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Brock Beauchamp

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Everything posted by Brock Beauchamp

  1. Brock Beauchamp
    It's not only the juiced ball. Anyone over 40 remembers what the back of lineups looked like in the 70s and 80s. They were pathetic. It was an era when Mario Mendoza received ~1500 PAs and hit for a 41 OPS+ because reasons. It's also part of the reason why pitchers no longer go eight innings a start. It was a lot easier to go through a lineup four times when 33% of the opposing lineup couldn't hit their way out of a paper bag. Just lob an 86mph fastball over the plate and let your defense do the work for you.
  2. Brock Beauchamp
    What party affiliation is Steve King again? I forget.
  3. Brock Beauchamp
    In no way have I even implied such a thing.
  4. Brock Beauchamp
    This is pretty much my opinion in a nutshell. Sano is a very good hitter but with that pitch recognition and contact ability, I suspect he's at or close to his ceiling. Tweak that pitch recognition just a little and he could become something really special while still striking out a ton (just not as much as today).
  5. Brock Beauchamp
    Amazon Prime is streaming the Worricker trilogy and the cast is crazy-good: Bill Nighy Rachel Weisz Ralph Fiennes Christopher Walken Winona Ryder Helena Bonham Carter Felicity Jones Michael Gambon
  6. Brock Beauchamp
    Here's a weird stat for the day: The Minnesota Twins have played more games against teams over .500 (25) than the New York Yankees (22).
  7. Brock Beauchamp
    You keep using the word "magically" as if it's impossible for a player to improve his pitch recognition and ability to lay off breaking balls. A few years back, I said Eddie Rosario simply needs to lay off swinging at the worst 3-4% of pitches thrown to him and he'd be an above average player. I remember outright ridicule from some posters, saying that such a small change would barely make a dent in his numbers. Well... Outside Zone Swing Rate: 2016: 41.7% 2017: 37.6% OPS: 2016: .716 2017: .836 Small changes can reap huge rewards in this game, particularly when it comes to pitch selection and contact. Better selection means more pitches seen, which forces pitchers to throw more pitches in the zone. More pitches in the zone means more and better contact. It's a waterfall effect; small changes over thousands of pitches seen add up to more hits, more walks, and higher slugging. I'm not asking for Sano to "magically" become a different player, I'm saying he needs to work on a few small adjustments to become a better version of the player he is today, just as Rosario is not suddenly Joe Mauer just because he stopped swinging at pitches three feet out of the zone.
  8. Brock Beauchamp
    538 have him a 30% chance of victory, sure... but the way he got there was bonkers. The polling overall was mostly correct (Clinton by 3-ish points) but the razor-thin margins happened to bounce in Trump’s favor across three vital states all at the same time. Again, 75,000 people were the difference between a Clinton and Trump presidency. Now that Trump is the incumbent, I have a feeling he’s on a bit more secure ground but it’s still hard to call him the favorite unless something big happens.
  9. Brock Beauchamp
    Tell that to Eddie Rosario and Byron Buxton, two guys that have trimmed their K rates by over 10% and seen their productivity shoot through the roof as a result (and I'm not even asking for that large of an improvement from Sano, just a mild improvement on those abysmal K and contact rates).
  10. Brock Beauchamp
    I don't know why so many people have a hard time calling out Sano's atrocious contact rate while also accepting that he will strike out quite a bit. But the difference between a 38% K rate and a 32% K rate would go a looooooong way with the guy. No one should want him to turn into Astudillo but there's certainly room for improvement in his approach. Last night was a perfect example of how his approach nearly cost the team a victory. The pitcher didn't throw him a fastball because he didn't have to... thankfully, the pitcher lost control of a pitch and the winning run scored without Sano needing to do anything.
  11. Brock Beauchamp
    While I won't rule out a Trump victory in 2020, people are really underestimating the perfect storm of EC buffoonery it required to get him elected in 2016. The guy won Michigan by .23%, Pennsylvania by .72%, and Wisconsin by .77%. That's 46 electoral votes decided by a combined total of ~75,000 votes. That's a few thousand more people than the population of St Cloud.
  12. Brock Beauchamp
    If you're worried about October, why are you also so concerned about singular games in June? I want bullpen additions, and good ones... but I'm not going to fret over Baldelli's EXCELLENT usage of relievers over the past month plus. In cast you haven't noticed, the team has to play roughly 100 games between now and October. Maybe conservation and rest is... a... good thing?
  13. Brock Beauchamp
    See, I only want a reliever brought in based on leverage, matchups, and general health of the roster. If May is that guy on August 18th, I want him brought in for the ninth inning.
  14. Brock Beauchamp
    What's the difference between two dinks and two line drives? Luck, and baseball. This is a game that you can do right 90% of the time and still succeed just 30% of the time. There's a reason why almost every successful front office relies heavily on analytics for everything they do.
  15. Brock Beauchamp
    May isn't the back of the bullpen so it's a moot point. Can the Twins improve? Absolutely, and I want them to do so ASAP. But Trevor May is not the problem, as he's a decent middle of the bullpen arm. On the other side of that coin, I don't want to see the team pick up a "dedicated closer". What a waste of effing time. This team has lost either zero or one games after the eighth inning, I can't remember. The "closer" isn't the problem. And I appreciate the hell out of Baldelli using a guy like May on a random Tuesday in June. That's something I want to see continue throughout the season. Pick up one or two good relievers, yes... but if one is strictly relegated to a closer role, my eyes will roll out of my head, as it defeats so much of what has made this team great through 60+ games.
  16. Brock Beauchamp
    We don't disagree that May fell apart against Encarnacion. But I just re-watched the inning. Vogelbach didn't get a good swing. He looked at a pitch and then weakly popped out to the back of the infield. Seager didn't get good swings, he literally contacted with three pitches: one that made him fall to his knee, another that was weakly popped behind him to the stands, and another that barely made it to the outfield as a pop-out. This is a good example of how tension over a few pretty routine singles can effect an entire inning. I'm glad Baldelli doesn't let that kind of nonsense influence him. We were all so stressed out (me included) over those two singles (seriously, IT'S BASEBALL! singles happen) that we missed how May actually did okay for himself outside of being rattled during the Encarnacion plate appearance (no excuses for that, but he managed to get through it).
  17. Brock Beauchamp
    Seriously? Two dinks barely over Polanco's head (one from a lefty) are "solid"? And Seager got "good swings"? Surely you mean that one "good" swing where he fell to his knee and fouled the ball off his own body. Great swing, good form. Or maybe you mean the time he fought off a ball on his hands and sent it about 50 feet into the stands. And Vogelbach is such a great hitter that he outshines Sano, right? And you surely back Sano for "getting a good swing" on plate appearances where he ends up popping out weakly to left. Because that's just bad luck for Sano. BTW, the mighty Vogelbach took one pitch looking and then weakly popped out, FTR.
  18. Brock Beauchamp
    I think we should all take a deep breath and look at what May did tonight. Keep in mind that he was facing the top of the Mariners lineup, from leadoff onward. He got up 0-2 on the first batter. He faltered while trying to get a swing and miss with three bad balls. A pretty weak single ensued. The second batter weakly singled on the first pitch. What has he actually done wrong here? In baseball terms, basically nothing. This is how baseball works sometimes. Now, the actual problem arises with the Encarnacion plate appearance. May pitched away, away, away, with a dabbling of high heat. You can tell this is where Trevor was out of sorts, throwing some pretty bad pitches because he's rattled after two lazy singles. Thankfully, he lucked out and got the called third strike. After that, it was two lazy pop-ups. So tell me exactly how badly Trevor May pitched again.
  19. Brock Beauchamp
    He gave up two singles. That happens. He was pretty shaky against Encarnacion and got straight-up lucky with that third strike. But outside that Encarnacion plate appearance, he was just fine. We're all riled up because of those two singles but guess what? Singles happen in baseball. No ball was drilled against May and he made a couple of hitters weakly pop up.
  20. Brock Beauchamp
    It was actually the best kind of pitching management. Yes, it was scary and hair-raising... but they won. Using their third or fourth best reliever. Which means that Rogers gets another day of rest. And if you have a really short bullpen, you try to give your front 2-3 guys as much rest as possible. Molitor did the opposite and we all saw how that panned out through the dog days. Of course, I doubt Baldelli expected May to get rattled out there after giving up two singles. But that's all he did... give up two singles.
  21. Brock Beauchamp
    Actually, I suspect that when it comes to in-game decisions, Baldelli isn't doing a lot of worrying. He's playing by the numbers. And he's smart enough to realize that even if you lose tonight, playing by the numbers wins in the long run.
  22. Brock Beauchamp
    Hey kids, this win was a bit frustrating and weird, but... THIS TEAM IS VERY GOOD
  23. Brock Beauchamp
    Did Kimbrel save a game for the Cubs tonight and I missed it?
  24. Brock Beauchamp
    Castro stole that same pitch earlier in the inning. I think that was as much Castro stealing it as Vogelback missing it.
  25. Brock Beauchamp
    Holy ****, Castro ****ing stole one right there.
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