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nicksaviking

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Everything posted by nicksaviking

  1. Usually a less familiar name pops, so I gotta throw one out for a prediction. I kind of want to pick Ty Langenberg as he fits that no-name low-draft profile starter the Twins have been hitting on, and he pitched well last year with little fanfare. However, he's a Big 10 pitcher, and Big 10 pitchers don't tend to pan out. So I'm going to go with Rayne Doncon instead.
  2. I'm open to trading Duran, but I'm not interested in more prospects. And if they are trading for prospects, it needs to be for upside bats. This team's issue is that they just have not found enough consistently productive hitters. They should be prioritizing finding enough reliable bats to slot into at least the first six spots in the lineup. Bench players, platoon catchers and swing-arms are what you should be looking for AFTER you have a solid batting order and front of the rotation.
  3. At some point people are going to realize that McCarthy would probably be the top QB in this draft class, I could see this happening. If they used a top five pick on a corner, I'd probably lose my mind though. I know, I'm the anti-CB guy, but man, this team just cannot keep throwing those picks away anymore.
  4. Double plays for a catcher? What is this conversation about again? You said the Twins shouldn't get rid of Vazquez for McCann because Jeffers doesn't throw out base runners. Even though McCann is better at it than both Jeffers and Vazquez.
  5. I wouldn't say it's 'junk science' but I also wouldn't say there's a terribly reliable methodology either since we don't know which pitches the umpire was going to miss with or without the 'framing'. Umpires are missing about 11 pitches per game now, which contrary to popular belief is way down from decades past: https://blogs.fangraphs.com/strike-three-lets-check-in-on-umpire-accuracy/ Assuming half of those misses were called strikes but should be balls, they're missing 5-6 strikes per game available for catchers to steal, so 2-3 per team. Even if a catcher can steal all three, which sounds unlikely, I don't think a three net *possible* strikes is enough to prioritize that skill.
  6. Just like running out ground balls, it's worth the effort to frame the pitches, but in today's game the results continue to diminish with the technology and uniform strike zone. I wouldn't go too far out of my way to find a good framer over a catcher with other positive attributes, and I certainly wouldn't go out of my way to sign or develop one for multiple years because robot umps could happen any season now.
  7. So despite them 'running at will' on Jeffers, he allowed a measly 6 more runners to advance (while throwing out two more) than Vazquez did. So saving 6 more stolen bases is worth the .575 OPS?
  8. And further update: Uhhhhh, Jeffers only threw out 17% of his baserunners last year. Compared to Vazquez's 16%. I guess find another stat to cherry pick?
  9. Yeah, there is. Ask fundamentals-are-essential God Tom Kelly who put Brian Harper behind the plate for six seasons.
  10. I agree. The QB draft hype this year is going to look more artificial than normal. It's probably not quite as bad as the 2022 class where Kenny Pickett was the default top QB, but it's close. And teams don't give up nearly as big of a haul for any other position.
  11. I hope so. So far that draft class of pitchers hasn't popped like the prior classes.
  12. Crazy that there are currently 9 teams within one game of the 1st overall pick. And I don't think that any of these teams are purposefully tanking. The best part is that the Bears have lost 10 straight, only have four wins, and are currently picking 9th!
  13. I honestly couldn't care less who the backup catcher is. But how is McCann "much worse" than Vazquez? Vazquez hasn't had an OPS over .600 since he got to Minnesota. There is no amount of defense that could make up for Vazquez's lack of offense.
  14. Brave bet. I had fantasy titles on the line and was worried all day that someone above him was going to force Campbell to sit the starters.
  15. Ouch. Moody's face says that he knows his time in the league is over after next week.
  16. For sure. But there seems to be way more of those kinds of franchises now than there used to be. Too many over-confident billionaires that think they know more than they do about football just because they know more than most people about business.
  17. QB options are limited next year, I'm guessing they'd still get a ton from a dumb and desperate team and still too much from even a smart team. I mean, for as average as he is, that's probably Sheduer Sanders' ceiling.
  18. I suppose if the Lions win tonight, that also leaves them with the option of a tie with the Vikings to claim the #1 seed next week. Probably still not worth the risk, but this game isn't 100% meaningless for Dan Campbell like the national narrative seems to be saying. More like 95% meaningless.
  19. Well I knew 2017 was the last year the Vikings swept them, looking at their schedule, the Lions did as well.
  20. It's only one year. I wouldn't mess with it off of this small of a sample size. In the regular season, teams ranked 12th and higher beat teams ranked in the top five all the time. If anything, the NCAA is probably drooling over the consternation of teams like Alabama not getting in because in the end it's just going to fuel the request for MORE teams to get into the playoffs. Even if some of the games aren't exciting, they are still drawing more fans, and can be sold to networks for significantly more money than the non-playoff bowl games.
  21. His velocity seems to be holding but his dropping K% should be a big concern. It's down 7% from 2022 and 13% since 2020. He's still getting the job done, but how long will that last if he continues to put the ball in play more and more often? Even though you have to give up player equity to do so, I still like what the Twins were doing, trading for starters still under team control and still most likely in their peak years.
  22. If the seedings hold, I'm going to predict the Rams with the #3 seed take out the Eagles. Of course that also means the Vikings get Detroit for the 3rd time in the second round assuming they beat TB/ATL.
  23. Yeah, Mayfield is a wild card. Either he'll carve up the Vikings secondary, or he'll throw three picks in a blowout loss to them.
  24. Usually 'catchers' that play multiple other positions, aren't good catchers. If this team didn't trust Jair Camargo, who has caught more than 3x as many minor league games as Gaspar despite being 6 years younger, I really doubt the Twins see Gaspar as a legit catching option.
  25. In that scenario, the Vikings would only play them if the beat the Eagles. If they are the sixth seed, GB would only have to go through the NFC West/South winner.
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