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nicksaviking

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Everything posted by nicksaviking

  1. nicksaviking
    That is the only thing the Twins should be looking for at this point.
  2. nicksaviking
    I think if you have to play a shell game with your defensive positioning to fit everyone in, and you still have plenty of young guys behind them in AA and AAA, it's probably prudent to turn some of that offensive equity into help for the pitching staff.
  3. nicksaviking
    Pretty much all of my favorite players already are.
  4. nicksaviking
    I mean, it's got to be partially based on what you need from the spot. No matter how well he's playing, it's not like the team would roster Jose Miranda if they need his spot for another middle infielder.
  5. nicksaviking
    The Twins did a great job of using 1 inning starters last year and shuttling several from St. Paul to Minneapolis as needed. But with the current rotation (please don't let it be the opening day rotation) including two of Paddock, DeSclafani and Varland, I agree that they may need to eat more innings with the pen this year. However, with them 'beefing' up the bullpen with fewer guys with options, that's going to be much, much harder. Wow, yeah, looking at this from this perspective after typing the above two paragraphs, if Duran, Jax and reliever #7 are the only optionable guys in the pen, they absolutely have to go get another top of the rotation arm to make sure there's only one innings-limited starter. If the pen gets used up, like it does from time to time, are they really going to option Duran or Jax? Or DFA Okert or Jackson even if they're pitching well?
  6. nicksaviking
    Keirsey doesn't have the offensive upside of most of the other hitters, but with him playing CF, I'd say he has the best shot at making the team. Even it's a long shot. If Kirilloff and/or Miranda struggle with injuries again, I could see Camargo, Williams or Isola get an early look as they play 1B and would be a bonus emergency C which would provide the team the option of pinch hitting for Vazquez or occasionally DHing Jeffers with less stress. With Gordon already gone, if anyone else is traded Martin or Prato could get an unexpected shot as they can play all over the diamond.
  7. nicksaviking
    I don't think this is new. While 'long relief' has been a term I typically see on THIS site, I've heard both used for years. Probably at least since the Matt Guerrier days. Also 'swing man' for the guys who get spot starts.
  8. nicksaviking
    I'm fine moving Julien if the Twins get the top arm I want, but presuming Lee will ever be better than what Julien was last year is setting Lee up for disappointment. No prospect in the history of the game has promised to cement his spot in the starting lineup. He should be good, but Julien already has proven he is really, really good.
  9. nicksaviking
    #1 if you remove Lewis from that list. As much as I like the other two, he's clearly in a different class of player. The other two should still be excellent equity to headline a trade. And I love Julien, I'm not dismissing how talented he and Lee are.
  10. nicksaviking
    I'd go with the 'stretch' reliever, knowing that most of the successful Twins relievers of the past were 'stretch' relievers until they found that extra gear and became high leverage relievers. Duran, Jax, Duffey, May, Rogers, Perkins. They were all converted starters by the Twins, like Stewart was previously with the Dodgers. Developing one of those guys each year seems to be a great way of keeping your bullpen stocked. But it's the last spot in the pen so I expect it to be fluid. Just don't give much of a leash to the guys with control problems. I know every team thinks they have some special magic to fix that, but no one ever does.
  11. nicksaviking
    I just don't buy the 'floor' argument for pitching prospects. Every single one of them has the same floor, that being a complete bust. Raya certainly has both benefited and been hurt by small sample sizes. While his first 13 innings in AA were a disaster, his last 16 were nearly flawless. One run and three walks in those last five outings. And outside of those first 13 innings in AA, his control has been decent, something Festa can't claim. And if there's one thing that torpedoes a good prospect's chances, it's giving up the free passes. Barring catastrophic injury, both of them have enough prospect equity to at least get their chance at the majors, but I honestly think Raya has a better chance of making it, even if he doesn't approach that high ceiling.
  12. nicksaviking
    I can't imagine any of them are regretting their picks either. Well, maybe the stupid Tigers. Wrong high schooler suckers! Nope, not worried about that being a jinx, Jenkins' talents are superior to my sorcery.
  13. nicksaviking
    I had forgotten about the time Balazovic broke his jaw in a fight; it was really the only time I heard Baldelli talk about one of his players in a dismissive manner. Maybe it was overblown or maybe he's a new person, but maybe he has a personality that wasn't worth the trouble.
  14. nicksaviking
    I'd like to see Miranda, but only because I think he has a significantly higher chance to be a middle of the order bat. But signing Santana and trading Gordon pretty much eliminated that, save for injury.
  15. nicksaviking
    Yeah, I don't get it. Admittedly I don't know the landscape of all the men and women in charge of the operations side of all 30 teams, but how many of them have a local guy with zero other business experience running the show? Aren't the other teams plucking these guys from Fortune 500 companies or something?
  16. nicksaviking
    Julien and Lee have 3x the value of Arraez; they have exponentially higher ceilings. Arraez is a slap hitter and this is 2024, nobody cares about batting titles. If the Marlins wanted to trade Arraez back to the Twins for Julien, they'd have to include significant prospects. You want a different one? Jose Berrios for Simeon Woods-Richardson and Austin Martin. Happens all the time.
  17. nicksaviking
    Paulo Lopez for Luis Arraez? Sonny Gray for Chase Petty? And the Twins got the OTHER team to even throw in additional pieces in those deals.
  18. nicksaviking
    12% strikeout rate, from a HS kid, in pro ball. Insane. When guys are delayed in the system, it's usually due to a number somewhere near 3x that rate. If he reaches AA before August, I hope they have one of those fancy new big money extensions waiting for him in his locker.
  19. nicksaviking
    Barring injury these guys all seem like locks based on how they preformed last year. As underwhelming as Winder and Sands have been, have they been any less underwhelming than Staumont? He hasn't had a good season in three years. I thought it was discussed when signed that he did have an option, which really was the only thing that made sense about that signing.
  20. nicksaviking
    And it was reported that the TV deal went from 50M to 40M last I heard. So TV revenue drops 10M and payroll drops 25M. Solid math St. Peter.
  21. nicksaviking
    No, you can do it without using Lewis. They got Lopez by trading Arraez. If Julien or Lee can't headline a trade for a better pitcher than Ober/Ryan/Paddock, than the rest of the league has gone insane. And I'm still on board with USING Ryan along with prospects to upgrade that spot in the rotation.
  22. nicksaviking
    Because they regularly go more than one inning. I think they'll need at least one of that kind of reliever in the pen, especially early in the year when it's cold and starters aren't going as deep into games. Plus, Staumont has a 13% walk rate, which is terrible.
  23. nicksaviking
    Even if he's ready to go, I don't think Staumont makes the team, I think he was mostly attractive due to his option. There's no multi-inning reliever listed, I think Winder or Sands gets Staumont's spot.
  24. nicksaviking
    That's great. But get me somebody that already is. Having Ober turn into that guy in September would be a great bonus.
  25. nicksaviking
    I am excited for the Twins prospects, but I'm not holding on to all of them when the team could use them to get top of the rotation pitching. And you're right about Sale's value. He was considered one of, if not the best pitcher in the league. I'd give up the commensurate prospects to get a pitcher to win in the playoffs.
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