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jimmer

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Everything posted by jimmer

  1. jimmer
    Well, that scenario did happen four times last year and nine times in his career. It's an interesting scenario to use as an example :-)
  2. jimmer
    In today's chat over at Fangraphs, someone asked the host about his thoughts on Danny Santana for this year. He said 'tons of regression will hide the fact that the Twins don’t have a great other option and will probably ride even .260/.290/.380 with speed.' And you know, when we look at Santana's BA last year and some get excited. Then we see he had a BABIP over .400 and wonder how sustainable is it.
  3. jimmer
    Looks like a good start for a new thread about International Free Agent signings and how we compare to other teams in that regard. Doesn't pertain to the topic of this thread, but it is interesting and I'm sure there are many who would love to read that thread.
  4. jimmer
    yep, when he lost the spring training rotation competition spot by having the best spring training ERA of the bunch :-)
  5. jimmer
    We can't just assume how a player performed last year is how they'll perform this year. rarely happens especially with players with so little ML time. IMO, Escobar hit far above his talents. He's due to regress to the negative. Even with the 60 point BA advantage Escobar had on Hicks (due to a pretty high BABIP) he still managed to be behind Hicks in OBP by 26 points. Hicks played about as bad as he could, seems he only has one way to go. And Hicks is actually an OF.
  6. jimmer
    For AL players with 225 or more plate appearances (that was 168 guys in the AL last year), Hicks was 8th in pitches per plate appearance. Additionally, Parmellee was 7th, Willingham was 10th, Mauer was 14th and Dozier was 16th. I chose 225 or more PAs as my starting point because Hicks had 225 PAs.
  7. jimmer
    That reminds me of when the team was bragging back in the offseason prior to the 2011 season about having six quality major league starters and only five spots in the rotation and what a good problem that was. Oops.
  8. jimmer
    I concur with this post with the possible exception of the last part. IMO, the winning attitude and chemistry, that comes from actually winning.
  9. jimmer
    I think the think we need to look at a few aspects about Plouffe's journey. -He was a first round pick. -He couldn't play the position he was drafted to play. -It took until he reached the majors for the Twins to see the light and move him to 3B. -He made the team because he was out of options and the guy he had to beat out was Luke Hughes. Luke Hughes, who was also out of options, but didn't have the advantage of being a former first rounder. -It took him over 10 years to finally have a good season. Now, I think he has finally found it myself, but that's not something that screams MAN he was worth a first round pick. many here are ready to jettison him now and don't trust his defensive improvements.
  10. jimmer
    They also made the determination that he was a good defender and could go play some CF for a few games as well :-) There seems to be many of you convinced he has a huge affect in that manner, so let's hope you all are right. I'm pretty sure Trout ends up being BA no matter what. In any event, seems we could have waited a couple more years and signed him as a coach and gotten the same thing for about 9.5M less. :-)
  11. jimmer
    I am aware of the story we've all been told. it's a good story, for sure.
  12. jimmer
    Our CF options are a likely first round bust (Hicks), a 4th/5th OF talent (Schaefer), a shortstop (Santana) or a IF/OF hybrid who has twice failed a drug test (Rosario). Problematic at best, especially when you consider the statues manning the corners. Not that our OF defense is really been bad or anything:-)
  13. jimmer
    I think a lot of those times an interviewer comes up and asks a young player about a veteran player's contribution for a story or some part of a story they are doing about the veteran and what are the young players going to say? We've seen Hunter get in fights with players in the dugout, is that leadership? Some seem to think so. I don't think it is and when a guy like Hunter takes on a guy like Pujols, I definitely question it. I think Hunter TALKS a good game. He definitely loves the spotlight. He likes to do things old timers view as leadership. Whether it is actual leadership or not is debatable. As far as what those young guys really think about the veteran is anyone's guess. I doubt the young guy is going to say, 'Nah, I don't really get much from Hunter, except how to NOT do a press conference.'
  14. jimmer
    FYI, that info you can't find at B-Ref is available at Fangraphs.
  15. jimmer
    I don't think that's fair to Parker. He doesn't strike me as the kind of writer who says this is what I think/want to say and now I'm going to go cherry pick info to fit my narrative. He doesn't strike me as a person whose goal is to paint this team in a bad light. I think he decided to look at the draft years that he felt should have the most affect on our current roster and see how our first round picks, the ones believed to be the most impactful draft picks, faired production-wise against those of other teams. What I have seen in here is that some posters have an idea that the picture painted by the results is unfairly dire, that there's a bunch of reasons/excuses for why it's so dire, and are planning to do their own study in order to prove that. Seems those would fit more along the lines of what you're saying Parker did, which was come to conclusion and then do a study for the sole purpose of proving that conclusion.
  16. jimmer
    For me, it'd be preferable to keep IFs in the IF and OFs in the OF.
  17. jimmer
    and how much better will the players from the other team's drafts get over the same time frame, cause their WAR will continue to grow too. Right now, according to Parker, we are pretty much 10 WAR behind league median and 21 percent behind league median in actually getting our guys to the majors.
  18. jimmer
    and that's fine, but what does that have to do with the part of your post I quoted, which was: 'The icky feeling I get from the original article is that folks coming to TD to just read articles are probably pretty likely to leave with the conclusion that the Twins just suck at drafting.'. The quote seems to be concerned with how people visiting this site will evaluate their desire to visit this site based on a negative evaluation of a Twins process, in this case drafting. I'm not trying to be combative, I must have missed what you meant by that specific statement, and I'm just trying to understand why that was said because this explanation doesn't seem to touch on that, but rather other parts of your post which I didn't respond to. Again, just wondering, please don't take it as any kind of attack because it's not meant that way. As far as what I would have done different, not sure it's important what some guy in nowhere USA would have done, only what people considered to be a qualified GM and Director of Scouting would have done and how what they did compared to people in those positions for the other 29 teams. I look forward to the thread you will start that elaborates in this one. I'm sure it will be enjoyable.
  19. jimmer
    How close are you talking? Within 10 OPS points? Or are you going by wRC+ or what?
  20. jimmer
    Or they'll think, 'Hey here's a site that doesn't ignore the bad and is willing to discuss the bad along with the good.'. This is a team that has lost 92 or more game for four straight years. I don't think it's news to any Twins fan that there are real problems with this team right now, nor should it be news that our drafts didn't go so well for awhile in the most important round. It wouldn't be constructive at all to just talk about the positive and ignore the negative, but it would sure cut down on the amount of threads/posts to read.
  21. jimmer
    I guess we have to ask ourselves what makes a 1st rounder a bust or not. I imagine everyone has a different idea as to what bust means in the context of a first rounder, second rounder, etc. For me, if a college pitcher is drafted in the first round, and doesn't really establish himself in the majors for 5 years, and then is maybe a #3 or #4 pitcher at best when he finally gets here, I might call that a bust. I might say if a first rounder only makes the major league roster because he ran out of options and the team just didn't want to give up quite yet on him, that might be a bust.
  22. jimmer
    Exactly, we don't know how much development played a part in underwhelming results. Or, for that matter, we don't know how much drafting players based on a team philosophical way of doing things and/or grooming them to meet a certain philosophical way, specifically in regards to pitching, played a part in the underwhelming results. Some may not even feel that was an issue at all.
  23. jimmer
    Today, Dave Cameron of Fangraphs was asked which team out there will take the longest to make the playoffs going forward and his answer was 'maybe the Twins.' In a followup he explained why he said the Twins : 'Prospects fail at a very high rate. Without a front office that can succeed at building a roster around the few that don’t fail, or a really high payroll to allow them to just spend their way back into contention, it’s going to be a while for the Twins.' But then he went on to say that In-N-Out is the most overrated food in the country. So, really, grains of salt here :-)
  24. jimmer
    probably, though had we already developed a big history of doing that by the time the Trout draft came along? We might be getting a look at him right about now at the major league level too :-)
  25. jimmer
    Who knows what would have happened if we had passed on Gibson all together and got the OF from Millville HS :-)
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