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    Yes, Derek Falvey should be Trusted to Make Trade Decisions at the Deadline

    Put concisely, it’s Derek Falvey's job to make the best decisions at this deadline, regardless of all the outside uncertainty.

    Greggory Masterson
    Image courtesy of © Jesse Johnson-Imagn Images

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    Put even more concisely, it's his job.

    It’s a common question posed by fans and commentators this trade deadline: Should Derek Falvey be trusted with potential franchise-altering trades? Our own Matthew Taylor asked that same question this weekend. He laid out the general points: Falvey’s job status beyond this season isn’t guaranteed, given the looming sale of the franchise and the team likely missing the playoffs in four of the past five seasons. There's a potential misalignment of goals (given that Falvey’s position may lead him to focus more on the short term than long-term organizational health), and many have questions about his trade record in the past. You can read Matthew’s piece for a more fleshed-out version of these factors (and my history of Falvey’s deadline deals, while you're looking for more light reading).

    But I’m here to tell you that answer: like it or not, he has to make those decisions at this deadline. Or at least, he has to be left alone to be open to them.

    To be clear, no one is arguing about whether he should be allowed to dump the expiring contracts; we’re talking about guys like Joe Ryan, Griffin Jax, or Jhoan Durán, or who knows, maybe Brock Stewart, Ryan Jeffers, or Trevor Larnach—players with at least a year remaining of team control after 2025. We just saw him deal Chris Paddack, but the real stakes lie with the longer-term moves. There, too, lie the real questions.

    But, again, the answer to this question is very simple. If he has the job, he has to do the job. Although it may seem like the organization is shooting itself in the foot, allowing a decision-maker to make potentially franchise-altering decisions on the way out the door, there are a few things to keep in mind here.

    First, the obvious: there’s no indication Falvey will not return in 2026 and beyond in a baseball decision-making position. There’s no indication he will, either, but such is the nature of a team that’s currently up for sale with no concrete news as to when a new owner will start calling shots—or what that owner’s preferences are.

    Given the assumption that no one knows the answer to that question (and at least publicly, that’s true, though it may be a different story behind closed doors), it’s incumbent on the organization to act as if there will not be changes to the decision-making roles. They need to act as if they will continue to be making those decisions for years to come.

    I mean, what’s the alternative? They take their ball and go home? Say, “I don’t know if I’ll be here next year, so I won’t do anything now?” Good luck explaining that to your new boss.

    Second, related to the first: making a silly, shortsighted trade of a valuable piece like Duran for some short-term gain is also not a good way to endear oneself to ownership. Doing something reckless to try to win in 2025 or sell out for 2026, like the recklessness by omission of doing nothing, isn’t good for a career, either.

    Third, are we all talking about the same Derek Falvey? As an executive, his public reputation is that of a notoriously hard bargainer. Making a deal on a controllable asset just to make a deal seems out of character—as an outsider, at least—which should give Twins fans comfort. By all accounts, and from watching him for eight seasons, it would be surprising to see him complete a deal that he didn’t think he won. It would, frankly, be confusing.

    Of course, you may have reached the end of this and maintained the opinion that you simply don’t trust him to make decisions, because you think he’s not good at his job. I’m not here to stop you from believing that.

    But too bad, I guess.

    That’s not an argument against him making these specific deals; it’s an argument that he shouldn’t have this job anymore, which, again, I won’t stop you from making. But it’s a different discussion. At that point, your stance should be that he shouldn’t be allowed to try to find deals for Harrison Bader and Willi Castro, and that a new decision-maker should replace him before we reach the deadline.

    But that’s not what we’re discussing. We’re talking about an executive doing the job that he’s paid to do. And if a team comes knocking, willing to overpay for one of the Twins' pricier pieces, it's incumbent on this organization to pull the trigger, regardless of the cloudy picture in 2026 and beyond.

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    2 hours ago, Whitey333 said:

    Very interesting comments by all.  I find myself almost depressed  over the current Twins.  They Do play very boring baseball.  This Twins brand is so stale that people are clamoring for new ownership.  New ownership will need to instill some excitement.  They need to get rid of both Falvey and Rocco just to start with.  But it's just my opinion.  And it seems more and more that any contrary opinions from the writer is apparently wrong and taboo

    Heck no, let me hear your derision!

    7 hours ago, Hawkeye Bean Counter said:

    Lets look at trades where we were not forced buyers.  

    Cruz for Ryan -  Did you like that trade,  should this trade increase your trust? 

    Petty for Gray - Did you like that trade, should this trade increase your trust? 

    Arraez for Lopez -  Did you like that trade,  should this trade increase your trust? 

    Duran for Escobar -  Did you like that trade,  should this trade increase your trust?  

    Berrios for Martin and SWR.  Berrios had a WAR of .9 for 2021 and 2022 which he was under control for.  Martin has flopped, but SWR has a WAR of 3.3.     This is a trade more can have questions on but its still a win for now.  

     

    You add in getting rid of Donaldson contract (maybe you question signing him), the Rogers trade equated to equal value, and as of right now we are way ahead on the Polanco trade who had negative value last year with Gabriel Gonzalez.  So on his skills on trading players,  its honestly 1 of his strongest attributes.  He does understand the value of assets in trades.  This isn't me trying to convince you,  its merely me giving you the facts.  He has won a majority of the times when he has not been trying to buy to improve the team for the stretch run.  If you want to go on performance fine.   Most of our issues are with management,  I will not totally agree with everything Falvey has done, but all in all for the most part he has given us a competitive team every year (some years they haven't performed).  In the meantime the minors is the strongest it has ever been.  With quality hitters and Pitchers. 

    The argument will be the Twins have had minimal success taking these prospects and turning them into legitimate players.  As of now the results have not been great.   Right now Ober, Sands and Varland and Matthews, Lewis, Lee Larnach and Wallner are the players that have been drafted.  We need a postitional player to become a star,  can Lee or Lewis become that - as of now it doesn't look likely.  Matthews has a legitimate shot at becoming a high end pitcher for the Twins.  

    So if you don't want to trust him with trading the players my response would be,  he has shown nothing on trades,  especially when he has been in the power position to lose your trust.   

    What is a "forced buyer?"

    There's some real revisionist history going on here. Arraez won a SS and was getting MVP votes, Berrios had one down year but has otherwise been the exact guy Toronto thought they were getting for the other 2.5 seasons, plus he absolutely shoved at Target Field during that WC series. Topa and Anthony DeSclafani were part of the Polanco swap, but the Twins are "way ahead," because a prospect in A/AA has had a good half season after crashing out last year? Paddack and Emilio Pagan? Most of what you've listed is far from a slam dunk, if even a W for the Twins. Duran and Ryan are obvious wins. Nobody should really complain about the Gray swap regardless of Petty's future. 

    This "competitive," team is about to miss the playoffs for the 4th time in 5 seasons. I mean, what are we talking about here. Management is the issue? Who hires management? The organization is chock full of quality hitters but the offense continues to sputter? We're still waiting on the vaunted "pipeline." Someday right? 

    The Twins have serious issues with talent identification and/or development, so yeah, it makes sense that fans wouldn't want the person most responsible for these issues, to be the one pulling the trigger on moves at a pivotal deadline. 

    4 hours ago, KirbyDome89 said:

    What is a "forced buyer?"

    There's some real revisionist history going on here. Arraez won a SS and was getting MVP votes, Berrios had one down year but has otherwise been the exact guy Toronto thought they were getting for the other 2.5 seasons, plus he absolutely shoved at Target Field during that WC series. Topa and Anthony DeSclafani were part of the Polanco swap, but the Twins are "way ahead," because a prospect in A/AA has had a good half season after crashing out last year? Paddack and Emilio Pagan? Most of what you've listed is far from a slam dunk, if even a W for the Twins. Duran and Ryan are obvious wins. Nobody should really complain about the Gray swap regardless of Petty's future. 

    This "competitive," team is about to miss the playoffs for the 4th time in 5 seasons. I mean, what are we talking about here. Management is the issue? Who hires management? The organization is chock full of quality hitters but the offense continues to sputter? We're still waiting on the vaunted "pipeline." Someday right? 

    The Twins have serious issues with talent identification and/or development, so yeah, it makes sense that fans wouldn't want the person most responsible for these issues, to be the one pulling the trigger on moves at a pivotal deadline. 

    Concur




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