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ken

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Everything posted by ken

  1. ken
    His wOBA is watered down by the walks (and lack of power). His OBP is .339 and his wOBA is .309 and according to Fan Graphs his wOBP is below average. http://www.fangraphs.com/library/offense/woba/
  2. ken
    Finally a logical explaination
  3. ken
    If you think Morneau 2010 hard hit rate is unfair, then use his 2009 rate of 39.6%. It’s still a drop of 57% to 22.5% in 2011. Plus Morneau was only able to play 69 games in the year after his concussion, so I think it pretty clear that Morneau concussion was more serious. Once a player has a concussion, he is more likely to get another concussion and it will take longer to recover. But there has not been any reoccurrence in the injury. I think using Mauer hard hit rate as evidence that he still has concussion issue is really a reach for an excuse. The reduction in his hard hit rate could just as easily be explained by the lack of training and age. And given that Mauer says he has no concussion issues and doesn’t train much in the offseason, would seem to be more reasonable. Without being a medical expert and knowing details on Mauer’s case, I guess I’m just willing to take him at his word.
  4. ken
    Mauer has been asked about his concussion and training and said he has no concussion issues and doesn't do a lot of off-season training. Not sure what proof people need to believe it's not concussion related. Morneau had a 50% reduction in his hard hit ball rate after his concussion, so a 8% reduction sounds more in line with a slow reduction in skills. I agree the most obvious reason is probably is the right answer, so why not just believe what Mauer says?
  5. ken
    Both of us lack the medical knowledge, then why not listen to the player who say he has had no concussion issues? Given that, the lack of production could very well be his lack of off-season workout. If you look at his 2013 season, if his BABIP was at his career average instead of a career high, he would have batted below .300. His strike out rate jumped, continuing a 3 year trend. Everyone jumps on these type of stats and indication for other players, but don't want to look at them with Mauer. Morneau has fought concussion and missed a lot of time as a result. So again, I don't have the medical background but it sure appears to be a lot more serious than Mauer. Can't we stop comparing someone with no concussion issues to a player who continues to suffer concussion issues, just to try and give his an excuse for his lack of production?
  6. ken
    I think the Hrbek comparison is good, Hrbek was 2nd in Rookie of Year and 2nd in MVP at the age of 24 and I thought we were watching a HOF player. But if never seemed like he worked at his game and ended up a good but not great player and out of the game at 34. Mauer was first ballot HOF talent, who doesn't look like he going to make it to the Hall. Feels now he just around because of the contract and not his contributions. And the concussion excuses are getting old when even he says he has no symptoms. Can't believe someone with a brain injury is actually going to play more games after the injury than before.
  7. ken
    The apology isn't for signing Sano - it's for slamming Smith as a terrible GM when he actually did some good things.
  8. ken
    Why all the support for Hicks? Sure Schafer is hitting a very Hicks like .215 this year, but he did hit .285 last year and his defensive metrics were better than Hicks. Schafer is starting to hit better and the Twins are winning. Make Hicks show he can produce longer than a month in AAA. If he end up being just a 4th outfielder, there is no reason to bring him up. Schafer is not the answer, but don't fall in love with the player you thinks Hicks is and forget about the player he has shown to be. Next year he is out of options, so if keeping him in the minors helps, you have to do it this year.
  9. ken
    Good point on Pressly, in 2013 he had an ERA+ 106 and was rewarded with a trip back to the minors. The last time Stauffer posted a better ERA+ was in 2010 and Boyers was 2009. Of course Pressly isn't mid-30's. I think he needs a good attorney for an age discrimination case,
  10. ken
    http://www.baseball-reference.com/teams/MIN/ Here you go
  11. ken
    The record isn't an opinion, it's real. Four years of 90 losses and if the major improvement isn't occurring in the fifth year, I think it's reasonable to say the FO has done a horrible job. It should be the job of the FO to build a winning organization, which makes failure to do that a direct reflection on their job performance.
  12. ken
    It was a horrible call. Good to see the umpire's ego's are in mid-season form. Why not just make an appeal?
  13. ken
    Twins are continuing the youth movement by looking into 35 year old Rafael Soriano. Haven't we drafted about 50 college relief pitchers over the last 3 years that we could have been "fast tracking" but went with the converting them to starters approach? Really confused on the building process by Terry Ryan,
  14. ken
    If you have any hope for Hicks, it's best for him to play everyday in AAA than being a 4th outfielder. If he plays well in AAA, I don't see anything stopping the Twins from bring him up to be the full time centerfielder. If he sticks it up in AAA, there was no reason to give him a position in the majors even as a 4th outfielder.
  15. ken
    Interesting, considering the other stats you talked about. Dozier had a better offensive output in 4 out of the 5. Off-WAR wOBA wRC+ RE24 RE27 Dozier 23.2 .340 118 5.8 5.24 Mauer 6.8 .322 106 8.4 4.94
  16. ken
    Not surprising based on the offseason moves, but disappointing. If really the worst case, with Milone and Pelfrey pitching just well enough not to make changes but not really good to improve the team. The Meyer situation is like Gibson a couple years ago. Ryan didn't want to bring him up because he was inconsistent. Then last year he was very inconsistent but he still performed better than Nolasco and as good as Santana (who if they had signed would have pushed Gibson to AAA). I think the year of experience is very valuable for Gibson and will help the teams future. The sooner they promote Meyers and let him work at the major league level, the better off the teams future will be, but looks like the Twins still are in love with the worst staff in the division.
  17. ken
    I think regression is unavoidable for Santana, but with his speed he should still have a better than average BABIP. If he can reduce the strike rate and get more balls in play, he still can contribute at the top of the lineup.
  18. ken
    The last 4 years have made the 1995-2000 look like glory years. Also, the last 10 years with Mauer have not been much better than the prior 10 years so I think the Twins would have been a lot worse without Mauer. And since Mauer only played 35 games in 2004, you really can't say he was a key member for the playoff run, which then make the total playoffs the same (3) over the two 10 year period. I think drafting Mauer was the right pick, but it is a very interesting thought about what Prior could have brought to the Twins in the early year.
  19. ken
    According to Fangraphs, the Twins got their money worth from Correia. In 2013, he was worth $7.3 million and in 2014 based on WAR he was the Twins 5th best pitcher and his .9 WAR value would have been around $5 million. This could be right unless you actually watched him pitch
  20. ken
    I love how these boards always end up back on Mauer. With the new stats you can multiple 2 imperfect number together and get an undisputable number. And adding up numbers is considered absurd. Must be the "new math" my kids talk about.
  21. ken
    See he follow's the Hrbek offseason training model. For his baseball career, he didn't age very well either.
  22. ken
    Instead of complaining about Mauer not hitting home runs for the Twins, we could be complaining about him not throwing the long pass for the Vikings. But as a Viking, the complaining would be a lot louder,
  23. ken
    Have to admit, I don't know what the calculation is for wRC+, but when I look at simple calculations over Mauers career compared to the Twins team, he fall below the team average Mauer Twins Average R/OB 33.8% 36.8% RBI/H 44.7% 47.0% (R-HR)/OB 30.3% 32.1% Considering he bats 3rd in the lineup, it's surprising that he below average in these stats compared to the team. I agree that our #3 hitter should be in the 80-100 RBI area. If he in the 1 or 2 slot, you would like him to score 80-100 runs. I think it's okay to have RBI and Runs scored expectation for a player.
  24. ken
    You have to be careful comparing Mauer to other all-time catchers, he probably going to play other position more than catcher. Here's a listing of the 7 catchers with 2,000 hits and games played as catcher: Ivan Rodriguez 2,427 Ted Simmons 1,771 Carlton Fisk 2,226 Yori Berra 1,669 Mike Piazza 1,630 Gary Carter 1,954 Johnny Bench 1,742 Jason Kendall 2,025 Joe Mauer 920 Mauer is closer to Victor Martinez in the catcher category,
  25. ken
    They are not guarenteed: Win or lose, the player is awarded a standard one-year MLB contract with no "minor league split" salary or incentive/performance bonuses. Also, the contract is not guaranteed, so if the player is released during Spring Training, the club would only owe the player 30 days or 45 days salary as termination pay, depending on when the player is released. (A player on an MLB 40-man roster receives 100% of what remains of his salary if he is released during the regular season). http://www.thecubreporter.com/book/export/html/3515 So they do have some options.
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