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diehardtwinsfan

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Everything posted by diehardtwinsfan

  1. diehardtwinsfan
    Mauer 1st, Dozier 3rd... did Molitor take the nigh off?
  2. diehardtwinsfan
    The problem with our pick at 15 is that BPA is ridiculously subjective at that point. Do you take a guy like Shooter Hunt who was a high risk of failure but a ceiling of a shut down ace, do you go safer with a higher floor, higher chance of success, but lower ceiling? I think to be honest you need to mix it up, but BPA in those scenarios are going to be entirely different. I'm not a fan of the Shore pick to be frank, but I do think that given what I've read (where there's little distinction between picks 10 and 40), trying to get some of their preferred picks to take a deal at 1-15 and drafting some easy college signs in the 4-8 range so they can pry away a high ceiling prep prospect at 2 and 3 and a backup in the later rounds makes a ton of sense.
  3. diehardtwinsfan
    It depends. If he goes under slot and you can pick up some higher ceiling prep guys later, then by all means do it. It isn't always about BPA as much as it is about what strategy allows for you to get the best overall value through all the rounds. Not sure I like the pick (I'd think pretty hard about getting both of those catchers to be honest), but then again, I honestly don't know who I'd pick. There's very little that separates BPA at 15 vs BPA at 30.
  4. diehardtwinsfan
    This, and if you sell high on everyone, you're always going to be selling. Even with his second half declines, Dozier has been one of the best 2B in baseball the last two years. Expecting Polanco to match that production right away (or quite possibly ever) is pretty lofty, not to mention the drop off in production at the position when the team is at the cusp of contention.
  5. diehardtwinsfan
    I guess you and I have a different definition of dominant. The knock on him right now is SSS (10 2/3 innings), but he's looked pretty good in it. 10.97 K/9 .84 ERA 1.03 WHIP His walk rate is a bit high at 4.22/9 as that is the only number that doesn't look good, but no one is making contact on him.
  6. diehardtwinsfan
    That's my bigger concern. Nothing I've seen concerning Anthony gives me the warm and fuzzies that he'd be a decent GM. I could be wrong. I hope I'm wrong, but I won't be happy if he's the guy.
  7. diehardtwinsfan
    BPA is subjective in general. It's rather difficult to quantify as there's no metric that defines it. Add to it with 16 year olds, there's less to go on about things like mental capacity or how they will handle all that money that's being tossed their way. Most of these kids are rather poor as well, so handing a million dollars to a 16 year old that grew up in rags with raw sewage running through his front yard presents all sorts of different kids of risk. To your second point, agreed on all counts. I might add 3B in to that as elite 3B aren't always easy to find as well, but usually that is how it works as the most athletic tend to play up the middle, and if the bat does well, you can always move them.
  8. diehardtwinsfan
    very well written article. Explains a lot about what's going on. I have to think they trade Plouffe sooner than later. That really does open things up a bit. You might see the Rochester shuttle working back and forth sending Walker, Kepler, and Rosario up to see who finally sticks, but that's fine. I think the most concerning thing thus far that is going to be tougher to fix is what to do with Dozier. He's not hitting well. Not sure if he has options or not (and then there's whole contract thing), but I think he could use either some DL time or some AAA time to straighten out a bit. Let Polanco get a few at bats up here in the mean time.
  9. diehardtwinsfan
    Still somewhat perplexed that Fein was claimed and Milone was not.
  10. diehardtwinsfan
    As a starter, I don't think Dean has much value, but he's one of those guys who could suddenly get a lot better by throwing a bit harder in the pen. I think I'd rather see Chargois, but he'll probably get some time in AAA first. I'm assuming Shaggy gets the bump to AAA. At least I hope he does. He's been unhittable in AA.
  11. diehardtwinsfan
    No one was saying that... Just don't plan on them being household names for at least 5 years.
  12. diehardtwinsfan
    Yes, I'd agree that's dominating. I wasn't implying otherwise. I do think, however, that one week is too small a sample size and that 5 weeks (even if he continues at that pace) is not enough time. He struggles to hit ML curve balls, and that won't be fixed in 5 weeks, and his ML approach was nothing short of awful. He'll get some ML quality pitches in AAA from time to time, which is good, and I know MLB is really where he's going to learn it, but for now, I think he's best served by reinforcing the plate approach that made him a top prospect to begin with.
  13. diehardtwinsfan
    Maestro is a warm body. He maybe starts once a week and is used as a defensive replacement/pinch runner. To be fair, that's all Rosario is worth at the moment. Eddie needs at bats, and it's far better for him and the Twins for him to get those at bats in AAA while Maestro effectively does the same job.
  14. diehardtwinsfan
    I honestly hope that's where they go. They have a lot of younger talent in the high minors. Not sure I'd do it all at once, but I'd definitely start rotating them in. I'd give Ricky a few more starts to sink or swim and put him on the DFA list next if he sinks and trade him for a bucket of baseballs if he swims. I'd trade Plouffe for whatever we can get (not expecting much, but maybe we can get lucky and pry away a blocked player for a team in desperate need of a 3B), install Sano at 3rd, and play musical chairs with Rochester OFs until someone plays well enough to keep the LF and RF jobs. CF is going to be a mess at this point as Buxton needs time in AAA. May as well let Santana play there for now. I'd probably start rotating our 40 man RP prospects in and out of the pen at this point as well. I expect them to struggle since they're in AA, but at the least you can let them spend a few weeks up here, let them taste the majors, and send them back with a list of a few things they need to work on.
  15. diehardtwinsfan
    Completely agree here. I think this would be a good year for the Twins to go all in, especially if they are high on the talent... though to be clear, these are 16 year old kids. None of them will be ready to help soon. It will be interesting to see what they do and whether or not the rumors were all talk (probably) or if there's fire there.
  16. diehardtwinsfan
    This is really encouraging, though I think it's going to need more than 4 weeks. I'd rather not repeat the same mistakes we made with Hicks. Let him sit in AAA for a while. Let him flat out dominate. It's not as much about building confidence but giving him the ability to reinforce the good habits he's picking back up right now as well as working on some of the finer points of his game that he wasn't able to do at the ML level.
  17. diehardtwinsfan
    You're right, some did. Go back and read the articles on him though. Lots more positivity only 2 months ago.
  18. diehardtwinsfan
    It's more of an indictment of their offseason I think than anything else. I do think they are trying to improve it. They don't have a ton of options right now, but I'd be hard pressed to believe that Centeno won't improve on Murphy and whomever they call up in place of Rosario won't be an improvement there. Duffey/Berrios is probably an improvement over Milone. They're going young... perhaps too late, but they're doing it.
  19. diehardtwinsfan
    It's quite the stretch. That was my point. Hicks by the way is hitting worse than Buxton and only slightly better than Murphy (and getting about as much playing time). I think there's quite a bit of revisionist history going on when people get upset about this deal. It really wasn't a bad one; it just hasn't worked out. There's a big difference between the two. Hicks showed flashes of being decent last year as a Twin. By the way, Murphy has a much better major league track record than Hicks and didn't have a bad minor league one either. I'm not sure I'd make any type of judgement on that right now, b/c if you want to place money on whose career will last longer, odds are in Murphy's favor.
  20. diehardtwinsfan
    There's some truth to this, though I have to say they actually recognized it (which sadly is an accomplishment) and did so earlier than they usually do when they make a mistake (which sadly is also an accomplishment). You're right though, this is very much a mess of their own making, and at some point someone needs to be accountable. Honestly, I think that has to be TR at this point. As for Maestro, yeah, not really much to say there. They didn't have a backup plan for CF... oh wait, they did. It was Rosario, who was hardly a sure thing to begin with... Of course, let's not all get revisionist here, as TD was very high on him only two months ago. But Buxton needs more time, and Rosario discovered he needs it to. That's what Maestro is for. He's that warm body to fill in for plan C when he needs a break until plan A or B is ready, which is probably 2017 at the earliest.
  21. diehardtwinsfan
    Did we get Span back somehow and trade him again? There weren't any MLB ready CFs on our roster this offseason.
  22. diehardtwinsfan
    To be clear on Graham and O'Rourke. DFA means they are being removed from the 40 man and sent to Rochester. Someone can claim them and put them on their 40 man, but this does not mean that neither guy is with the org anymore. Both may remain. This is just clearing up spots on the 40 man and adjusting to the fact that both Rosario and Murphy haven't been very good. I'm a bit surprised to some extent as to who. I'm not quite sure how Pat Dean remains on the 40 man, and I've got nothing against him... He's just near the bottom of a long list of SP, and he's old enough that he will only get a look from someone who plans on giving him a shot in the majors.
  23. diehardtwinsfan
    If this is on Molitor, then he really needs to find a new team. Not sure I want to scream fire Molly yet, but this team got younger. There are bumps along the way and the person in his role has to work with that, like it or not.
  24. diehardtwinsfan
    He's been hitting well in Rochester of late too. I wouldn't be surprised if he got a call.
  25. diehardtwinsfan
    wow... graham and O'rourke. Not necessarily saying those are bad (though I thought O'Rourke had potential as an elite loogy)... Ryan is cleaning house. Next few weeks should be interesting.
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