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ewen21

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Everything posted by ewen21

  1. ewen21
    Is it a coincidence that Astudillo has the word STUD inside of it? I think not
  2. ewen21
    I live in a small village that has a couple of watering holes. I was able to "social drink" then walk home in the snow. Funny thing is I was in a good mood! I like Willians, too.....but it almost feels like the guy is being lampooned by the press.
  3. ewen21
    I like WIllians, by the way.
  4. ewen21
    A friend of mine finally landed a new job yesterday after months and months of uncertainty. I don't think I have done shots in a couple of years and I did several + several more last night. A rare ocassion indeed. Ugh
  5. ewen21
    Hard to say Hildy or others like him need to "bounce back" when he only pitched 42 major league innings prior to last season
  6. ewen21
    Yup. Lose.
  7. ewen21
    By the same token, how is not knowing what really happened a good thing? This is the age of information and people in his spot can't quite fly under the radar anymore. If it had to do with some kind of foolish behavior it would help to know. I'll try to give him the benefit of the doubt, but since he's amassed some pretty silly incidents off the field and you wonder if poor decision-making will sabotage his career eventually. I have tried to give him credit for the work he apparently did this offseason. Hard to imagine this didn't involve some stupidity/hijinks on his part. More than likely, information is being suppressed to protect him. Not sure if that is helping him
  8. ewen21
    I'll blame it on the Jamesons. Sorry folks
  9. ewen21
    I'm joking. But seriously...shouldn't we want Berrios to own him?
  10. ewen21
    Not exactly dazzled by the "celebration" How about the guy ACCOMPLISH SOMETHING first? Nice fat body and and hair. Am I supposed to go all in on this cutsie-poo garbage?
  11. ewen21
    If only the owners could have given him another guaranteed million this would have never happened.
  12. ewen21
    And what has the MLPA done for them?
  13. ewen21
    Would be nice to see the MLPA actually advocate for minor leaguers. They can effect change in that realm
  14. ewen21
    SO a lot of the money the owners made didn't necessarily come from the baseball players. In many successful cases it comes from how they operated other areas of the business. Owners are not making money hand over fist in many cases, as seems to be the prevailing thought in this thread (at least up until your post). Six teams had negative operating incomes last year: https://www.forbes.com/mlb-valuations/list/#header:operatingIncome The players just play the game. The owners run the business, put up the capital and if they make money by doing deals that go beyond baseball then good for them. They don't necessarily need to take that money and pump it into ballplayer salaries. I would like it if they did, but how about this for a concept.. What if players agreed to donate 2% of their salaries to guys in the high minors so they can make some money? Maybe advocate for them a little more? Seems to me a lot of people are advocating for the players to make every penny and I never hear BOO about minor league players
  15. ewen21
    No thank you. Why look bother analyzing. And when you say things like this: Fangraphs has never advocated Dozier to receive anything approaching $46 mil for a single year of his services What are you really saying about this methodology I need to look at more closely? To what end? If it doesn't serve too deal terms applicable to reality I cannot bother with it. Moreover, how can you use the Michael Brantley example over and over again to give it validity when you say what is in bold above? I will try to answer all your questions but you have ignored all of mine thus far Have a good day. Maybe we can pick this up next week. I have things do as I have an extended weekend and places to go
  16. ewen21
    As great as Mookie Betts was last year are we going so insane as to believe he is worth $83 million for a 1 year deal in the open market?
  17. ewen21
    You are isolating a detail of little consequence and ignoring the fact that I already acknowledged 20 million was Max's alleged value in the market. Why keep pursuing this?
  18. ewen21
    FWIW, he would likely be on the sideline with Manny and Bryce waiting to get his money. Seven years for Max Kepler after last year? The Twins clearly like him and trust him. I can't see him getting that kind of security from an organization that didn't raise him. This contract is unique. We could benefit enormously from it, but I cannot agree with anyone who says he'd get 7 years in the open market. Not until these kinds of contracts for 25 year old guys who hit .224 the season prior become the norm.
  19. ewen21
    I did clearly express this value assumes Max in the FA market so it is perplexing to me why you would feel the need to explain this to me And it is still the average salary. If you want to subtract out all players that are pre-free agent eligible you actually further my case
  20. ewen21
    Player salaries resemble to me the way homes were priced in the mid-2000s. The way the stock market was as we moved toward Y2K. The writing has been on the wall for a while. These contracts just don't work and corrections happen. FanGraphs has a valuation model that needs to be adjusted because in no way does it reflect REALITY when it comes to what players get on the open market as free agents. This begs the question..... How much longer did player salaries need to increase at ridiculous rates? Average player salaries increased by over 100% from 2001 to 2015. Was this supposed to continue until the end of time?
  21. ewen21
    I could care less about the methodology used to arrive at this absurdity. When they are telling me that Dozier "could be worth" 46,000,000 dollars in the open market for a one year deal I stop listening. It has nothing to do with reality no matter how clever and detailed it might be.
  22. ewen21
    A right fielder averages about 2 putouts a game. They can go weeks without having an opportunity to make a great play in even then it isn't a guarantee it's a game changer. Defensive value among major league outfielders really is difficult to pin down. A great outfielder doesn't get to do that much more than an average one, whereas a great hitter has so so many more opportunities to shine. Defense is definitely important, but a single player rarely gets to change games with his glove and Max Kepler isn't that guy to me. I became increasingly concerned with his bat. A .224 average or whatever he hit last year isn't good from any angle. Kind of odd that he gets this contract after that kind of season, but whatever
  23. ewen21
    The average major league salary is a shade over 4 million a year. By the rationale (or lack of it) provided through FanGraphs' valuation system Max is worth roughly five times more than the average player if he were to step into the FA market. In reality, I don't think there is a team in the league that would have handed Max the deal the Twins gave him. It isn't an astronomical amount of money, but I cannot envision some other team handing him a 7 year deal. This is comes with him being a known commodity and generally well-liked within the organization. They are betting on Max, and that is a good thing for Max. He knows how to "play the game" and be a good soldier so he gets his deal. As far as FanGraphs money goes, it is like the defunct Italian Lira to me. I had a few friends go to Germany/Italy for several weeks in the fall of 1984. They drank some towns dry in Italy and spend like $10 American dollars in the process. It was too hard to believe, but that was how the currency was valued.
  24. ewen21
    It was precisely this kind of thought process that generated the notion last winter that Machado and Harper could be signing $400 million dollar contracts. The kind of thinking that has Machado and Harper both believing they shouldn't take anything less than $300 in guaranteed money.
  25. ewen21
    That is just the thing. FanGraphs disgustingly overrates player value, in my opinion. If you check Brian Dozier as an example he was "according to FanGraphs" worth $40 million and $46 million in 2016 and 2017 (if he were a FA in the open market). How does this jibe with reality? The player valuations based off WAR seems completely arbitrary to me. While WAR is an indicator I like to see it is not infallible and should not be viewed as a singular confirmation of how much a player is worth. What exactly is the logic here? It starts to become far too removed from any kind of common sense and more about numbers. Seems to me in this valuation they assume "average player" has a WAR of 1.0 so that should be in proportion to the average salary. They set that at 7 million and for every WAR point they score you multiply by 7 million? Whatever they do to value Dozier over $40 million in two different seasons says all you need to know about it. I appreciate everything else about FanGraphs, however, this valuation system is utterly absurd. Maddening actually.
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