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    Twins 1, Guardians 0: Bailey Ober Crushes Cleveland on Apple TV... Again


    Matt Braun

    Two command wizards faced-off on Friday, eschewing modern velocity and hip sweepers for classic control and off-putting sequencing. Bailey Ober came out on top.

    Image courtesy of Bruce Kluckhohn-USA TODAY Sports

    Twins Video

    Box Score
    Bailey Ober: 6 IP, 4 H, 0 ER, 0 BB, 3 K
    Home Runs: None
    Top 3 WPA: Bailey Ober (.346), Jhoan Duran (.320), Jorge Polanco (.163)

    Win Probability Chart (via FanGraphs)

    chart(15).png.cac2569b063116ef74fc29b32efaeee0.png

    The MLB world celebrated a special occasion on Friday: Lou Gehrig day. The legendary Hall-of-Famer started his famous, once unbreakable record streak of 2,130 straight games played on June 2nd; he also tragically passed away due to ALS on the same day, at just 37 years old. The giver of perhaps the greatest speech this side of Lincoln, Gehrig’s influence on American culture and society is unmatched, incomparable. Even 100 years after his first taste of MLB, Gehrig’s spirit alters the sport.

    It was about as standard of a Bailey Ober outing you could imagine; the elongated righty diced through the Guardians lineup, matching sky-scraping fastballs with diving breakers, eliciting plenty of balls his defense turned into outs. He struck out three while allowing just four hits.

    But Aaron Civale—freshly removed from the IL—was just as effective, matching Ober blow-for-blow. Civale prefers a different style of pitching—one based on his cutter stunning batters as they search their mind to better understand his plethora of pitches. Minnesota seriously threatened to score twice, but their great enemy, the bases-loaded, tempered odds in the first, and their fourth frame rally died via natural causes (a Kyle Farmer soft line drive.)

    With no score after six, the onus turned to the bullpen to decide the game.

    The two teams fired scoreless sixths towards each other before the Twins started yet more action in the seventh. Ryan Jeffers cracked a double and Kyle Farmer walked, setting up two runners on base for the back of the lineup. Michael A. Taylor swapped the runners with a fielder’s choice before Jorge Polanco finally broke the stalemate, blasting a thunderous double off the high wall in right field, scoring the first run of the game.

    Brock Stewart continued his work from the seventh, extending his effort beyond a one-out “save-me” call by Rocco Baldelli to potentially carry the eighth as well. He faltered a little. A double—aided by some clumsiness by Taylor in center—placed Steven Kwan at second; Stewart’s next out proved to be his last.

    And in entered the big, bad, fire breathing, lightning-throwing, final boss of Minnesota’s bullpen: Jhoan Duran. Five more outs were needed; Baldelli did not care.

    José Ramírez exited following a silly swing at a splitter off the plate, and while Josh Naylor reached first on a walk, Andrés Giménez could do little more than mimic a heat sick grandmother waiting for the Fourth of July parade to start, fanning with such authority that the first row felt instantly cooled. 

    But no mercy was to be had for those swinging a bat with a “C” on their helmet. Duran melted more faces—allowing a single to Myles Straw along the way—on his way to securing the last few outs Minnesota needed to win. 

    And really, what are you supposed to do? Humans shouldn’t be able to control 105 MPH fastballs, and Duran’s breaking ball command means that any cheating on the heater will result in a center-stage performance on Pitching Ninja and MLB Network. All you can do is laugh.

    Notes:

    Bailey Ober's career ERA against Cleveland now sits at 1.42.

    Tonight was Jhoan Durán's fourth outing of 2023 that lasted more than one inning; he had 14 such appearances last season.

    Jovani Moran's last earned run came on May 13th against the Cubs.

    Ryan Jeffers is slashing .375/.444/.688 in his last seven games. 

    Post-Game Interview:

    What’s Next?
    Minnesota and Cleveland will play the third game of the series on Saturday. Fox has the game and first pitch is at 6:15 PM; Sonny Gray will start opposite the other Logan Allen.

    Bullpen Usage Spreadsheet

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    6 hours ago, Blyleven2011 said:

    I like it  , ( im on board with hail drago  ) , after 4 months in the league I knew arreaz was a major leaguer so I nicknamed him major leaguer , usually i take three years to evaluate a player tobknow exactly what that player will be  , but in arraez's case I knew he was special  ,,, he bat's like Gwynn and hits like Carew  ...

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    10 hours ago, UK Twin said:

    Defense. Kepler is a much more accomplished OF than those two. And I don't think either Wallner or Larnach are good enough hitters to justify them being in the line up every day ahead of Kepler. 

    You may be right. Or, for all I know you may be wrong. Can you cite any statistics to support this point of view?

    8 hours ago, jorgenswest said:

    Moran has been valuable this year. He has inherited mitre runners than any other reliever on the team and closed the door. There are three relievers who tend to come in with runners on base. Moran leads the way allowing only 1 in 15 to score.

    This is really quite amazing.  He has been brought in 7 times with runners on, and has given up literally 0 hits in those appearances.  He's walked a few (one each in 4 of the games). He has stayed in the game to begin another inning several times, so his total is 8 innings of no-hit work.

    Which makes his other appearances just all the more baffling.  An OPS-against of close to .000 when brought in to bail someone out; closer to .800 (corresponding to an ERA above 5, usually) in other appearances, if my back-of-the envelope math checks out.

    Amazing, weird, or just a fluke of an up-and-down young pitcher?




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