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    NYM 9, MIN 6: Forever of a 5th Inning


    Tom Froemming

    Sometimes one particular out is especially elusive. For the Twins tonight, that was the 15th out. Jake Odorizzi was cruising early on, looking about as efficient as we’ve seen him with the Twins, but everything fell apart in the fifth inning. The bullpen not only failed to bail him out, they made matters even worse.

    Image courtesy of © Noah K. Murray-USA TODAY Sports

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    Box Score

    Odorizzi: 4.2 IP, 1 H, 3 ER, 4 BB, 3 K, 57.7% strikes

    Home Runs: Garver (3)

    Multi-Hit Games: Kepler (2-for-4, 2B), Schoop (3-for-4, 2B)

    WPA of +0.1: Odorizzi .168, Kepler .126

    WPA of -0.1: Astudillo -.110, Hildenberger -.120, Vasquez -.414

    Win410.png

    (chart via FanGraphs)

    That rough fifth inning could have actually been even worse. The Mets gifted their 14th out of the game to the Twins, as Jeff McNeil ran halfway home from third on a passed ball and then just kinda stood there for a moment. He was thrown out trying to get back to third.

    But the Twins could not get out of their own way.

    Jake Odorizzi gave up a single and walked the bases loaded prior to that McNeil baserunning gaffe. Instead of taking advantage of the miscue, Odorizzi re-loaded the bases by walking Mets pitcher Noah Syndergaard.

    That was it for Odorizzi, as the recently recalled Andrew Vasquez came in to make his 2019 debut for the Twins. It did not go well. Vasquez hit the first batter he faced to force in a run, then walked in two more runs.

    Trevor Hildenberger came in … he walked in another run. Then he gave up a two-run single. Finally our good ol’ buddy Jeff McNeil came up to hit again and ended the inning by striking out.

    The Mets managed to scratch across six runs that inning despite recording only two hits, both of them singles.

    Martin Perez was the next Twins pitcher up. He gave up three more runs over the next two innings. He’s given up 11 hits and walked nine batters in 8 1/3 innings pitched this season.

    The lineup heated up as soon as Syndergaard was out of the game. They scored four runs in the eighth and Mitch Garver added a solo homer in the ninth.

    It was an ugly game, but the Twins head home having completed a winning road trip. Another positive: They don’t have to play another road game in a National League stadium until after the All-Star break.

    Bullpen Usage

    Here’s a quick look at the number of pitches thrown by the bullpen over the past five days:

    Bullpen410.png

    Next Three Games

    Fri vs. DET, 7:10 pm CT (Pineda-Norris)

    Sat vs. DET, 1:10 pm CT (Berrios-Ross)

    Sun vs. DET, 1:10 pm CT (TBD-Zimmermann)

    Last Game

    MIN 14, NYM 8: Beating the Best

    And One More Thing

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    Marek Houston

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    The 22-year-old went 2-for-5 on Friday night, his fourth straight multi-hit game. Heading into the week, he was hitting .246/.328/.404 (.732). Four games later, he is hitting .303/.361/.447 (.808).

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    You warm him up instead of Vasquez.
    And yes, that may mean you have to warm him up again later.
    Unless a guy is coming off an injury, I don't think you can make it a policy that they never warm up more than once.

    Andrew Vasquez was recalled specifically for that one hitter he was supposed to face in the 5th inning. You're not going to use Rogers to get one out in the fifth, with the pitcher's spot due up next half inning, and 12 more outs to get.

     

    Baldelli did exactly as he should have. The blame is on Vasquez, or more accurately Falvine for not having better pen options.

    Andrew Vasquez was recalled specifically for that one hitter he was supposed to face in the 5th inning. You're not going to use Rogers to get one out in the fifth, with the pitcher's spot due up next half inning, and 12 more outs to get.

     

    Baldelli did exactly as he should have. The blame is on Vasquez, or more accurately Falvine for not having better pen options.

    Well I would absolutely use Rogers. Third inning, fifth inning, seventeen inning, I don't care. The highest leverage outs can come anytime.

    I'm not a fan of hard and fast rules regarding which innings each reliever can pitch. I hope that's the next tradition to die.

     

    But, if Vasquez really was called up to pitch high leverage spots, then yeah that's on the FO. I'm really disappointed if the FO brought up a rookie with mediocre stuff to pitch high leverage spots though.

    Well I would absolutely use Rogers. Third inning, fifth inning, seventeen inning, I don't care. The highest leverage outs can come anytime.

    I'm not a fan of hard and fast rules regarding which innings each reliever can pitch. I hope that's the next tradition to die.

    But, if Vasquez really was called up to pitch high leverage spots, then yeah that's on the FO. I'm really disappointed if the FO brought up a rookie with mediocre stuff to pitch high leverage spots though.

    If you warm up Rogers every time you MIGHT need an out, he’ll be on the IL by May. If Odo doesn’t walk the pitcher he stays in the game, and you’ve wasted Rogers.

     

    And to repeat myself from another thread, every reliever in the pen will be asked to pitch high leverage spots. Some more than others, for sure, but there are too many close games to think any reliever won’t ever be in spots that will impact the game.

     

    In this specific case, if you use Rogers for one out (which, again, means he was warming up before you decided you needed a reliever), you’re left with 12 outs to get.

    As I have said before, the LAST thing I am going to do is fault Baldelli for using a “lesser” reliever in a particular spot when I crucified Molitor for continually overusing 2-3 guys during his entire tenure. If a guy is on the team, he needs to be able to get outs, PERIOD. Put the blame on Falvine for not improving the rotation forcing Baldelli to count on Odorizzi. Put the blame on Falvine for not improving the bullpen and having to use unproven commodiities like de Jong and Vasquez.

    If you warm up Rogers every time you MIGHT need an out, he’ll be on the IL by May. If Odo doesn’t walk the pitcher he stays in the game, and you’ve wasted Rogers.

     

    And to repeat myself from another thread, every reliever in the pen will be asked to pitch high leverage spots. Some more than others, for sure, but there are too many close games to think any reliever won’t ever be in spots that will impact the game.

     

    In this specific case, if you use Rogers for one out (which, again, means he was warming up before you decided you needed a reliever), you’re left with 12 outs to get.

    I didn't say every time, I said this time. It's not very often that this high leverage of a spot will come up this early in a game. It might not happen again all season.

     

    I also never implied that Vasquez should never see a high leverage situation. How about not his very first appearance though. These are not robots, they are humans, this was a tough first assignment of the year for a young guy with all of 5 career innings.

    Edited by Mr. Brooks

     If Odo doesn’t walk the pitcher he stays in the game

    Minor correction: the pitcher's spot was to lead off the Twins' sixth, so in a 1-0 game there might have been a pinch-hitter regardless, since it looked like our starter had run out of gas. Despite the one-hitter, that's what I'd have done, after an unsightly fifth that he had every likelihood (at that crucial moment) of staggering through unscored-upon.

     

    If Odo doesn't walk the pitcher but instead records that third out, he's done, but has his Quality Start, and the manager can proceed with his game plan. (Which probably included Perez coming in next, so maybe a loss was in the cards anyway.)

     

    No manager's game plan includes "what if my guy walks the pitcher when the chips are down." :)

     

    If Odo doesn't walk the pitcher but instead records that third out, he's done, but has his Quality Start

    FWIW, when the Mets pitcher came up to bat, there was only 1 out, and after consecutive walks, he probably wasn't going to swing the bat to make a DP possible. So at that point, the Twins had to assume the top of the order was going to come up with runners on base that inning, and could make their reliever warm-up decisions accordingly. (McNeil made the second out of the inning on the bases during the pitcher's at-bat.)

     

    Also, an official Quality Start™ requires 6 innings, not 5. :)

     

    FWIW, when the Mets pitcher came up to bat, there was only 1 out, and after consecutive walks, he probably wasn't going to swing the bat to make a DP possible. So at that point, the Twins had to assume the top of the order was going to come up with runners on base that inning, and could make their reliever warm-up decisions accordingly. (McNeil made the second out of the inning on the bases during the pitcher's at-bat.)

     

    Also, an official Quality Start™ requires 6 innings, not 5. :)

    Crap, I forgot the baserunning gaffe and how it factored in.

     

    Except for facts, my post was spot-on.

    I dunno what the right call was.  Major league pitchers should be able to get an out.

     When I coached my players bailed me out a few times when I made a wrong call. It didn't happen here.

     

    Odo had it going well, then he lost it. That is a repeated theme. Still, a 1 hitter through 4 innings should inspire some faith.  I don't have a problem with the call for Vasquez. It didn't work out.  Too bad we had to wait so long for the next game. Too much time with a bad taste in our mouth. And as fun as the laugher was to watch, this was wayyyy painful.

     

    But we play 162 games. Time to turn the page and forgive a little. Coach and Odo and Vasquez were all trying to win. Hope they do better next time.

     

    Minor correction: the pitcher's spot was to lead off the Twins' sixth, so in a 1-0 game there might have been a pinch-hitter regardless, since it looked like our starter had run out of gas. Despite the one-hitter, that's what I'd have done, after an unsightly fifth that he had every likelihood (at that crucial moment) of staggering through unscored-upon.

     

    If Odo doesn't walk the pitcher but instead records that third out, he's done, but has his Quality Start, and the manager can proceed with his game plan. (Which probably included Perez coming in next, so maybe a loss was in the cards anyway.)

     

    No manager's game plan includes "what if my guy walks the pitcher when the chips are down." :)

     

    Yep... Odorizzi was most likely done regardless.

     

    Not responding to you directly or anyone directly... just in general to join in the discussion: There is no rule that states that Taylor Rogers had to be pinch hit for leading off the 6th. Meaning Rogers could have pitched the 6th and the 7th after he retired that single batter in the 5th that Vazquez didn't.

     

    1-0 lead with the bases loaded and a starter that has to be pulled in the 5th. That's when you call on Rogers, the inning doesn't matter. Count me in the group that thinks Baldelli made a mistake with his bullpen choice that particular moment. But... I've already forgiven and I assume it won't be the last mistake he makes. 

     

    I have no complaints to register. 

    What we saw Wednesday is why I am opposed to the 3 batter minimum rule. I wasn’t necessarily opposed to bringing in Vasquez (as said above, anyone in the bullpen should be able to get outs), but after a couple of pitches it was apparent that Vasquez had the baseball equivalent of “happy feet” and didn’t belong in the game.

     

    In hindsight I like the idea of a double switch and starting the inning with Perez. But can’t really argue with leaving in Odorizzi either. Turned into an entertaining inning!




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