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Brock Beauchamp

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Everything posted by Brock Beauchamp

  1. Brock Beauchamp
    Another fun fact is that the forums will pass 1,000,000 (active) posts in the next 8-10 days.
  2. Brock Beauchamp
    It's possible but I think your Berrios number is low. And while payroll should definitely jump upward next season, I'm not sure it will rise enough to cover both players. I hope they do it but realistically, I doubt it will happen.
  3. Brock Beauchamp
    I'm at the point where I hope Garlick is cut because I can't handle you people and your dumb jokes anymore.
  4. Brock Beauchamp
    I'm all in favor of the Twins spending money but even I have some big reservations about signing Buxton and he's my favorite player on the team right now. It's pretty scary to drop hundreds of millions, almost surely losing Berrios in the process, on a guy who has played zero full seasons of baseball. Being wary of Buxton doesn't necessarily correlate to cheap. If I had even a little more confidence in his ability to stay on the field, I'd be screaming at the Twins to back up the dump truck and bury him in money. But, as it stands, yikes. Committing to that is pretty scary.
  5. Brock Beauchamp
    85 Topps Puckett for the baby blues and classic batting stance. Bonus points because I have one signed by Puck.
  6. Brock Beauchamp
    Sano is a much better player. On offense, Sano has a career wRC+ (probably the best single indicator of offensive output available) of 118. Vargas had a career wRC+ of 100, exactly league average. On defense, it's harder to gauge because Sano has so little time at first base. He was -5 DRS last season and his UZR was pretty equally bad. It was also Miguel's first season at first. FWIW, in a microscopic sample size this season he's zeroed out (average). Vargas was decent at first, posting a +4 DRS in his career. Time will tell how that shakes out but I expect Sano to ultimately grade pretty similarly to Vargas in that regard. For a first baseman, Sano is pretty athletic and mobile enough to do okay over there. As a whole, Vargas posted an fWAR of 0.9 in ~850 PAs while Sano has an fWAR of 8.8 in ~2300 PAs. That's not particularly close; Vargas is marginally above replacement level while Sano is somewhere around average MLB starter in overall value.
  7. Brock Beauchamp
    Because Sano is a much better player?
  8. Brock Beauchamp
    Man, I don't get so much of fandom. It's not binary; there is plenty of room on team that exists between "monster hitter/star" and "release/trade him". Sano's career arc has been pretty disappointing but if he lands somewhere in the "slightly above average masher" range while playing a competent first base, there's room on this team for him under the terms of his contract. We all want to see better but if he doesn't deliver, he shouldn't be kicked to the curb for it as long as he's still producing somewhere close to average MLB starter territory.
  9. Brock Beauchamp
    There’s something approaching a zero percent chance the Twins trade Berrios. They’re not Tampa.
  10. Brock Beauchamp
    I think that's a really unrealistic expectation, especially in the case of an elite prospect like Royce. The Twins aren't going to ping-pong someone like that around the field defensively when their goal is for him to master a single position (ideally shortstop), nor are they going to risk his struggles to learn new positions impacting his ability to hit MLB pitching. Like Kirilloff, when Lewis arrives in Minnesota, he's going to play one position and he's going to play it every day. The reality of baseball is that when it comes to the 25th or 26th man on the roster - which Astudillo is - if you can find a player that's merely decent to fill that role, you likely have a very good roster.
  11. Brock Beauchamp
    In all seriousness, if Garlick isn’t starting against lefties, he shouldn’t be on the roster.
  12. Brock Beauchamp
    http://www.reactiongifs.com/r/srcstc.gif
  13. Brock Beauchamp
    Sano has an approach, he’s just not executing. He is walking at a good clip and is going deep into counts, he’s just having the same problem he has every year to open a season: he can’t hit the damned ball. Which is really frustrating to watch every single season.
  14. Brock Beauchamp
    Probably Buxton if only because position players are generally more valuable than pitchers. And Buxton has the potential to be one of the best players in baseball and I can’t really say the same about Berrios. In the real world with real injury considerations, it’s harder to say but I’d lean toward Berrios.
  15. Brock Beauchamp
    I neither get the adoration nor the condemnation of Astudillo. He’s a fun statistical oddity because his contact skills and refusal to walk are both so far at the extreme end of baseball but that also means he’s a pretty flawed baseball player, never mind his defense... But if he can hit at or above .300, he’s a pretty useful piece on the bench. I remain unconvinced that will be the case but I hope he can do it.
  16. Brock Beauchamp
    Happ didn’t look very good but it’s hard to get a read on him after that start. He missed a lot of ST and Detroit is pretty bad.
  17. Brock Beauchamp
    This is why it's good to basically ignore stats for the first several weeks of the season. We can all agree that Brent Rooker has looked like a trash fire out there but it's also 11 PAs, less than three full games of play. If he continues to flail like he has, the stats won't really matter, it's the fact he can't connect on hittable pitches and can't lay off unhittable pitches (he did both a few times yesterday alone). On the other hand, Garlick has only 5 PAs but also has a .900 OPS in those appearances. His stat line is as equally unimportant as Rooker’s, though it highlights how extremely SSS can be wildly out of line with perception because if you missed on good PA, it looks like he has done nothing.
  18. Brock Beauchamp
    It's eight plate appearances so I don't think the past three days change anything. I think the better question is "Do they dangle Baddoo in the Rule V if they know Detroit will draft him?" That one is harder to answer, I think. They didn't want to lose Baddoo (they don't really "want" to lose any player) but I think they left him unprotected because of the high risk of taking him (little play in the past two seasons, hasn't played in high minors, struggled a bit, etc).
  19. Brock Beauchamp
    It’s unlikely now but hard to say for certain given he was laid out for basically all of 2020 due to being a covid long-hauler. Which is really unfortunate for him because he almost surely would have gotten a taste of MLB by now had that not happened.
  20. Brock Beauchamp
    KC probably won’t be good but they might come close to .500. Not really a “threat” per se but one more team in the division that might not be terrible.
  21. Brock Beauchamp
    Arraez signed with the Twins in 2013 so the previous front office definitely gets some credit for him.
  22. Brock Beauchamp
    Ive said multiple times that I would have sent him out for the seventh but no way am I running him up over 100 pitches in his first start after the weirdness of 2020. It may be a small risk to leave him out there but it’s still a risk and with 161 left to play for a contending team, I’m fine with the manager being quite risk-averse with his second-best pitcher. And ultimately, it simply didn’t matter. The Twins won the game (and the series) and Berrios is ready to go next time. Why is anyone putting this much emotional energy into a no hitter that doesn’t really matter in a team sport?
  23. Brock Beauchamp
    The point being that pushing a pitcher outside his typical work load in pursuit of a rather meaningless individual achievement is foolish and risky. Doubly so if the pitcher is in his first start of the season.
  24. Brock Beauchamp
    Yikes, no. The Twins have a good bullpen and I want to see Berrios pitch 30 times this season. There’s so little to gain by leaving him in and so much to lose. Personally, I probably would have sent him out for the seventh but almost surely not the eighth.
  25. Brock Beauchamp
    I agree that yesterday’s game was a pretty good watch but when I noticed the game crossed the three hour mark, I groaned a little. 15 years ago, that’s a 2-2.5 hour game and it would be better for it. PS. The opener was a terrible spectator game. Sloppy, slow, and boring.
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