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powrwrap

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Everything posted by powrwrap

  1. powrwrap
    That is my contention. One needs only look at the HRs hit by the Twins at Target Field vs. HRs hit by the Twins away from Target Field. There's a huge gap, especially in 2010.
  2. powrwrap
    Yes, it is a small sample size and the data is not easily compiled. I used the AL Central because they played 9 games at TF. I would have liked to have done all teams and to have done 2010 as well. My main point is that tracking how many HRs that Twins pitchers give up on the home and road is not the stat that we should be concerned about. It is HRs/game at Target Field vs. HR/game elsewhere.
  3. powrwrap
    The number of HR's Twins pitchers allow at home vs. on the road is not the stat we are looking for. We're looking for the HR's hit per game by individual teams at Target Field vs. all other parks. Examples: Kansas City hit 4 HR at Target Field in 9 games for a HR rate of .444 per game. They hit 125 HRs everywhere else in 152 games for a rate of .822 per game. Chicago hit 8 HR at Target Field in 9 games for a HR rate of .888 per game. They hit 146 HRs everywhere else in 152 games for a rate of .960 per game. Cleveland, at Target Field, 1.000 per game; elsewhere .953. Detroit, at Target Field, 1.000 per game, elsewhere 1.052.
  4. powrwrap
    It's both, but it's mostly the park. If it's the players explain the home/away split of 2010. For that matter explain the home/away split every year. That data is a part of HR/game at Target Field. Target Field has the 3rd lowest HR rate in the AL. That's with 15 other teams coming in there to play.
  5. powrwrap
    Excellent article. Your line about opposing defenses being able to draw a chalk line at Revere's max hitting range is spot on. Being able to move that line is a subtle advantage for the Twins. I saw his drive to the deep OF last night as well and was pleasantly surprised. His fly ball might have been wind-aided a bit but it was still tagged well. I remember going to a game late in 2010 and Revere ended up grounding out weakly to the pitcher four times in a row. I ended up naming that sort of an at-bat "Revering it." He is improving which is encouraging. Where can one find data on Revere's (or any player) ground out/air out ratios? Has Revere's fly ball ratio increased?
  6. powrwrap
    And that improves the offense....how?
  7. powrwrap
    Why is it too small? The stat is HR/game. We have over 175 data points. Thousands of at bats, at least 16 visiting teams, various different batters and pitchers. The trend is clear--Target Field is not a HR park. As the subject of the oringinal post the goal is to improve the Twins' offense. These pitchers have to pitch in smaller parks all over the league, they better simply buckle up and deal with it. If the worry is pitcher's performance with a smaller park, loosen the wallet and go out and get some groundball out type of pitchers.
  8. powrwrap
    Could you elaborate?
  9. powrwrap
    No, it means that Target Field is not a HR park. It means that Target Field has the 3rd lowest HR rate in the AL. The Twins project to hit about 52 HRs at home, 60 on the road. Looks a lot like last year's numbers, except with Willingham in the lineup this year.
  10. powrwrap
    Bring 'em in. Add more seats. In 2010 Target Field was 3rd lowest in HR/game in the AL (Seattle, Oakland) Twins hit 52 HR at home, 90 on the road. In 2011 Target Field was 3rd lowest in HR/game in the AL (Oakland, KC). Twins hit 46 HR at home, hit 57 HR on the road. In 2012 Target Field is 4th lowest in HR/game in the AL (Seattle, Cleveland, Anaheim, Pujols choking otherwise Target Field would again be 3rd). Twins have hit 13 at home, 15 on the road. http://www.hittrackeronline.com/stadiums.php http://espn.go.com/mlb/stats/team/_/stat/batting/split/33/sort/homeRuns/order/true
  11. powrwrap
    http://i46.tinypic.com/jtw66h.jpg
  12. powrwrap
    Why? A balk is almost always an accident. A balk is deceiving the runner. Why should the batter get rewarded? Do you know umpire scores via F/X? I admit I don't, but I'll guess that no one gets less than 90% correct. So managers who argue calls while his team is on offense accumulate mound visits?? That's an interesting twist on my idea, but would lead to gigantic lead-offs and more stolen bases. If that is your intent, OK, but I'd rather see scoring via hitting the ball rather than guys constantly stealing bases. (go watch any 12 or 13 year old ball game.)
  13. powrwrap
    I'll go a different direction--if a team wants to intentionally walk a batter have the catcher call time and inform the umpire, "we're intentionally walking this guy", ala high school rules. Let's speed up the game.
  14. powrwrap
    There's got to be something you would change in the rules of baseball so let's list them. I'll start. I'd like to see a limit on the number of times a pitcher can throw over to first base to hold a baserunner from stealing. I was at a Twins game last month and the pitcher threw over to first base 9 times during one guy's at-bat. If a pitcher throws over to first base more than five times during the same at-bat he can no longer throw over there again or else the baserunner is automatically awarded 2nd base. Let's say the pitcher has thrown over there 4 times. If he throws over there the 5th time and the runner returns to 1st base safely, the umpire calls time and awards the runner 2nd base. If during the throw over the runner vacates the base the play is live and the runner is in peril of being put out. I'd also like to see the 25 seconds between pitch rule enforced.
  15. powrwrap
    Sure they can have an opinion. Would be nice if it was an informed opinion...
  16. powrwrap
    Real men don't use the word 'cute'.
  17. powrwrap
    Your comparisons aren't quite valid. Umpires make judgment calls that spectators can witness, oftentimes with the assistance of instant replay. Fans are informed and know the rules of baseball but they've never been in the pressure situation of having to make a split second decision based on something they've seen in real time. If you were to eat at a restaurant then read a food critic's review of the same food prepared by the same chef your comparison would be legit. Or if you read the same position papers and listened to the same speeches from colleagues that a politician does and still criticize their votes in Congress you might have a comparison.
  18. powrwrap
    I hope you are using sarcasm here.
  19. powrwrap
    Derek Lowe threw 127 pitches yesterday. Near as I can tell 116 of them were sinkers. Almost all of his pitches were down and away. 51 of his pitches were out of the strike zone. The Twins got 6 hits (3 by Dozier) and had 4 walks (2 by Mauer.) http://www.fangraphs.com/pitchfxg.aspx?playerid=199&position=P&season=2012&date=2012-05-15&dh=0 At what point do you start to blame Vavra or the Twins hitters for not making adjustments? The guy is throwing sinkers over 90% of the time. They are down and away. You are supposed to be professional hitters, for heaven's sakes go with the outside pitch and hit it to the opposite field!
  20. powrwrap
    Too early to cut Marquis. I'd give him two more starts. If he still stinks I'd go along with this. I'd agree with this if it brought an existing big league starter, but I don't think that's what Souhan suggested. Here's the relevant bit from the article: The Twins need to make a reverse-Delmon trade. They traded Matt Garza for Delmon Young because they were so confident in their platoon of young arms. Now they're desperate for arms and have plenty of capable or promising outfielders in the organization. Trade Span for a pitcher or two and call up Ben Revere to play center, I presume Souhan means trade Span for a couple of starting pitching prospects, which I would disagree with if you implement strategy #1. I'd rather have the Twins trade Revere for a pitching prospect and trade Span for a current big league starter. I can go along with reassigning Vavra and bringing up Bruno. Souhan's reasoning is that Bruno can relate to the younger players and has done a good job moving up the Twins' minor league system. Plus he brings former big-league hitting cred to the equation. But this idea that Molitor and Gladden are going to shake up the team is far-fetched IMO. Sure, and bring in....who? Gardy lacks the players with talent to win games. Supposing the guy they bring in doesn't like Bruno, Molly, and Gladden?
  21. powrwrap

    3B?

    powrwrap replied to spideyo's topic in Minnesota Twins Talk

    I say play Plouffe daily for a least a month. However, if Plouffe was moved from SS because he had a wild arm, does it make sense to put him at 3B? I guess I'd rather see Plouffe at 2B and Carroll at 3B. The guy has shown some power, gotta let him play for a while.
  22. powrwrap
    It's about what I expect. They're not going to be super critical of the team but they do point out mistakes when they are made. I've only heard two or three of their podcasts and it was before the regular season began, so I can't comment. As employees of the Twins (I think) they don't have much obligation. But when you flash the standings on the screen, statistics on the screen, and give game recaps from the previous days, the Twins' ineptitude speaks for itself. I don't think that FSN needs to continually add comments about the Twins' ERA is the worst in the league, the Twins have the highest run differential in baseball, the Twins BA is one of the worst in the league, the Twins runs scored is second lowest in the league--once per broadcast is about right and they usually cover it.
  23. powrwrap
    I saw that DH was circled and was wondering why. Then I saw Mastro's name. Maybe the Twins figure he won't be up here too long so no reason to learn how to spell it.
  24. powrwrap
    ?? http://smileys.on-my-web.com/repository/Confused/sorry.gif Mastroianni?
  25. powrwrap
    Otherwise known as Revere-ing.
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