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Make believe 2023 Minnesota Twins game 3.


Twins Video

Simulated Game 3 -- Twins 11 Royals 5. Twins Record 3-0

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Royals Fall, 11-5, to Buxton, Twins
Minnesota center fielder Byron Buxton was a significant contributor in his team's 11-5 triumph over the Kansas City Royals. He went 4-4 with a home run, 3 singles, and a walk, while scoring 4 times and driving in 2 for Minnesota. Minnesota goes to 3-0.

Minnesota used a well-timed hit by Donovan Solano to capture the win. The second baseman socked a bases-clearing double in the top of the first inning to put the Twins ahead, 6-0. Though it was his only hit in 2 at-bats, it was important.

"I like to lead by example," said Solano. "I'm glad I could contribute to a good win."

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Notes:

Buxton stole another base and hit a home run.

Gallo keeps hitting.

The make believe Twins keep getting strong starts.

Thielbar had a rough day.

B. Keller for the Royals had a real rough day.

Real Life Game 3 -- Twins 7 Royals 4. Twins Record 3-0

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Simulation Information

I have always been a big fan of simulations. I thought simulating each Minnesota Twins game this season and comparing it to the real world would be fun. OOTP baseball is a baseball simulation that will work perfectly for this exercise that literally has no point except to entertain me for the next six months or so. I may be unable to write something and post daily so I may only do this after each series.

You can read more about OOTP baseball here.

https://www.ootpdevelopments.com/out-of-the-park-baseball-home/

The game setup is that Rocco Baldelli makes the following decisions:

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4 Comments


Recommended Comments

jkcarew

Posted

"Buxton stole another base..."

Your simulation has some bad data in it. As demonstrated by his first two baserunning slides of the season (and the total of 6 SB attempts over 92 games in 2022)...the only way Buxton is stealing a base is if the pitcher has a medical emergency on the mound.

Schmoeman5

Posted

I don't understand how your simulation works? For example. You have Pagan going 2 and 2/3 innings. How or why would a simulator pick Pagan to go that long? Not because its Pagan but more because Baldelli seldom uses a bullpen in that way. And how does it select a lineup or roster?

jlarson

Posted

29 minutes ago, jkcarew said:

"Buxton stole another base..."

Your simulation has some bad data in it. As demonstrated by his first two baserunning slides of the season (and the total of 6 SB attempts over 92 games in 2022)...the only way Buxton is stealing a base is if the pitcher has a medical emergency on the mound.

Rocco is aggressive!

jkcarew

Posted

Just now, jlarson said:

Rocco is aggressive!

Sorry....but that'd be more bad data.😉

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