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nicksaviking

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Everything posted by nicksaviking

  1. nicksaviking
    One variable we should probably also consider is that Miguel Sano looks like he might have a pretty similar contemporary in Kris Bryant. Bryant is represented by Scott Boras and plays for the big pocketed Chicago Cubs. It may behoove the Twins to work out a deal with Sano first as the Cubs have a lot more room to offer a cartoonish contract.
  2. nicksaviking
    I really thought Jay would be given multiple innings, even while pitching out of relief. Man, he's going to take a long time to stretch out and get to a respectable innings workload, he's going to have to be on the same schedule as the guys they draft as HS starters. Levi Michael's .801 OPS is looking optimistic. It feels a little hallow though as he really doesn't appear to be more than average at any particular thing, save perhaps for taking a walk. 9 2B, 5 3B and 4 HR in 181 AB I guess can equal a .437 SLG, but it sure doesn't feel very impressive. Sometimes boring ballplayers turn into sneaky good ballplayers.
  3. nicksaviking
    Yeah, I was very impressed and excited watching that. I agree with Parker though, the surprise may wear off quickly, I think we even saw it late in the game, while half the Orioles were still chasing the curve, a few of them had caught on. To keep this up, he's probably going to have to be a little less predictable about when the pitch is coming, and he's probably going to have to miss closer to the zone. If the book on you is that you have a good curve, at some point teams are going to drill into their players that if it's coming in low, lay off. Those swings at pitches in the dirt won't consistantly be there once teams wise up. These seem like fairly easily adjustments though, if they are needed.
  4. nicksaviking
    Nice first post, welcome aboard.
  5. nicksaviking
    We say that now, but are they any different than Edwin Jackson? This time next year when Nolasco's deal is down to a year and change, I'm guessing there will be plenty of thought going into DFA'ing him if he still has a 5+ ERA and no other team will come near him. And this time in 2017 there would be no doubt he'd be DFA'd under these same circumstances.
  6. nicksaviking
    And with the PED era in the rearview mirror (knock on wood) teams realized the foolishness in giving these monster contracts to players in their mid-30s.
  7. nicksaviking
    I don't think so, good one.
  8. nicksaviking
    Jose Tabata and Starlin Castro. Again, just off the top of my head though. Still, I'd rather crap out on a deal like this to a youngster than a veteran. I'd guess the Cubs have a better chance of moving Castro and his ugly contract than the Twins do of moving Hughes, Santana or Mauer. (Not to praise the Cubs, they found it just as difficult to move Edwin Jackson)
  9. nicksaviking
    In the 1st? Where they drawing the lineup out of a hat? Unless the Rochester lineup is so stacked that Vargas has to bat at the bottom of the order, this seems like a highly unusual lineup construction.
  10. nicksaviking
    Jedd Gyorko, Dontrelle Willis and the Twins very own Joe Mays come to mind. I'd do the deal, though I'd feel a lot more comfortable with the risk if the team wasn't already on the hook for Santana, Hughes, Nolasco, Suzuki and Mauer for what seems like an eternity. Fortunately if Sano were to bust, he should still have options for the duration of most of those contracts. Do Sano, do Buxton, Berrios, May, Rosario, Hicks or whoever else looks like a good gamble in the next couple years, just no more long term deals to vets.
  11. nicksaviking
    It's not the money, it's the roster spots. I don't care about signings, I care that the best players for now and/or the future won't or perhaps already haven't gotten on to the field because of these long term deals. If Hughes or Santana pitched as poorly as they have and had Pelfrey's contract they'd already be in the pen, traded or DFA'd.
  12. nicksaviking
    Aside from May's botched BP experience, I think Pressly was by far the 2nd best option in the pen this year. Edit: I feel confident enough after looking at the stats that I will strike this part from my statement.
  13. nicksaviking
    Yes, finding a star is remote with the Rule V, however is that the bar to set? Shouldn't the goal simply to upgrade either now or the future? Even with last night, Graham has yet to be the worst guy in the bullpen one time this year, and before he got hurt, Pressly was the only guy aside from Perkins that I had any interest in keeping. Neither guy is exciting, but I'd rather have them than the rest of the circus.
  14. nicksaviking
    The median leaguewide K/9 has risen by 14.5% since the first decade of this century, meanwhile the median HR/9 rate has dropped by 6.5%. Offenses are more willing to take a strikeout while trying for HRs which are no longer as common. Yet the Twins pitchers K rates are declining AND they are giving up more HR meaning they aren't taking advantage of the free outs. Baseball has changed, the Twins didn't change with it.
  15. nicksaviking
    I would like to add another issue. While it has barely come into play lately due to all the poor starts, the 100 pitch rule still seems to be in effect. The bullpen needed a rest and Pelfrey had been pitching pretty well all things considered. Why the hell was he pulled after 5 1/3 just so O'Rourke could pitch to the bottom of the Yankee order? I say just start bringing up the hard throwers, who cares how they've been pitching in AA or AAA. See if you can catch lightning in a bottle as there is a lot more margin for error when you throw hard and can miss bats. Besides, the results could not be any worse than what they are currently getting. Are Meyer, Burdi and Chargois likely to get torched? Yes. Are Achter, Duensing and Fein likely to get torched? Still yes.
  16. nicksaviking
    And the youngest of the bunch is 29-years-old. Maybe it was getting rid of the PEDs, maybe it was getting rid of the "greenies" maybe it's just pure Darwinism, but this is clearly a young man's game. The overwhelming odds show that you want players who are on their first contract. If you don't have enough internal young players who can help, it seems one of the best alternatives for getting them is by signing free agent vets to tradable 1-2 year contracts. It's not even about the money, that's six freakin' spots on the 25 man that are inflexible, and in most of their cases there's no real solution other than cutting them, and that's not happening.
  17. nicksaviking
    Man, let's sign that guy who is 9-for-19. That would be a revelation right about now!
  18. nicksaviking
    Very interesting monthly splits. Clearly something happened in June, BABIP sure wouldn't explain the one time spike in BB% and dip in K%. Just playing assumptions, his approach changed in June. It sure looks like someone told him that he needs to start taking more pitches, which as a weak hitting middle infielder is something that likely seemed like common sense. It looks like the numbers reverted closer to previous levels after June. So what does that mean? In the first part of the year he was swinging at everything, in June he swung at nothing but in doing so he started to learn to wait for better pitches to hit? Could all just be a fluke, but at least it's a fluke in a positive direction.
  19. nicksaviking
    Because Joe West appears to operate based on some kind of strange and nefarious agenda rather than normal human psychological expectations. Otherwise, I'm game for the stats.
  20. nicksaviking
    Yeah, that's a good take. I would also accept the take that Perkins is a human being who happened to get into some literature last year about pitch framing that he found interesting but as he continued to read more about the statistics he also found some contrasting opinions and his view might have softened. If someone on this site doesn't change my opinion about a topic using sound logic and well stated reason at least once a month, it's been a bad month for you guys and gals. I'm not going to pile on the only Twins player that has come out of the closet as willing to at least listen to modern baseball ideas.
  21. nicksaviking
    I really hope my kids, and all kids, who grow up in this social media era can figure this out. Although what many people would say to an athlete or celebrity's face is likely never going to be the same as what they would say if they were lucky enough to come face to face with them, as all too often the real life conversation would be full of stutters, stammers, um's, uh's, er's and a general misapplication of correct grammar and vocabulary. Same goes for talking to pretty girls.
  22. nicksaviking
    I'm less concerned with running out of options with pitchers than batters. A batter who ends up needing more seasoning than expected doesn't make sense to hide on the bench where he'll never play. You can stick a pitcher in the bullpen though. Not really any different than how almost all Twins Rule V picks are pitchers they hand mop up duty to.
  23. nicksaviking
    To be fair, it's harder to find a clear replacement if Mauer's playing everyday and blocking any would be usurpers.
  24. nicksaviking
    Well Pelfrey, Duensing and Boyer are the only free agents (also Hunter by the letter of the law) move them, even if it's for nothing just to open up roster spots. Otherwise, wait until the offseason. This team has a much better idea of fits and needs for the future than they have any time in the past half decade. It might not have been as wise to move players in previous years as no one was really sure of what the team really had. Things are still a bit foggy, but much more predictable. Move Plouffe this winter, there should be good demand for him. Hicks, Rosario, Arcia and Kepler will all have some degree of value. Pick your favorite two, offer up the others and trade which ever gets you the best return, trade two if you get bowled away. Offer up all of Santana, Escobar and Nunez and if someone seems particularly interested than see what Polanco is worth.
  25. nicksaviking
    Well I think a big part of this idea, even if it's subconsious, is that if the Twins de-commit from Torii Hunter now, we probably don't have to worry about the possibility of them re-committing to him in the offseason. I'd like to see Buxton, but even if he was on the 25-man, Ryan coudln't make Hunter sit in favor of the youngster, that would come from Molitor, and there's no way I buy Molitor benching Hunter for Buxton. I do want Hicks and Rosario continuing their development at the MLB level and it's those two who I think would suffer the most from a Buxton call up.
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