Brock Beauchamp

He listed four free agents + Colome, who technically has an option. It's called out right there. You're being pedantic about this. The meat of the interesting information about the Twins is in potential 40-man additions to start the offseason, yet you're focusing on a one-digit-off addition error and pending free agents. If you don't care for the information in the article, so be it. But that doesn't make it "not smart". It's talking about a few different things, not all of which apply to every team on the list. The Twins don't have an immediate 40-man issue because they're selling, that's pretty obvious. Other teams have more pressing 40-man issues in the here and now. Longenhagen is using the same article format for each team, that's all.

It's not saying anyone is "in trouble", the article is taking a snapshot of organizations and showing things that will factor into their decisions for the next six months. And these 40-man roster additions absolutely factor into many of the decisions that will be made between today and next February. There isn't anything misleading or not smart about giving relevant information to the audience.

Eric Longenhagen is one of the most respected prospect writers in baseball. The 60-day IL is reset for the offseason, which this article is factoring into its numbers and "crunch".

Could this be a convincing argument to either sign a high profile (read "expensive") free agent or don't bother at all? I know this franchise has a long, storied history of signing the Matt Shoemakers and Ramon Ortizes of the world but I'm okay with ending that particular historical trend for pretty much forever.

The chance of moving Rogers after the injury is basically zero. Mostly ditto for Buxton if you want great value for him.

While I've been critical of the front office lately for a variety of things, I don't think this one is on them... they moved Cruz very early so they're willing to make a deal if the deal is right. And the entire market has been very slow, not just the Twins.

Very possible. He was shelled once early this month but has looked good in his past two starts. 2021 Pitching Game Log Rk Gcar Gtm Date Tm Opp Rslt Inngs Dec DR IP H R ER BB SO HR HBP ERA BF Pit Str StL StS GB FB LD PU Unk GSc IR IS SB CS PO AB 2B 3B IBB GDP SF ROE aLI WPA acLI cWPA RE24 DFS(DK) DFS(FD) Entered Exited Jun Tm Opp Rslt Inngs Dec DR IP H R ER BB SO HR HBP ERA BF Pit Str StL StS GB FB LD PU Unk GSc IR IS SB CS PO AB 2B 3B IBB GDP SF ROE aLI WPA acLI cWPA RE24 DFS(DK) DFS(FD) Entered Exited 9 157 54 Jun 1 MIN @ BAL L,4-7 GS-3 L(3-3) 5 3.0 7 5 5 0 1 0 0 3.40 16 53 37 10 4 8 7 3 1 0 26 1 0 0 16 1 1 0 0 0 0 .95 -0.329 .32 -0.07% -3.44 -5.45 -3.00 1b start tie 3b 3 out d4 10 158 60 Jun 8 MIN NYY L,4-8 GS-5 6 4.1 4 2 2 2 2 0 0 3.46 20 76 56 14 8 7 9 5 2 0 47 0 0 0 18 1 0 0 0 0 1 1.16 -0.054 .28 -0.01% -0.10 6.15 13.00 1t start tie 5t 123 1 out a1 11 159 65 Jun 13 MIN HOU L,3-14 GS-4 L(3-4) 4 4.0 6 3 3 1 1 1 0 3.70 19 64 39 11 2 5 12 5 1 0 38 1 0 0 17 1 0 0 0 1 0 .80 -0.129 .12 -0.01% -1.03 0.80 6.00 1t start tie 4t 3 out d3 Jul Tm Opp Rslt Inngs Dec DR IP H R ER BB SO HR HBP ERA BF Pit Str StL StS GB FB LD PU Unk GSc IR IS SB CS PO AB 2B 3B IBB GDP SF ROE aLI WPA acLI cWPA RE24 DFS(DK) DFS(FD) Entered Exited 12 160 85 Jul 7 MIN CHW L,1-6 GS-6 L(3-5) 23 5.1 12 5 5 0 4 1 0 4.11 25 82 60 15 5 8 13 9 0 0 28 1 1 0 24 5 1 0 2 0 0 .89 -0.257 .10 -0.02% -2.68 2.80 13.00 1t start tie 6t -2- 1 out d4 13 161 96 Jul 21 MIN @ CHW W,7-2 GS-5 W(4-5) 13 5.0 4 1 1 1 3 0 0 3.93 20 73 48 9 9 10 6 2 1 0 57 3 0 0 19 3 0 0 1 0 1 1.11 0.165 .02 0.00% 1.57 16.25 33.00 1b start tie 5b 3 out a2 14 162 101 Jul 26 MIN DET W,6-5 GS-6 4 6.0 5 2 2 0 6 1 0 3.86 22 85 59 11 13 8 8 4 0 0 60 0 0 0 22 1 0 0 0 0 0 .85 0.069 .01 0.00% 0.99 18.50 30.00 1t start tie 6t 3 out tie 6-8 W-L:4-5 5.2 72.1 70 33 31 16 64 12 0 3.86 298 1122 68% 18% 11% 0.72 23% 7% 0 52 ---% 6 4 1 278 17 2 0 4 2 4 .94 0.369 .45 0.32% 2.32 193.15 364.00 Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Original Table Generated 7/28/2021.

I'm constantly surprised how little noise there is around Pineda this deadline. While he's not a flashy pickup, he's a strike-throwing beast that many teams would be happy to start their fourth playoff game (and a few teams where he might start their third).

It's possible this organization has just rolled natural ones an inordinate number of times over the past 12 months but with every passing day and another mistake piles up, that becomes increasingly unlikely. Not impossible, but very unlikely.

I'm really glad the Twins moved Cruz so early because it appears they're having difficulty convincing anyone else to bite well ahead of the deadline... which is something of a nightmare scenario for this team, as they have the most moveable commodities on the entire market. On top of their expiring player contracts, they are certainly fielding calls on the likes of Donaldson, Berríos, Buxton, Kepler, and possibly others. And if no one is willing to sign off on a deal before tomorrow, that's going to make it really hard for the Twins to maximize their value on any of their players, which makes it all the more likely none of those non-expiring contracts are moved. It's hard to envision the Twins receiving good value on Donaldson with Bryant still on the market, for example. Or Berríos with Scherzer still on the market. Etc etc. On top of not receiving maximum value, it becomes a quantity and clock issue at some point. If no one is ready to make a deal before tomorrow, how reasonable is it for the Twins to be able to negotiate and move 4+ players in a single day? Here's hoping someone pulls the trigger on at least one Twins player today and gets the ball rolling on this. The next 36 hours could be the most important this front office has faced since taking over the organization.

A grand slam? Bring in the Twins bullpen now, we want to keep this game close.

Well, that's close to a surefire way to block a trade. Well played, Taylor, well played.* *just kidding, get well soon, Taylor https://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2021/07/twins-closer-taylor-rogers-finger-sprain-trade-deadline-injury.html

Arraez has had injury problems but has been equally valuable to Schoop in 70% of the playing time. Losing Schoop isn’t a problem, which was what you said. Adrianza has been replacement level this season. Again, not the solution the Twins need.

And if everything else wasn't crashing down on their heads at the same time, I probably would have shrugged it off. But the losses (not the team, the organization) keep piling up. The front office is going to need a handful of wins back on the board before the trust comes back.

First, Schoop left two seasons ago and has signed two contracts since that point. The Twins didn't "drop" him, he signed somewhere else. Second, Schoop has been worth 2.2 rWAR this season. Arraez has been worth 2.1 rWAR in about 70% of the plate appearances. We have a slew of things to complain about with this front office. That ain't one of them.

I thought it was a fine trade at the time. And the front office is definitely going to miss from time to time... but... Literally all they've done in the past 12 months is miss and it's usually not only a miss but a spectacular miss. That inspires no confidence in their future decisions.

This team needs a lot of pitching. Can they do it without moving Donaldson? Maybe? But it's a lot easier to accomplish if half of Josh's salary is off the books.

Even misjudging him can be explained away but yes, it's problematic at the very least. But then the waiver wire loss so early into the season when the MLB club was flat-out pathetic... that's when the situation became inexcusable in my eyes.

I agree but boy does the front office have a really difficult path to navigate to get there. Do you keep Kepler if you extend Buxton? What is to be done with Garver? There are so many pieces that can bring back legitimate prospect hauls and the front office has a lot of flexibility to craft the organization but they need to fire with nearly 100% accuracy to pull it off. And right now, my faith in this front office pulling that off is at an all-time low. They've barely been able to make ONE good decision in the past ten months, much less be 100% accurate.

Don't be so condescending. No one is stating this report is gospel but Hayes *does* have much. more information on this subject than we do. It certainly shifts the context of the narrative at the very least and could be a very intentional crafting by Buxton's agent. Who knows? But it's interesting either way.

Oh my lord, if Buxton is happy with that base, DO WHAT THE MAN WANTS AND SIGN HIM. The escalators shouldn't be the problem here. Give him games played escalators that can make him up to $25-30m a year and be done with this. If Buxton plays 150 games, exactly zero people should care how much he is paid. That has never been and will probably never will be the issue with Byron.

I will be disappointed if there are fewer than four total trades AT MINIMUM. There are zero excuse to have an expiring contract on this team after 3pm on Friday unless that player is so bad they cannot be moved to anyone (possibly Happ, Colome). Pineda, Robles, and Simmons are the bare minimum of players that need to be traded. On top of that, it'd be nice to move Donaldson, though that may not be possible... but it should still be a priority by the front office, IMO. If the Twins are going to compete in any way in 2022, they need to dedicate more money to pitching, and that means moving Donaldson to clear payroll space. As for cable, I'd have to double-check but I'm pretty sure Bally Sports plans to have a standalone app ready for next baseball season. No more AT&T and their bloated pricing structure for me, which is a good thing. What a complete waste of $92/mo this season.

I mean, I don't think anyone *really* expected a full-on firesale - there are simply too many pieces to move in a week for that to happen - but it also makes sense to take a re-tool approach over a "burn it down and start over" approach. I still think there's a very good chance the Twins move key pieces like Berríos or Donaldson, but this makes me think we won't see payroll being slashed next season, which is very good news in its own right. https://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2021/07/twins-trade-rumors-rebuild-max-kepler.html

In a season full of weirdness that's almost universally bad, Colome's explosive HR/FB numbers are at the top of the list.