that first inning. Except the Twins continued to melt down while the Yankees righted the ship. The inverse could have just as easily been true.
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