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    Despite the Pohlads Best Efforts, This Team Might Be Better Off

    Something stank about the way the team hit during the Carlos Correa era, and maybe his exit will free some of the team's younger hitters to get out of their own heads.

    Hans Birkeland
    Image courtesy of © Ken Blaze-Imagn Images

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    My first reaction to last Thursday was denial. Surely there were other prospects thrown into the Griffin Jax and Brock Stewart trades. Then came anger—because there weren’t. I even wrote a screed blasting the whole thing as a conspiracy to sell the team to a private equity conglomerate of ghouls who’d move the franchise to Nashville. Thankfully, the good editors at Twins Daily politely declined to publish it.

    Then came coping: “If Pablo López comes back and Connor Prielipp shoves out of the bullpen, we’re really only seven games back of the Wild Card…” Nope. That was bargaining.

    Any series in Cleveland is depressing, but this one gave me some clarity—or at least enough to revisit my own theory: this team has been maddeningly inconsistent because it’s full of J.D. Drews. Drew was a tinkerer. Talented, but not exactly a spark plug. That, to me, has been the Twins' hitting identity for a while now.

    We didn’t expect this offense to be dominant coming into the year—not even with Byron Buxton, Carlos Correa, Matt Wallner, Royce Lewis, Trevor Larnach, Willi Castro, Ryan Jeffers, and more waiting in the wings. We figured that if the team succeeded, it’d be on the back of the pitching staff. Other fanbases might look at that same group and see a potentially strong lineup. We knew better.

    We knew the lineup would be less than the sum of its parts—and I’d argue that’s been a defining feature of the Correa era.

    I’m not saying the team will be better now that he’s gone, but I do think the offense might be. Correa was never the type to just roll out of bed and go 3-for-4. He needed the right conditions: good health, a hitting coach he vibed with, a long ramp-up period, warm weather, and some BABIP luck. Like J.D. Drew, he’d be great on a team where he wasn’t the guy. But as the centerpiece? It doesn’t work. And you don’t really want younger players modeling themselves after that.

    How many times have we heard guys like Brooks Lee, Wallner, and Jeffers say their swing “sucks,” or that they’re making some minor tweak, or trying a different bat? That’s the culture Correa brought in, intentionally or not.

    During his peak in Houston, Correa wasn’t the alpha. The tone-setters were José Altuve and Yuli Gurriel—guys who saw the ball, hit the ball, and adjusted on the fly. Correa complemented that. After pitchers were worn down by Altuve and Gurriel slapping hits on balls a foot outside the zone, Correa would punish the mistake. He often did his best work lower in the lineup.

    It’s like a golfer who plays "golf swing" instead of playing golf. A team can survive having one or two of those guys. Some teams have so many resources that they can field a whole lineup of swing technicians and still win—like the Yankees. But even they caught backlash in 2024 for leaning too hard into metrics, swing mechanics, and defensive WAR, instead of just… playing the game. They were even exposed in a minor scandal for rewarding minor leaguers based on batted-ball data instead of actual results.

    That’s not inherently a bad thing. If you have a lineup full of guys who smash the ball, great. I get that. There’s just a spectrum here. On one end, you’ve got the Yankees and Correa. On the other, you’ve got guys like Doug Mientkiewicz preaching baseball instincts. You can’t skew too far in either direction. Can we at least agree on that?

    Too many Twins hitters are playing against themselves, focused on process while smart teams are focused on results. Anecdotally, I think Austin Martin and José Miranda have been hurt by this philosophy. Miranda in particular was Correa’s protégé. Their natural strengths—reacting and putting the ball in play—got pushed aside in favor of swing optimization and decision trees.

    Which is why I’m okay with Correa leaving. It already feels like the hitters are freed up.

    Martin got caught stealing third the other night, and yeah—it looked bad. But the team was ahead, and he was trying to force the issue. (Maybe just don’t run on Jake Rogers next time.) On Sunday, Kody Clemens dropped down a bunt to drive in the winning run. Not because bunting is part of his offensive profile or the numbers said to do it, but because he recognized the moment. That’s playing the game.

    And wouldn’t you know it—the team’s leader again is Byron Buxton, the ultimate see-ball-hit-ball guy. I like the idea of Emmanuel Rodríguez and Walker Jenkins coming up and learning from him. If they need to make technical tweaks, that’s what the coaches are for.

    I’m not saying the Twins are going to win this year or next. And I’m not naïve enough to think the technocratic Correa philosophy will vanish overnight. Correa is a proven winner, a champion, and he made some critical high-IQ plays that helped break the team’s playoff curse. But his presence shaped the team’s approach in a way that didn’t work for everyone—especially for younger players like Miranda and Lee. Without him, those guys now have the option to go back to being who they were. Whether that’s a hair-on-fire type like Luke Keaschall, or a passive mistake-hitter like Rodríguez.

    Everything now hinges on the next ownership group. The roster still has talent, and it’s suddenly cheap. We could get bought by Scrooge Capital, trade away Joe Ryan and López, and become the Cayman Island Twins. Or we could get an owner who invests—say, $10 million in bullpen help, signs a real first baseman, and locks up a couple of core guys.

    If we get that owner—or even just get the payroll to $120 million—I’ll be jazzed about next year. The curse is still broken. The Pohlads are gone. Sign me up.

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    20 hours ago, rv78 said:

    And what you won't read about is when he used that same cerebral approach and hit into a doubleplay to end a Twins rally. How often does he tell his teammates about those experiences? I think they were more numerous. 

    Those rally-ending double-play balls certainly DID become a problem!

    21 hours ago, NYCTK said:

    I hate the Pohlads. But it seems too much ire for this dismantling is on them and not on the rightful target, Falvey. 

    It sucks IF his goals or budgets were drastically changed after the 2023 postseason, but the Twins still had a middle of the pack payroll and it's his job to figure out how to put a good roster together. Instead he gave Twins fans DaShawn Keirsey and Mickey Gasper for opening day. One is maybe forgivable. Both, is just a failure. 

    Getting rid of Correa is a great decision, for Falvey or whomever takes over his job when he's justifiably axed. 

    There's plenty of blame to go around but there is no chance Falvey would have resigned Correa if ownership was going to cut payroll the next season. That completely hamstrung what the FO could do. Most of the blame should be on the Pohlads.

    Hans, this is one of the better articles I have seen here in some time, good job. I agree what you say about Correa and Twins hitters should take the "see ball, hit ball" approach since that is what likely got them to pro ball in the first place. Sure, MLB pitchers are smarter and better but I think the Twins computerized hitting style under this regime killed their productivity. Twins coaches should let the hitters hit and the pitchers pitch and when they ask for help, then step in and give them some tips to try versus forcing hitters and pitchers to pitch in a certain style. Keep up the good writing.

    I find it interesting that the writer blames the failed hitting on a single player, and not on the coaching staff or whole organizational set up.  I get that a leader in the clubhouse can have an impact on other players, positive or negative.  However, the organization and coaches should have a much larger impact.  If they do not, then you really need to reevaluate your coaching staff. 

    I am one that in baseball, if a swing is not broke do not fix it.  I think the Twins and many other teams feel that they can predict a swing is broke before the results tell you it is.  Also, they want power more than anything.  Gone are the days of stringing singles, steals and hit an runs.  There may be some of that coming back these days, but Twins clearly have wanted to change swings of players to get more power, and signing players with those traits. 

    Therefore, what is the message to the players by the organization? 

    Overall, I agree with the statement of the article that the team in the long run may be in better shape, and that is getting off the CC contract.  I know fans were happy the Twins finally spent on a free agent.  However, it proved again, spending big on FA for mid to smaller markets can hamstring you for years if the player is not earning that contract. 

    His first contract with Twins he did earn his money, not being MVP level but earning 5.3 bWAR showed he was worth longer term contract.  However, after signing the second long term contract he had total 5.6 bWAR across 2.5 seasons.  He has been fighting injuries, and was not just earning his contract when healthy.  Last year he was on a nice pace to earn it, but then injuries derailed it. He is now on the wrong side of 30, and you can expect his production to decrease each year.  

    He was never a super offense guy, but was elite defender with above average hitter.  Now, his defense has dropped a ton, and his hitting has not increased.  There is talks about moving him off SS now anyways.  We have possible viable replacements at near same production for much cheaper over the rest of the CC contract.  Yes, we are paying 33 mil over that time, but the team will now have more open money to spread out on different players.

    Now I expect fans to say yeah they will not spend it, but if it means they can keep a few other players that add more value, it is worth it.  If the owners said dump payroll and you either need to dump 3 lower payroll guys or CC dumping CC was the right move.

    On 8/9/2025 at 9:52 AM, KirbyDome89 said:

    I've never been a huge Correa fan as far as personality goes (too crafted) but we're blaming him for young guys not developing? I mean c'mon....

    His "protege," Jose Miranda has been terrible in AAA this year. Does the Correa Effect stretch all the way to St. Paul?

    Its quite possible that's what got him there if my theory is correct. But it is just a theory. I also think Miranda getting hit in the head right out of the All-Star break in 2024 may have effected him more than was let on. Sad story either way.

    19 hours ago, Trov said:

    I find it interesting that the writer blames the failed hitting on a single player, and not on the coaching staff or whole organizational set up.  I get that a leader in the clubhouse can have an impact on other players, positive or negative.  However, the organization and coaches should have a much larger impact.  If they do not, then you really need to reevaluate your coaching staff. 

    I am one that in baseball, if a swing is not broke do not fix it.  I think the Twins and many other teams feel that they can predict a swing is broke before the results tell you it is.  Also, they want power more than anything.  Gone are the days of stringing singles, steals and hit an runs.  There may be some of that coming back these days, but Twins clearly have wanted to change swings of players to get more power, and signing players with those traits. 

    Therefore, what is the message to the players by the organization? 

    Overall, I agree with the statement of the article that the team in the long run may be in better shape, and that is getting off the CC contract.  I know fans were happy the Twins finally spent on a free agent.  However, it proved again, spending big on FA for mid to smaller markets can hamstring you for years if the player is not earning that contract. 

    His first contract with Twins he did earn his money, not being MVP level but earning 5.3 bWAR showed he was worth longer term contract.  However, after signing the second long term contract he had total 5.6 bWAR across 2.5 seasons.  He has been fighting injuries, and was not just earning his contract when healthy.  Last year he was on a nice pace to earn it, but then injuries derailed it. He is now on the wrong side of 30, and you can expect his production to decrease each year.  

    He was never a super offense guy, but was elite defender with above average hitter.  Now, his defense has dropped a ton, and his hitting has not increased.  There is talks about moving him off SS now anyways.  We have possible viable replacements at near same production for much cheaper over the rest of the CC contract.  Yes, we are paying 33 mil over that time, but the team will now have more open money to spread out on different players.

    Now I expect fans to say yeah they will not spend it, but if it means they can keep a few other players that add more value, it is worth it.  If the owners said dump payroll and you either need to dump 3 lower payroll guys or CC dumping CC was the right move.

    If I were to expand on this piece, I would delve into how expectations have historically not been good for this club. The Twins have always had their most success when they catch lightning in a bottle while also playing with house money. Correa is the antithesis of both of those (admittedly highly subjective) concepts. But you're right he can't be entirely to blame- he was enabled by the entire coaching staff and even the front office calling him an "assistant gm."




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