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Brock Beauchamp

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Everything posted by Brock Beauchamp

  1. Brock Beauchamp
    I don't disagree. I only question whether Antony is capable of getting the right return on those players. Both are under contract and have value. The last thing I want to see is them handed away for junk.
  2. Brock Beauchamp
    Agreed. As long as he doesn't move anyone under 25 or Santana, Dozier, or Gibson, he can't do much right or wrong at the deadline. My best case scenario here is that Antony doesn't do much at all.
  3. Brock Beauchamp
    They're not starting off fresh. Antony definitely knows the players in the organization so that's a plus. But I question his inexperience in handling opposing general managers who may smell blood in the water. I agree that it's unlikely he'll do much long-term damage - I doubt he's going to trade anyone under 25 years old - but I think it's possible, maybe likely, that he gets the short straw on a few trades he executes between now and September.
  4. Brock Beauchamp
    No. That's an awful premise. There are good people in the Twins organization. It's the responsibility of the new GM/president to isolate those good people and retain them if they fit into the new organization. Cleaning house just for the sake of cleaning house is an awful management tactic.
  5. Brock Beauchamp
    Yeah, that's a good example of the virtue of patience. Cuddyer turned into Berrios. Sometimes, it's better to just sit on your hands if the opportunity isn't there to make a good move. Again, that's what worries me about this situation.
  6. Brock Beauchamp
    Those weren't great examples and I should have spent more time elaborating instead of trying to get a post in quickly. My worry is that trades will happen willy-nilly because that's what Antony feels he is supposed to do. That means lots of players shuffled around without a plan in place; who to target, who to move, organizational needs, etc. Compiling a game plan and executing it during something as trying and difficult as the MLB trade deadline without experience is a delicate operation, to say the least... And if Antony feels he has to "impress the boss", it might lead to some pretty stupid decisions.
  7. Brock Beauchamp
    Oh, I agree teams will be open to interviews, I only question whether they'll let their personnel deal with distractions in the middle of a season. The Twins will likely pursue teams with capable front offices (ie. in a pennant race) and teams want their personnel focused on the challenges at hand, not dallying with another business trying to steal them away.
  8. Brock Beauchamp
    Oh, there's no way they could bring in someone from the outside and have them handle the deadline. That's completely unreasonable... But it still puts Antony in a dangerous situation. Is he ready to handle assets and negotiate with experienced GMs around the league?
  9. Brock Beauchamp
    No. This is the one part of the decision that terrifies me. I'm picturing a scenario where guys like Dozier and Nunez are handed away for peanuts. I'm also picturing a scenario where nothing happens, though I think that's unlikely because Ryan was just fired, likely over disagreements about what to do at the deadline. Putting an inexperienced person in a position of authority with a strict mandate to "do lots of things" in less than two weeks will often lead to disastrous results.
  10. Brock Beauchamp
    My thoughts exactly.
  11. Brock Beauchamp
    Firing a GM midseason is a statement move. If Rob Antony is GM on December 1st, I'll be shocked. Ownership doesn't can a GM who has been with the franchise for over 30 years (especially a loyalty-based team like the Twins) and then hire his hand-picked successor four months later.
  12. Brock Beauchamp
    I never thought I'd see this midseason. I doubly never thought I'd see this less than two weeks before the trade deadline.
  13. Brock Beauchamp
    I agree it might be a bit of an overpay but it's in the ballpark... And because I'm in no rush to trade Ervin, that's about what I'd ask. Given Santana's steady(ish) performance and injury history, he's a reasonable gamble to hold on to for at least one more season. If he keeps performing, his value will only go up as his contract winds down.
  14. Brock Beauchamp
    Personally, I'm in no rush to trade Santana but were someone to offer a 75-100 prospect, I'd probably pull the trigger. If that team required me to pay, say, $4m of Santana's contract in 2017 and 2018, that seems reasonable. Asking for anything higher than the bottom quartile of top 100 prospects is living in a dream world, in my opinion.
  15. Brock Beauchamp
    I'm not looking for an overpay, just a fair offer. And the fewer upside arms that are left on the market, I think the closer that offer comes to reality.
  16. Brock Beauchamp
    If you have a shot at Pomeranz, why would you be interested in Santana? Let's not pretend even for a moment the two pitchers are comparable. If anything, we should be happy Boston went ahead and pulled the trigger on this deal early so Pomeranz is off the market.
  17. Brock Beauchamp
    It's also important to remember that Colorado actually wanted Reyes because the GM of the Rockies is a lunatic. Almost everyone considered Reyes a drag on that deal... Except for Colorado.
  18. Brock Beauchamp
    And neither the Pirates nor the Royals won until they burned everything to the ground and rebuilt from the farm system. The Twins, talent-wise, were about a 75-78 win team last season. They had almost everything break right for them... But you're saying that were everything to break entirely super-duper right for them, they could have made the postseason. Luck is not a reason to push all your chips into the middle of the table. It's nearly a sure-fire way to lose over and over again until you're entirely broke. I was fine with Ryan's moves last season, I only think they should have happened a month before they did (or, once May happened, he should have been more aggressive with bullpen fixes from the either the waiver wire or the farm). But the 2015 Twins simply weren't a very good team. They were a mediocre, maybe slightly below mediocre, team that had a bunch of stuff go right for a month.
  19. Brock Beauchamp
    And it's a great point. We often talk about how volatile relievers are (excepting the elite guys) and use that as leverage to avoid signing anyone to more than a two year contract (and often, no more than one year). Ryan is notorious for offering one year deals to relievers only to have them reject the offer. But Ryan didn't only trade for the value of 1.5 seasons of Jepsen, he lauded the move because "he'll be here next year, too". Does. Not. Compute.
  20. Brock Beauchamp
    To be fair to my post, here were the paragraphs following the one you quoted: "The Twins didn't get super-lucky with him, I'm sure they had scouts out there with information on his early season struggles with Tampa. But they kinda got lucky because, injury considerations aside, Jepsen was a phenomenal pitcher down the stretch and Kevin Jepsen is not a phenomenal pitcher." The Twins got the best two months of Kevin Jepsen possible but there was no reason to expect him to implode the following season. He had a solid track record of something just north of mediocrity.
  21. Brock Beauchamp
    Ah, my bad. I missed that.
  22. Brock Beauchamp
    Yes, but Jepsen was much worse the first two months of 2015, good the next month, even better the following two months.
  23. Brock Beauchamp
    To be fair, I remember reading he had fought a minor injury early in the 2015 season and wasn't healthy until July, when he turned back into a good pitcher (and similar to what he had done in previous seasons). The Twins didn't get super-lucky with him, I'm sure they had scouts out there with information on his early season struggles with Tampa. But they kinda got lucky because, injury considerations aside, Jepsen was a phenomenal pitcher down the stretch and Kevin Jepsen is not a phenomenal pitcher.
  24. Brock Beauchamp
    Whoa, whoa, whoa. Let's not shoot for the moon here. I would have been happy with "trade Ramos for a guy who isn't a middling relief pitcher".
  25. Brock Beauchamp
    Nick Blackburn, pitching savior.
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