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Brock Beauchamp

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Everything posted by Brock Beauchamp

  1. Brock Beauchamp
    Rosario has nearly 3000 MLB plate appearances, I don't believe we need more time to draw the conclusion that he's an adequate MLB starter but nothing more than that. He's also nearing or at the decline phase while the Twins have several very good corner outfielders in the high minors, any of which could outperform Rosario as soon as this season. The Twins also paid him $14m to play for them, why are they obligated to continue doing so? I've seen plenty of teams do a player wrong but waiving a guy instead of going to arbitration isn't one of them. They even placed Eddie on outright waivers so any team could claim him at his arbitration price tag. And your second example is Lance Lynn... what did the Twins do to him? They gave him money when other teams wouldn't, that's what they did. The fact Lynn was mad because no other team offered him more money is not the Twins' fault, and certainly not an indicator of fault. Berrios has no legit complaint as far as I'm aware. He's the one who routinely talks down a possible extension, which is his right. He has faith in himself and good for him, I hope it works out. Buxton is the sole example that has any legitimacy and I hope the Twins find a way to repair that relationship, if it's still bad, which I don't know because I haven't heard anything about it in well over a year.
  2. Brock Beauchamp
    Heh, yeah, Everett was terrible with the bat during his best seasons, too.
  3. Brock Beauchamp
    Simmons is a *much* better hitter. Everett had a career OPS+ of 66, Simmons is 91.
  4. Brock Beauchamp
    Rosario isn’t that good, either. There’s a reason every team passed on him and he remains unsigned today.
  5. Brock Beauchamp
    I have some of the same concerns but also have enough faith in this front office that they’re not throwing darts blindfolded. The Twins are definitely better at this kind of thing than the Angels and Simmons is absolutely better in the field than Polanco. With the right positioning and strategy, Simmons should improve, or at least hold steady over a single season. But he’s definitely at the decline age for a middle infielder, though I have no real idea to what extent. His 2019 was injury-riddled and 2020 was only 60 games. We haven’t gotten sufficient data for Simmons since 2018, which makes spreadsheet analysis kinda worthless.
  6. Brock Beauchamp
    I think both Polanco and Arraez roam. Polanco back to short on occasion, Arraez more all over the field in the Marwin role.
  7. Brock Beauchamp
    Agreed. I see people - not here but elsewhere - acting like Simmons is Drew Butera. He’s been close to league average with the bat, which makes him pretty okay as an offensive shortstop.
  8. Brock Beauchamp
    Maybe you misread what I typed... the team is better now and probably not by an IGsignificant amount. Basically, it’s probable the team just improved significantly, I just worded it in reverse.
  9. Brock Beauchamp
    Nice.
  10. Brock Beauchamp
    A perfectly adequate signing. Not my first or even second choice but a fine signing. The team is better now than It was six hours ago and probably not by an insignificant amount.
  11. Brock Beauchamp
    There are certainly questions whether Maeda can keep it up and in what capacity but Dodgers fans saw a very different version of Maeda than we saw last season. Their opinions aren't really relevant to the 2020 version of the pitcher. For example, his K% went up a whopping 5% while going from the NL to AL, where he faced a DH instead of a pitcher 11% of the time. His peripherals improved across the board, which isn't an accident. His K% was such an improvement that it launched him all the way to eighth out of all qualifying pitchers in baseball. I expect to see some kind of regression Maeda but have no idea the extent of that regression. The numbers back up him being a much better pitcher going forward, I just don't expect him to maintain "second in Cy voting" good.
  12. Brock Beauchamp
    The 2020 version of Maeda fits into 30 MLB rotations. The Twins changed his approach and he took a huge step forward last season. The question is whether that is sustainable and in what capacity but had the Dodgers controlled a version of Maeda that good, there's a zero percent chance they deal him for as little as they did. The guy finished second in Cy Young voting, for crying out loud. Let's not downplay how good he was or suggest 29 other teams wouldn't love to have him.
  13. Brock Beauchamp
    The Twins will need, at minimum, seven starters this season, probably more like 8-9 over 140+ games or whatever they end up playing. Relying on the minors for slots #4-9 is a good way to ensure a losing season. The kids will get their shots either way but it’s bad planning to rely heavily on them from day one.
  14. Brock Beauchamp
    As a second move, this is fine. Happ is decent enough. If this is their starting pitching move, ick.
  15. Brock Beauchamp
    Yeah, and it's particularly difficult to suffer through given the previous season and the upcoming uncertainty. It has been 11 months since we experienced anything resembling the typical cycle of a baseball calendar year.
  16. Brock Beauchamp
    I understand the offseason isn't even close to over but the White Sox have drastically improved while the Twins have done nothing. Not awesome thus far.
  17. Brock Beauchamp
    Oh, for sure, which is why I'm increasingly in favor of some kind of draft incentive for not tanking. The NBA lottery is a fine place to start the conversation but I'm not sure it's the right answer or only answer.
  18. Brock Beauchamp
    A salary cap isn't the only solution. One can use various draft incentives, a salary floor, and more rigorous luxury taxes to increase overall competitiveness. Except none of those things will likely happen, as MLB long ago showed us how much it's willing to sacrifice the quality of the sport for short-term profits. Every year, it's becoming more apparent to me that baseball needs a complete overhaul to avoid being left behind by more exciting, flexible sports. Those changes include both on-field and top-level changes that drastically change how the sport operates.
  19. Brock Beauchamp
    The Red Sox do it to Betts, then the Cubs do it to Darvish the following offseason. MLB needs to get its house in order if they want to stay competitive with other sports. They have so many problems that badly need to be resolved, as it's getting harder to be excited about baseball pretty much every year.
  20. Brock Beauchamp
    Because it doesn't really make sense. Unless the difference in hitting is enormous, you try to play your best defensive infielder at shortstop every day, or close to it. And if the Twins aren't at least moderately confident in Semien returning to being a pretty good (not even great, just pretty good) hitter, they shouldn't go anywhere near him because other teams will offer him enough money to make that a bad decision.
  21. Brock Beauchamp
    I agree that positional flexibility is important but the real wild card in my eyes is Arraez. Mediocre, maybe kinda bad, skills at second don't slide anywhere else on the diamond comfortably. Second base is a bit of a dead-end defensively. If the player's arm was better, they'd be a SS or 3B, not a 2B. And Arraez's range is anything but impressive so he doesn't have much going for him in any aspect of the defensive game. And Luis is too damned promising as a hitter to relegate to the bench more than once or twice a week. I'm not really sure what to do with him and as much as I hate to say it, a trade may be the best option for the Twins. Which is really unfortunate because there's no one on the current team I enjoy watching at the plate more than Luis Arraez. I'm quickly growing tired of three outcome baseball and Arraez is a breath of fresh air to a style of baseball that is simply more fun to watch than today's game.
  22. Brock Beauchamp
    Not even close. Semien grades as a plus in pretty much every defensive metric while Polanco grades well into the negatives in pretty much every defensive metric. Semien posted good numbers in 2018 and 2019 before dropping off in the 60 game season this past year, but I take any numbers from 2020 with a huge grain of salt. And just watching Semien play, he looks like a good shortstop whereas Polanco makes me cringe on a regular basis, especially that arm. One concern I have about Semien is length of contract and the fact he is 30 years old. While he looked very good as a 27-28 year old, that's far from a guarantee he will continue to look good as a 32 year old, especially at SS, where it feels the defensive decline happens quickly and without warning.
  23. Brock Beauchamp
    Better than average. He's good. Maybe not elite Gold Glove calibre, but good.
  24. Brock Beauchamp
    My interest in Semien has direct correlation to the front office's conviction about his bat going forward. He posted one monster season but has been pretty pedestrian with the stick outside that single season. Still, his glove is a massive upgrade either way.
  25. Brock Beauchamp
    Much, much, much better.
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