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diehardtwinsfan

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Everything posted by diehardtwinsfan

  1. diehardtwinsfan
    That was a good read. Very interesting perspective.
  2. diehardtwinsfan
    That's a given no matter who is President. The real question is who is getting the money.
  3. diehardtwinsfan
    Has anyone ever made 8M in their first year of arb? I think that's a big high personally. To Brock's point, ML contracts are guaranteed, so WHEN the payout happens shouldn't be as big of a deal. But, there is something tied to years of service and those numbers, so to make that work, they have to go up to an extent. That's where the arbitration metrics are derived from. You might be able to do a 1 time signing bonus of say 10M to reduce those back end numbers a bit (especially the FA years), but I think the arb years are a big reason why that's discouraged.
  4. diehardtwinsfan
    Next year may be an opportunity to lock up one spot in FA. The names slated to be there certainly look good. But yeah, I think they'd have to trade prospects for good young pitching as an option. Then again, Berrios could turn into that guy, Gibson could turn back into 2015 Gibson, and May could pick up where he left off. Suddenly, that window would look very close. That's a lot of hope there, but not unreasonable hope either. But if that doesn't happen, you're right. They'd need to.
  5. diehardtwinsfan
    well supposedly, a lot of those Mexican car plants are to build the smaller cars at a better price point, or so the official word is. The big thing, I suspect, with Trump is that if he has his way, imports are going to get more expensive while taxes on exports (which according to Trump is something we do) will hopefully drop. The other note is he's been kind of trashing the dollar a bit. Inflation is already creeping back into the market and the dollar is dropping, all of which will likely benefit exporters in the short term. Companies that are heavily dependent on exports might get a nice bounce, even if the market takes a hit. It still looks like a major top is forming, so a 10-15% correction in the market in the next few months is another very real possibility.
  6. diehardtwinsfan
    Honestly, the tariff on imports shouldn't be a surprise. We all know Mexico won't pay for the wall. That was the next step and a no brainer... I think the wall is stupid personally, pulling out of NAFTA will do more to stem the tide of illegal immigration than that wall... and a 20% tariff will kill their exports which will exacerbate the problem.
  7. diehardtwinsfan
    Potential plus or flashes plush. No one debated that Stewart needed to develop.
  8. diehardtwinsfan
    That's what posting from an airport does... it didn't register that it posted... Now that said, I am flying first class today sooooo........
  9. diehardtwinsfan
    So you bought a liquor store? Any Twins Daily discounts? We may need them come July
  10. diehardtwinsfan
    I keep pointing this out, but several Dodgers sources (Dodgerblue I think was one of them) reported the same thing. I know the LEN article was poorly worded and that national press jumped on that, but reports coming out of sources close to LA pretty much said the same thing.
  11. diehardtwinsfan
    yeah, he's not being blocked by anyone. He had a very good AFL, and he was very good in A+ ball through August. He kind of tailed off though, which is a bit worrisome. I'm hoping that had more to do with not being used to playing full season ball. I've got to think he'll be in AA. If he can get off to a similar start (and maintain it) that he did in A+, he's going to be a lot higher ranked next year at this time.
  12. diehardtwinsfan
    yeah, the custody stuff kind of irked me too. He'd have had no chance in any of that. And second on Stranger Things... That was a fantastic show.
  13. diehardtwinsfan
    I've watched it all. I'll watch season 2 when it comes out. As Brock said, some twists. It's definitely not your typical SciFi, which I kind of like.
  14. diehardtwinsfan
    It tells me to be wary of who Mr. Friedman is willing to offer up.
  15. diehardtwinsfan
    Trading from their surplus, yes, but given that Stewart, Alvarez, and Buehler were all off the table, what does that tell you about their opinions of JDL?
  16. diehardtwinsfan
    Since none of us know, let's just accept that no one knows instead of assuming that the FO is incompetent or not. I agree that they failed to get the trade done, but that one data point doesn't say whether or not these guys know what they are doing or not.
  17. diehardtwinsfan
    Well, Mauer cannot be traded (and wouldn't fetch anything if he could)... Dozier shouldn't be replaced (unless he's traded). The real problem is SP. I'm more upset that Santiago will likely be there pushing one of May, Mejia, or Berrios out.
  18. diehardtwinsfan
    I would argue that the Pirates might be a decent fit as well. Their 2B production was pretty bad if I remember right. But the Yankees are a great fit. Only real draw back is that their best pitching prospects are hitting AA this year. That doesn't really help us in 2017 or even 2018.
  19. diehardtwinsfan
    funny you mention that... they got that reputation under some guy named Friedman...
  20. diehardtwinsfan
    My two cents. Dozier is a much better player right now... as was stated, his career WAR is significantly more with a similar career arc to date. As well, for all the talk about risk, Forsythe is also working on a career year, except that he didn't put a couple of 4 WAR seasons prior to that. He's also a year older. The control is the same. The Dodgers got a lesser player and absorbed more risk for JDL. Honestly, that tells me more about what LA thinks about JDL. It seems as though they were pretty intent on giving him up and him up alone. It also tells me that the FO was doing the right thing by sticking to their guns. Perhaps there was a better offer on the table, but I'm doubting it (sorry Dave, I know you trust your source, but I do not)... not anything of significance at least, and the FO was smart to hold back.
  21. diehardtwinsfan
    I don't understand the dislike for Escobar. He never got healthy last year, but he was pretty good as an every day SS in 2015. I'd give him another shot there before I closed that door, as I don't think his health issues were due to playing every day.
  22. diehardtwinsfan
    They don't all stem from LEN. That's just it. Plenty of LA sites with contacts in the Dodger's org essentially reiterated that. F&L have done their fair share of trades, I really don't think this is an attempt to drain the LA farm system or boost their personal egos. There is no shred of anything indicating any other significant piece than JDL. I think at one point you have to accept that.
  23. diehardtwinsfan
    I must be a bit higher on Escobar than you are. EE was bad in 2016, but adequate in 2015. I'm going with his injury there. But yeah, if the Twins want to showcase someone, moving Dozier back to SS would do it. I'm not sure that's the right answer, he failed there, but then again, he wasn't good at 2B when he first moved there either, so perhaps he just learned something.
  24. diehardtwinsfan
    I don't think you're alone. I like him a lot too. As Brock put it a while back, he's looking like he will be sneaky good. He's that guy that isn't necessarily going to excel at one or two things, but he's likely to be better than average at everything. My main concern was the second half offensive drop off. Was that just that he was tired? Was it just the FSL (which is a tough hitters league), or was at an issue with skill? If it was something along the lines of fatigue, you're looking at a player that can be better than average defensively while putting up an .800 OPS and getting a fair amount of steals. That's a really good player.
  25. diehardtwinsfan
    Fair enough. I get the concern with Stewart, but LA still has DeJong in that situation, not to mention a potential fast riser in Buehler. They have depth even if they part with Stewart, and if they don't want to, then Buehler makes some sense there. That said, I just don't see why the Twins would want Calhoun. He's a butcher in the field. He can hit, but he's also a small guy, that doesn't fit the typical DH mold... not to mention we have plenty of those already. If Calhoun is on the table, it might make a lot more sense bringing in a 3rd team who would do a prospect for prospect swap because they need a guy like Calhoun.
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