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Brock Beauchamp

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Everything posted by Brock Beauchamp

  1. Brock Beauchamp
    Win the division to avoid the Yankees for at least a few games. It's not that I'm against facing the Yankees as much as I'd rather face a weakened Astros squad. Bonus points if Cleveland catches Chicago, as I'd much rather face the White Sox over Cleveland should the Twins end up as the second seed. Between the Astros and White Sox, I don't much care... but I consider both to be rather inferior to the rest of the field minus the Blue Jays, which would require improbable odds for the Twins to face them in a three game set. Blue Jays
  2. Brock Beauchamp
    LOL Miggy with six RBI. But a win is a win.
  3. Brock Beauchamp
    Sano’s foot was on the bag so it was a force play. All Miguel had to do was control the ball for a moment and the runner is out.
  4. Brock Beauchamp
    Jeffers sure has an interesting throw from his knees with one hop. The hop surely slows the ball but his release seems very quick.
  5. Brock Beauchamp
    I'd go Maeda, Berrios, Pineda, Odorizzi. Hill throws on the side, Bailey doesn't factor into my decision at all.
  6. Brock Beauchamp
    Garver’s value is down considerably this year and Jeffers needs more seasoning. Keep them both and reevaluate 13 months from now.
  7. Brock Beauchamp
    This is completely false. Johan's best pitch - far and away his best pitch - was his changeup, which he learned in the high minors from Bobby Cuellar. If Johan was so developed at age 20, why did he have such a bad ERA in the minors and why was he exposed to the Rule V draft at all?
  8. Brock Beauchamp
    No, the downside of Dobnak is that he allows weak contact and still gives up eight hits and four runs in 5 IP. It's the nature of a contact-heavy pitcher. Some days, you'll be dominant. Other days, you'll do nothing wrong and get knocked around because the baseball gods don't like you that day. There's a reason why baseball prioritizes missing bats in pitchers. They are more reliable and less prone to fluctuation by getting BABIPed in any single performance. I'm not bashing Dobnak, he has a place on this roster next year and I hope he does well... but I have little to no confidence in him in a single game performance.
  9. Brock Beauchamp
    Yikes, this analysis is ESPN-grade superficial nonsense that uses a bunch of words to say very little.
  10. Brock Beauchamp
    My problem is that private interests have had to work around and against politicians and pundits to get where we are today. That in itself means we're constantly facing more sickness and death than is necessary, as mindspace and opinion is being wasted by arguing with experts in this field and it's usually being argued by the least qualified among us to debate these points (and, as such, the points are rarely debated honestly).
  11. Brock Beauchamp
    I don't agree with this at all. First, Maeda is probably second in line for the Cy Young this season, Bieber has just been incredible and on a different level than everyone else. Second, Maeda has far more experience and success in the postseason, though most of it in relief (not really his fault, though). In 32.2 IP, he has a 3.31 ERA, including 8.2 very good World Series innings. If anything, I worry about Berrios a lot more than I do Maeda.
  12. Brock Beauchamp
    Jeffers is viewed as the best defensive catcher in the entire organization so your untrained eye is mostly correct. As for who catches the bulk of the remaining games, I believe Garver needs the reps the most. He has the most immediate upside at the plate and needs to be as comfortable as possible heading into the postseason. I'd use Jeffers as the backup and probably bench Avila for the rest of the season and use only in a "break glass in case of emergency" situation. As nice as it'd be to win out every game in the regular season, having a healthy, good, and in-the-groove roster in the postseason means a lot more.
  13. Brock Beauchamp
    Yeah, that B-Ref percentage seems way too high. FG is pretty close to where I'd expect it to be, though I expected more in the 6-8% range eyeballing it.
  14. Brock Beauchamp
    I agree, to an extent. But where I find a lot of national coverage superficial, I often find ESPN’s commentary just plain dumb.
  15. Brock Beauchamp
    To be completely clear, I don't really care whether the Twins get national TV time, especially on ESPN. I've come to dislike pretty much everything about ESPN over the years. While I can't speak definitively on their coverage of other sports, their baseball commentary is almost 100% cheap, lazy, bad takes that barely skim the surface of the sport.
  16. Brock Beauchamp
    Eh, it's still an oversight. In 2015, the Twins were in the WC race until the final weekend. In 2017, they won the second WC spot. You'd think that would have gotten them at least one game on ESPN.
  17. Brock Beauchamp
    Almost impossible. The Twins tie the first tiebreaker with the Sox and lose the second, so the Twins have to win the division outright. Laying an egg in that final Sox game really hurt, as they'd be in a good position to win the division (one game back and the tie would go to the Twins).
  18. Brock Beauchamp
    It doesn't even matter if teams are disqualified or not, which is why they picked TEX/HOU for the NL (both home stadiums of AL teams) and SDP/LAD for the AL (both home stadiums of NL teams). In either case, MLB could choose the alternate stadium to host the World Series should one of those home teams make it the Championship Series round. One thing I haven't seen discussed much is that SoCal is NOT an optimal location for the Twins to play. The two stadiums they've designated are cavernous, which plays against the Twins' offensive strengths.
  19. Brock Beauchamp
    Three reasons: 1. Weather, obviously. 2. Proximity of pairs of stadiums. Outside of the coasts, it's hard to find two pairs of stadiums within driving distance of one another. 3. The pairs of stadiums need to be of the opposing league. Places like New York don't work because of the AL/NL split. New York and Philly would work for the AL (except for weather) but where do you put the NL games at that point?
  20. Brock Beauchamp
    This isn’t the worst baseball game I’ve ever seen, but it ain’t good.
  21. Brock Beauchamp
    I think it's far more likely Rosario walks than is traded. And I really think the Twins are going to let him walk this offseason. With Rooker, Larnach, and Kirilloff sitting in the high minors, there just isn't much reason to keep Rosario when that money could easily be spent elsewhere. One of the minor leaguers should be able to step in and give a reasonable facsimile of Eddie's numbers, probably giving something away on offense and getting it back on defense.
  22. Brock Beauchamp
    Odorizzi has 10 IP this season, all of it while returning from injury before taking a liner in the chest and getting injured again. All health being equal, I will take Odorizzi in a single game over Dobnak almost every time.
  23. Brock Beauchamp
    That is addressed somewhat in the way WAR is calculated. Different positions are rated differently both on offense and defense. A replacement player is not a single constant; the replacement level at SS is not the same as replacement level at 1B because the player profiles and performances are different.
  24. Brock Beauchamp
    Well said across the board and I agree with pretty much all of this. Different stats are trying to do different things and using the right stat for your needs is important.
  25. Brock Beauchamp
    Controlling for aberrant and likely unrepeatable elements in player performance is a feature, not a bug.
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