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Cap'n Piranha

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Everything posted by Cap'n Piranha

  1. Cap'n Piranha
    Provus just said that Suzuki is trying to get Escobar to third. How about this--it's the third inning, it's 0-0, and you have no outs; why not go for the RBI base hit instead?
  2. Cap'n Piranha
    My goodness. Why don't you sit the next couple of plays out.
  3. Cap'n Piranha
    I have to disagree here. The phrase "why not put Nolasco out there" should only be used when one is referring to the waiver wire.
  4. Cap'n Piranha
    He's on pace to bat 1.000 for his career! Clear out a wing in Cooperstown! FWN!
  5. Cap'n Piranha
    in 2 innings, Earvin has struck out 3 batters. Tommy Milone had that many or fewer strikeouts in 10 of his 23 starts last year. FWN!
  6. Cap'n Piranha
    Based on these 2 innings, Baltimore should start it's Tillman for Cy campaign right now.
  7. Cap'n Piranha
    Twins on pace to go 0 for 4,374 this season, with 3,500 k's. This has been your fun with numbers update.
  8. Cap'n Piranha
    If the game is delayed, why did they do the national anthem? Also, say the game has to be postponed until tomorrow--do they do the anthem again, or is that permanently crossed off the list?
  9. Cap'n Piranha
    Agree. If (and it's a big if) Meyer, Burdi, and Chargois can all be meaningful bullpen arms by July/August, TR's gamble of not adding relievers will look pretty damn good.
  10. Cap'n Piranha
    Pictured: Jim Pohlad discusses job security with Terry Ryan. http://2.bp.blogspot.com/-YrBindCqvIc/UeWtuaG-ozI/AAAAAAAAAFA/IzsyV9Rhebo/s1600/Mr.+Burns.jpg
  11. Cap'n Piranha
    Pictured: The Twins customer service department patiently listens to their season ticket holders' concerns. http://s2.quickmeme.com/img/a3/a36c83c1112fa903e7ea7e22bc5e4be84aa896ceb2785cdb8381c54e03224870.jpg
  12. Cap'n Piranha
    Pictured: Terry Ryan finds his new head trainer. http://2.bp.blogspot.com/-j4-475O3Gtc/VQi1hPh4xHI/AAAAAAAAAfo/EzNKLNy3FBo/s1600/doctorb.jpg
  13. Cap'n Piranha
    Pictured: Joe Mauer suffers an injury at the annual Mauer Family Football Game.
  14. Cap'n Piranha
    Please read the whole post, and understand the point I'm making. I never said you're more likely to make the playoffs with a lower payroll. I said a higher payroll does not guarantee a playoff spot. I then definitively proved that. In 6 of 10 seasons since 2006, the majority of playoff teams were not in the top 10 of payroll, and the majority of teams in the top 10 for payroll did not make the playoffs. In 3 of the other 4 years, 50% of the playoff teams were in the top 10 for payroll--in 2 of those years the majority of top 10 payroll teams still didn't make the playoffs, in the other 2, exactly 50% of the top 10 payroll teams made the playoffs. I have never said that I don't think payroll makes it easier to make the playoffs. It does. But it guarantees nothing, and simply going out and spending will not ensure the Twins or any team make the playoffs. The one year out of the past 10 that the Twins were in the top 10 for payroll, they finished with 99 losses and the second worst record in the league. Payroll is not a silver bullet, and pretending otherwise is naive. In the past 10 years, there have been 88 playoff teams, 38 of which were in the top 10 of payroll. If those 33% of teams got 33% of the spots instead, that would be 29 spots, so being in the top 10 of payroll in reality only gets one more spot per year, so let's stop pretending spending obscene amounts of money drastically increases any team's odds of making the playoffs.
  15. Cap'n Piranha
    Sure, but I wasn't making a comparison of the Twins to the Tigers. I was making a comparison of payroll, and it's correlation to postseason success; specifically, that there isn't any. Here's the number of teams from the top 10 in payroll that made the playoffs in each of the last 10 years--2009 was the only year where more than half the field was comprised of teams from the top 10 payroll teams. 2015: 4 2014: 5 2013: 4 2012: 3 2011: 3 2010: 3 2009: 5 2008: 4 2007: 4 2006: 3 My only point is to stop treating payroll like some panacea to missing the playoffs, as its more likely you'll miss the playoffs with a top 10 payroll, than make it.
  16. Cap'n Piranha
    And for that 175M the Tigers got 74 wins, a last place finish in the Central, and were the second to worst team in the AL. Of the top 10 teams in payroll to start last year, only 4 made the playoffs, where they combined to win 7 games out of 36 played. Stop with the "higher payroll equals more wins" line of reasoning, it's just not the end-all-be-all of win determination it used to be.
  17. Cap'n Piranha
    Gibson to Miller is a decent comp, but there are a couple of things in Miller's favor--he's 3 years younger, has better velocity, and his k-rate is 1.5/9 better than Gibson's (even if you assume Gibson matches last year's k-rate, Miller is still more than 1/9 better). It's close, but a Gibson package should not be equal to a Miller package. That being said, I would 100% trade Gibson and Nolasco to the Brewers for Will Smith, Corey Knebel, and someone from their minor league system (top 15). Cover part of Nolasco's salary if need be, and your rotation can be Hughes, Santana, Duffey, Milone, and Berrios, with a bullpen of Perkins, Jepsen, May, Smith, Knebel, and whoever else wins a spot out of ST. That's a solid if unspectacular rotation, and a bullpen with 3 guys who profile as 7-9 guys.
  18. Cap'n Piranha
    Are you reading this topic? Baseball is clearly a game where roster decisions are made based not only on on-field performance, but for off-field reasons as well. To deny that shows a refusal to accept the reality of Major League Baseball as currently incorporated. No one is saying the Cubs put a better team on the field by keeping Bryant in the majors. No one is happy with the system that incents teams to leave better players in the minors. But everyone except you seems to understand that the Cubs would be at best misguided and at worst downright foolish to bring Bryant up to start the season, when by waiting only 2 weeks, they gain an entire extra YEAR of team control. The decision to keep Bryant down was 100% a baseball decision, despite your assertion earlier in this thread. Furthermore, keeping Bryant down for 2 weeks didn't actually affect the Cubs at all. Bryant compiled 6.5 WAR in 151 games last year, but only missed the first 8 games of the season. That means keeping Bryant down for two weeks cost the Cubs .34 WAR--not enough to move up to Wild Card 1 or the Division Title. In return, they get a full extra year of control, where Bryant will probably be worth 7-9 WAR. This was unequivocally the right decision, no matter how you want to slice it.
  19. Cap'n Piranha
    Pictured: Terry Ryan educates Jack Goin on the importance of Advanced Statistics.
  20. Cap'n Piranha
    Pictured: Terry Ryan experiences trouble trying to figure out how to connect to the internet.
  21. Cap'n Piranha
    Oh, I didn't realize that major league baseball was a charity, and the players are unpaid volunteers. My bad. I was under the mistaken impression that baseball had money in it, and therefore sometimes baseball decisions should be made not just for on-field reasons, but financial ones too.
  22. Cap'n Piranha
    The Union would actually probably have mixed feelings about it. They'd like that it would help some players get to free agency easier, but it also makes it far more likely that careers will be shortened, as there's far less disincentive to bring up a player from the minors who may or may not be ready. That means 26 or 27 year old players with 2 or 3 years of service can be much easier set to the side in favor of 23 or 24 year olds. Additionally, if a player doesn't get to the majors until they're 25 (assuming a cut-off age of 28), they basically have 2 years to prove themselves. Take Trevor Plouffe as an example. Under this proposed system, the Twins would have had to make a free-agent offer to Trevor Plouffe after 2013, a season in which he slashed .254/.309/.392, struck out almost 19% of the time, and had negative defensive value. He would either get a small offer or no offer, rather than an additional 3 or 4 seasons to build value. Making Plouffe a free agent at 28 actually probably costs him money, rather than making him money.
  23. Cap'n Piranha
    There was an immensely legitimate baseball-related reason for holding him down. A few weeks in April at the beginning of a player's career, weighed against an entire extra year of control in a player's prime is so imbalanced the Cubs would be certifiably insane to bring him up for the first game. Blame the system if you want, but the players agreed to it, and the Cubs used it exactly how it was intended to be used.
  24. Cap'n Piranha
    TR can be unfair to me every day of the week and twice on Sundays if I get $12M over 4 years.
  25. Cap'n Piranha
    Sure, but it's pretty clear Cotts is a bad RP. He'll be 36 before the season starts, had a 5.00 FIP (133rd out of 137 relievers) and 4.31 xFIP (118th out of 137) last year, to go with 2 straight years of declining K-rate, GB%, and velocity. Add 2 years of increasing BB-rate, HR/FB%, and hard hit %, and Cotts looks like a disaster waiting to happen. There's no guarantee that Meyer/Burdi/Reed et al would be better, but at least they have upside, where Cotts doesn't.
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