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John Bonnes

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  1. It’s still early in spring training – early enough so that our eyes could be fooling us from this bright sun thing – but maybe there’s some hope for the Twins bullpen after all. The bullpen has been a sore spots for Twins fans for…wow…how long has it been? This offseason, obviously. Last season, for sure. 2010 was a bit of respite, though there was enough panic to trade away Ramos Wilson for Matt Capps. In 2009 it struggled beyond Joe Nathan and Matt Guerrier. 2008 was REALLY bad up until Jose Mijares was given a role for the last two weeks of September. In 2007…ok…I’ll let you decide where you want to draw the line, but it’s fair to say it’s been a sore spot several times recently. It looked to be so again this year, especially when free agent Joel Zumaya was injured which caused some bloggers to lose their cool. (Justifiably, I would argue.) It looked like the bullpen was going to be manned by - let’s make sure I quote this right – “either a member of last year's shaky corps or a waiver or minor-league pickup.” That’s still true. But some of those pickups are producing some surprising results, especially when it comes to some strikeouts. With three spots likely open in the bullpen, three guys – two right-handers and one left-hander – have shined in early contests. Jared Burton was scavenged from the Cincinnati Reds, courtesy of a shoulder injury and a hyperthyroid condition that cost him most of the last two years. That doesn’t change the fact that the 30-year-old right-hander has earned a 3.41 ERA in the majors over 169 innings. “Hits” are not a trustworthy stat in spring training, but the fact that Burton hasn’t given up any in his four relief outings, while striking out four and walking just one at least puts him on the right path. Left-hander Matt Maloney, statistically, looks like the most exciting option. Cincinnati was also kind enough to contribute Maloney to the roster this offseason, though at least it cost the Twins a 40-man roster spot this time. In the majors, Maloney has mostly been used as a starter, but in his relief appearances, he’s struck out 21 batters in 24 innings, with just six walks (albeit 28 hits). This spring he’s dominated, striking out eight in 5.1 innings, while walking just one and giving up just three hits. Those are numbers that can’t be ignored, no matter which inning one is pitching. Speaking of “which inning one is pitching,” Jeff Manship has steadily been working his way from the late innings to the early innings in spring training games – an indication that manager Ron Gardenhire wants him to face better competition. He’s earned it. In his four appearances, he’s struck out six, walked none and given up just two hits. Both times I’ve seen him, his strike outs came on a what Seth Stohs describes as a “spiked slider.’ I have no idea what that mean, but I love the name, and I love the way it ends up at a batters ankles as he swings. Manship has been with the Twins for years, making a few appearances with the big league club, looking mostly mediocre, both as a starter and a reliever. His biggest weakness has been that he just plain gave up a lot of hits. That wasn’t a weakness in the minors, and a strikeout rate in AAA nearing 7 per nine innings – mostly as a starter – indicates he could take a significant step up given the chance to relieve. For instance, Joe Nathan averaged 7.2 K/9 in AAA, also as a starter. Of course, Nathan had that nasty slider – but Manship also looks like he’s got his “spiked slider” and I’ve heard reports of a top shelf curveball, too. (Though, maybe they’re talking about the same thing. It’s hard to tell sometimes.) The point remains: if Manship can stay healthy – and the same goes for Maloney and Burton, knock, knock – the Twins bullpen, on the shoulders (literally) of some washouts and pickups, could look like a strength a month from now.
  2. It’s still early in spring training – early enough so that our eyes could be fooling us from this bright sun thing – but maybe there’s some hope for the Twins bullpen after all. The bullpen has been a sore spots for Twins fans for…wow…how long has it been? This offseason, obviously. Last season, for sure. 2010 was a bit of respite, though there was enough panic to trade away Ramos Wilson for Matt Capps. In 2009 it struggled beyond Joe Nathan and Matt Guerrier. 2008 was REALLY bad up until Jose Mijares was given a role for the last two weeks of September. In 2007…ok…I’ll let you decide where you want to draw the line, but it’s fair to say it’s been a sore spot several times recently. It looked to be so again this year, especially when free agent Joel Zumaya was injured which caused some bloggers to lose their cool. (Justifiably, I would argue.) It looked like the bullpen was going to be manned by - let’s make sure I quote this right – “either a member of last year's shaky corps or a waiver or minor-league pickup.” That’s still true. But some of those pickups are producing some surprising results, especially when it comes to some strikeouts. With three spots likely open in the bullpen, three guys – two right-handers and one left-hander – have shined in early contests. Jared Burton was scavenged from the Cincinnati Reds, courtesy of a shoulder injury and a hyperthyroid condition that cost him most of the last two years. That doesn’t change the fact that the 30-year-old right-hander has earned a 3.41 ERA in the majors over 169 innings. “Hits” are not a trustworthy stat in spring training, but the fact that Burton hasn’t given up any in his four relief outings, while striking out four and walking just one at least puts him on the right path. Left-hander Matt Maloney, statistically, looks like the most exciting option. Cincinnati was also kind enough to contribute Maloney to the roster this offseason, though at least it cost the Twins a 40-man roster spot this time. In the majors, Maloney has mostly been used as a starter, but in his relief appearances, he’s struck out 21 batters in 24 innings, with just six walks (albeit 28 hits). This spring he’s dominated, striking out eight in 5.1 innings, while walking just one and giving up just three hits. Those are numbers that can’t be ignored, no matter which inning one is pitching. Speaking of “which inning one is pitching,” Jeff Manship has steadily been working his way from the late innings to the early innings in spring training games – an indication that manager Ron Gardenhire wants him to face better competition. He’s earned it. In his four appearances, he’s struck out six, walked none and given up just two hits. Both times I’ve seen him, his strike outs came on a what Seth Stohs describes as a “spiked slider.’ I have no idea what that mean, but I love the name, and I love the way it ends up at a batters ankles as he swings. Manship has been with the Twins for years, making a few appearances with the big league club, looking mostly mediocre, both as a starter and a reliever. His biggest weakness has been that he just plain gave up a lot of hits. That wasn’t a weakness in the minors, and a strikeout rate in AAA nearing 7 per nine innings – mostly as a starter – indicates he could take a significant step up given the chance to relieve. For instance, Joe Nathan averaged 7.2 K/9 in AAA, also as a starter. Of course, Nathan had that nasty slider – but Manship also looks like he’s got his “spiked slider” and I’ve heard reports of a top shelf curveball, too. (Though, maybe they’re talking about the same thing. It’s hard to tell sometimes.) The point remains: if Manship can stay healthy – and the same goes for Maloney and Burton, knock, knock – the Twins bullpen, on the shoulders (literally) of some washouts and pickups, could look like a strength a month from now.
  3. Chris Parmelee (pictured) delivered a clutch hit against Philadelphia ace pitcher Roy Halladay on Wednesday, resulting in a 6-4 Minnesota Twins win. Parmelee played the whole game at first base, recording a walk and two hits, which included a three-run home run versus Halladay that gave the Twins a 5-4 lead. A number of impressive bullpen performances preserved the win. Twins starting pitcher Jason Marquis gave up four runs in the first four innings on eight hits. But for the second of his first three starts, his infield defense was at least partly to blame. Several of the hits came on ground balls that were playable but slipped through the porous infield of Alexi Casilla, Tsuyoshi Nishioka and Sean Burroughs. Third baseman Burroughs, in particular, was victimized by hard grounders to his right that led to several runs. The Twins did most of their damage in the third inning. Casilla and Denard Span each singled before Tsuyoshi Nishioka - curiously batting second in the lineup - struck out. (Incidentally, he also hit a pitch off his knee that traveled so far the Phillies' announcers couldn't imagine it actually hit his knee. There was a long stoppage of play, but he stayed in the game.) Willingham looked like his hit was sawed off, but his grounder found it's way into right field while Casilla found his way to home plate. With runners on the corners, Justin Morneau (who played DH) popped out, but Parmelee delivered as Halladay approached his 60 pitch limit. The lead was held by five relievers, and all except one added a strikeout to this spring's stat sheet. Jeff Manship pitched the fifth inning, recording two weak ground outs and a strikeout. Jeff Gray followed him, and while he didn't get a strikeout, he also didn't give up any hits. Sam Deduno, a 28-year-old minor league right-hander signed away from the Padres organization, demonstrated a nifty slider as well as a eratic fastball sure to strike fear in mascots throughout the International League. Casey Fien held things together in the eighth and Lester Oliveros got the save.
  4. Today's links include the analytical, the hopeful and the whimsical: Analytical Thryloss updates his bullpen and bench dashboards with yesterday's results. A couple of previously maligned bullpen arms put their best foot forward, as did Brian Dozier. Hopeful Twins Fan From Afar is getting hopeful watching Danny Valencia this spring. He reviews Valencia's time in the majors, both good and bad. Whimsical MrHorrorPants relates the Twins upcoming season to a Civil War campaign. It's every bit as righteous and scary as one might expect. [PRBREAK][/PRBREAK]
  5. [ATTACH=CONFIG]304[/ATTACH]Aaron & the Twins Geek discuss Perkins' new contract, the Twins history of long-term contracts and then review Vegas' over-under predictions for the Twins and the rest of the AL. Here are: the podcasts the rss feed if you want to subscribe and the podcast on iTunes (where you can also subscribe and leave reviews).
  6. Aaron & the Twins Geek discuss Perkins' new contract, the Twins history of long-term contracts and then review Vegas' over-under predictions for the Twins and the rest of the AL. Here are: the podcasts the rss feed if you want to subscribe and the podcast on iTunes (where you can also subscribe and leave reviews).
  7. If you're looking for some more to nibble on from this weekend, try these - Thryloss has brought executive style management techniques to spring training. (I'll let you decide if that's a good or bad thing.) He's updating two executive style dashboard reports, one for the bullpen and the other for the bench battles. Check them out and see how your favorite dark horse is running. - Speaking of dark horses, minor league catcher Chris Herrmann might be one to make it to the show sometime this year. Over the last year or so he's overcome his clear obsession with redundant consonants to position himself as a lineup fixture as early as 2013. You can find out a bit more about him in a profile by ShawnTheRoad. [PRBREAK][/PRBREAK]
  8. Let’s be clear: ultimately, it’s about the wins. I get into at least a half dozen debates per month where I feel the need to remind people that all this fun baseball stuff we analyze – coaching tactics, offseason pickups, roster changes, revenue tendencies, trades, minor league development – are not goals in and of themselves. They are the means to an end. And that end is wins. That said, even if the Twins somehow win the AL Central, 2012 will answer several questions that will seriously impact the rest of the decade for Twins fans. Besides the wins, let’s take a look at five other developments worth paying attention to if you’re a Twins fan. Can Sunk Money Stay Healthy? [ATTACH=CONFIG]295[/ATTACH]Between Joe Mauer ($138M), Justin Morneau ($14M), Denard Span($11.25M) and Nick Blackburn($5.5M), the Twins will end 2012 with $168.75 million dollars of future money ties to four guys that have had trouble staying healthy. If they can stay healthy and productive, then the team is likely competitive. But if not, the Twins may well want to consider creative ways of getting those salaries off the books, including trades that involve eating some salary or early retirement packages. Can Minor League Talent Fill Some Gaps? Much of this question will play out on a much smaller (and rundown) ballpark that is 315 miles southeast. In Beloit, Wisconsin, the Twins lower-A affiliate, the Beloit Snappers, may be fielding the Twins infield of the future, featuring consensus Twins number one prospect and third baseman Miguel Sano, top draft pick and shortstop Levi Michael and top prospect (and possible second baseman?) Eddie Rosario. The Twins should anticipate a lot of turnover over the next few years and will be looking for breakthrough years from those guys or players even closer to the majors, like outfielders Joe Benson and Ben Revere or first baseman Chris Parmelee. Every name above either is perceived to have a limited ceiling or is still pretty far from contributing to the majors. A big step forward by several of them completely changes the perceived future of this team. But if you look again, all of those names have something else in common too…. Where Will The Pitchers Come From? In the same way that the Twins lost most of their outfield (Delmon Young, Jason Kubel, Michael Cuddyer) this last year, they’ll likely lose most of their starting rotation before 2013’s Opening Day. Carl Pavano, Francisco Liriano and Jason Marquis are all free agents. Scott Baker has a $9.5M option which will be prohibitive if he can’t stay healthy. Only Nick Blackburn is a sure thing to return. Ooh, goody. Unfortunately, the Twins top prospects in the minors aren’t pitchers. Liam Hendricks was called up last year and might be able to fill a middle-of-the-rotation role. It’s possible Kyle Gibson could recover sufficiently from Tommy John surgery to contribute as a major league starter next year. And then you get to guys whose futures are more borderline. There’s a reason the Twins were so aggressive in adding waiver pickups who were pitchers this offseason, and it will be interesting to see if they’re active at the trade deadline in picking up some young arms. Or there is another mid-summer event they might leverage…. Can the Twins Take Advantage of a Historical Draft? There ain’t a lot of bright spots to a 99-loss year, but the second overall draft pick is one of them. That’s also the advantage of losing several high-performing free agents like Cuddyer and Kubel – the team gets extra draft picks back as compensation. Between that top pick and the quantity of top-75 picks the Twins have (and the new capped compensation they will pay these youngsters) the Twins have never had a draft loaded with this much opportunity, and likely won’t again for decades. It is the perfect chance for the organization to gas up a car that feels like it is running on fumes. Can Twins Revenues Continue Rising? Speaking of running out of gas, that’s exactly what it felt like to the scalpers last year. The lull and disinterest that set in caused the front office to put spending back into a lower gear. A less dismal season might reaffirm fans faith in the team and reaffirm ownership’s faith in its fans. A renewed financial strength will help this team plug holes over the next couple of seasons, perhaps offsetting the other transitions that seem likely to take place.
  9. Let’s be clear: ultimately, it’s about the wins. I get into at least a half dozen debates per month where I feel the need to remind people that all this fun baseball stuff we analyze – coaching tactics, offseason pickups, roster changes, revenue tendencies, trades, minor league development – are not goals in and of themselves. They are the means to an end. And that end is wins. That said, even if the Twins somehow win the AL Central, 2012 will answer several questions that will seriously impact the rest of the decade for Twins fans. Besides the wins, let’s take a look at five other developments worth paying attention to if you’re a Twins fan. [PRBREAK][/PRBREAK] Can Sunk Money Stay Healthy? Between Joe Mauer ($138M), Justin Morneau ($14M), Denard Span($11.25M) and Nick Blackburn($5.5M), the Twins will end 2012 with $168.75 million dollars of future money ties to four guys that have had trouble staying healthy. If they can stay healthy and productive, then the team is likely competitive. But if not, the Twins may well want to consider creative ways of getting those salaries off the books, including trades that involve eating some salary or early retirement packages. Can Minor League Talent Fill Some Gaps? Much of this question will play out on a much smaller (and rundown) ballpark that is 315 miles southeast. In Beloit, Wisconsin, the Twins lower-A affiliate, the Beloit Snappers, may be fielding the Twins infield of the future, featuring consensus Twins number one prospect and third baseman Miguel Sano, top draft pick and shortstop Levi Michael and top prospect (and possible second baseman?) Eddie Rosario. The Twins should anticipate a lot of turnover over the next few years and will be looking for breakthrough years from those guys or players even closer to the majors, like outfielders Joe Benson and Ben Revere or first baseman Chris Parmelee. Every name above either is perceived to have a limited ceiling or is still pretty far from contributing to the majors. A big step forward by several of them completely changes the perceived future of this team. But if you look again, all of those names have something else in common too…. Where Will The Pitchers Come From? In the same way that the Twins lost most of their outfield (Delmon Young, Jason Kubel, Michael Cuddyer) this last year, they’ll likely lose most of their starting rotation before 2013’s Opening Day. Carl Pavano, Francisco Liriano and Jason Marquis are all free agents. Scott Baker has a $9.5M option which will be prohibitive if he can’t stay healthy. Only Nick Blackburn is a sure thing to return. Ooh, goody. Unfortunately, the Twins top prospects in the minors aren’t pitchers. Liam Hendricks was called up last year and might be able to fill a middle-of-the-rotation role. It’s possible Kyle Gibson could recover sufficiently from Tommy John surgery to contribute as a major league starter next year. And then you get to guys whose futures are more borderline. There’s a reason the Twins were so aggressive in adding waiver pickups who were pitchers this offseason, and it will be interesting to see if they’re active at the trade deadline in picking up some young arms. Or there is another mid-summer event they might leverage…. Can the Twins Take Advantage of a Historical Draft? There ain’t a lot of bright spots to a 99-loss year, but the second overall draft pick is one of them. That’s also the advantage of losing several high-performing free agents like Cuddyer and Kubel – the team gets extra draft picks back as compensation. Between that top pick and the quantity of top-75 picks the Twins have (and the new capped compensation they will pay these youngsters) the Twins have never had a draft loaded with this much opportunity, and likely won’t again for decades. It is the perfect chance for the organization to gas up a car that feels like it is running on fumes. Can Twins Revenues Continue Rising? Speaking of running out of gas, that’s exactly what it felt like to the scalpers last year. The lull and disinterest that set in caused the front office to put spending back into a lower gear. A less dismal season might reaffirm fans faith in the team and reaffirm ownership’s faith in its fans. A renewed financial strength will help this team plug holes over the next couple of seasons, perhaps offsetting the other transitions that seem likely to take place.
  10. I think they'll put their best foot forward into July, but if things fall apart, I wouldn't be shocked if you see a lot of those veterans traded and a lot of the youngsters with a lot more time, especially Parmelee, Benson, Dozier and some of the pitchers.
  11. The Rays finally found a way to beat the Twins on Thursday afternoon: just don't let them score. Eventually, that worked, but it wasn't until the top of the ninth inning that the Rays pushed across the game's lone run, winning 1-0. It didn't have to be that way. The Twins threatened in the first inning, when Denard Span singled and then nabbed his first of two stolen bases. Trevor Plouffe then coaxed a walk for an early scoring opportunity. But on a 3-1 pitch, Joe Mauer lined weakly to left field which held the runners. Justin Morneau flew to center and Josh Willingham grounded to shortstop and then early rally was stifled. Twins pitchers nearly matched the Rays. Francisco Liriano threw the first three innings, striking out five and walking none, while giving up just one hit. Liam Hendricks, Scott Diamond and Daryl Thompson then worked scoreless inning. Jeff Manship struck out the side in the seventh inning. Brendan Wise got the Twins through the eighth inning. [PRBREAK][/PRBREAK] Twins pitcher Carlos Gutierrez started the ninth inning with a strikeout and ground out, but walked Hak-Ju Lee on four pitches. Lee then stole second. Gutierrez still should have got out of the inning, but Luke Hughes, who was playing his first game since rehabbing a shoulder injury, had a throwing error that plated Lee and kept the inning alive.
  12. I suspect the requirement for the Twins to pay for the surgery is spelled out in the Collective Bargaining Agreement. But even if it isn't, I suppose it would fall under worker's compensation - being hurt on the job!
  13. I liked it too. Thanks.
  14. Tuesday afternoon's game between the Twins and Rays ended with the Twins clutching to a 3-2 lead. Danny Valencia had the decisive hit, a single (with an error) that drove in the second and third run with two outs in the third innings. The Twins loaded the bases for Valencia with a mixture of small ball: a single, a sac bunt, two stolen bases and two walks. On the hill, Scott Baker went two innings, Matt Capps struggled a little but got out of his inning without giving up a run and Glen Perkinds struck out two in his frame. Both Rays runs came in the eighth inning off of reliever Jeff Gray. For more detail, including lots of hitter by hitter description and reaction, check out this afternoon's game thread. [PRBREAK][/PRBREAK]
  15. [ATTACH=CONFIG]264[/ATTACH]Aaron Gleeman and the Twins Geek discuss Zumaya's injury, rank JR Towles chances of unseating Drew Butera, watch the Twins first televised spring training game, take questions at the Wild Boar and finally unveil John's original "Beauty & The Beast" theme song. Here are: the podcasts the rss feed if you want to subscribe and the podcast on iTunes (where you can also subscribe and leave reviews).
  16. Aaron Gleeman and the Twins Geek discuss Zumaya's injury, rank JR Towles chances of unseating Drew Butera, watch the Twins first televised spring training game, take questions at the Wild Boar and finally unveil John's original "Beauty & The Beast" theme song. Here are: the podcasts the rss feed if you want to subscribe and the podcast on iTunes (where you can also subscribe and leave reviews). [PRBREAK][/PRBREAK]
  17. The beginning of the Grapefruit Season means more baseball talk, and we saw it on the forum board yesterday: The live thread of the game was a little weird because most people heard the game two hours later. That led to some talk about the limitations of MLB.TV. Also, Seth recapped the game the game which led to more discussion. Gardenhire surprised some of us by playing Trevor Plouffe in left field along with all the other starters. Does that mean Revere could be on the bench? And if that's the case, should Willingham play left field after all? Finally, just the concept of watching baseball live had members reminiscing about their favorite ballparks. This was by far our most popular thread of the day. Ah, spring. [PRBREAK][/PRBREAK]
  18. In their first official Grapefruit League game, the Twins defeated the Rays 7-3 this afternoon in Fort Myers. Manager Ron Gardenhire trotted out a lineup heavy on expected starting position players, but it was the backups who had the biggest impact, tallying three runs in the 6th inning to give the Twins a lead they would not relenquish. [PRBREAK][/PRBREAK] [attachment=4318:184.attach] Carl Pavano started the game, giving up a 2-run home run in the first inning to Matt Joyce. He and Brian Duensing both pitched two innings in a game that featured five other Twins pitchers with major league experience: Matt Capps, Glen Perkins, Alex Burnett, Matt Maloney and Anthony Swarzak. Swarzak gave up the other run the Rays scored and the southpaw Maloney struck out the side in the eighth, albeit facing all left-handed hitters. With plenty of attention being paid to the healthy of Joe Mauer, Denard Span and Justin Morneau, Twins trainers should be happy to hear that they all had a good start to their spring training season. Span had two hits, Mauer drove in the Twins first run and Morneau the second with a two-out opposite-field hit against the Rays shift. That tied the game at 2-2 going into the sixth inning. Then the bench started doing some realy damage. Shortstop Tsuyoshi Nishioka had two hits, including a warning-track triple. Chris Parmelee also had two hits in his two at-bats, though he later ran into an out by failing to recognize that the runner in front of him had stopped at third base. Catcher Chris Herrmann, outfielder Joe Benson and second baseman Mike Hollimon also contributed RBI. View full article
  19. In their first official Grapefruit League game, the Twins defeated the Rays 7-3 this afternoon in Fort Myers. Manager Ron Gardenhire trotted out a lineup heavy on expected starting position players, but it was the backups who had the biggest impact, tallying three runs in the 6th inning to give the Twins a lead they would not relenquish. [PRBREAK][/PRBREAK] Carl Pavano started the game, giving up a 2-run home run in the first inning to Matt Joyce. He and Brian Duensing both pitched two innings in a game that featured five other Twins pitchers with major league experience: Matt Capps, Glen Perkins, Alex Burnett, Matt Maloney and Anthony Swarzak. Swarzak gave up the other run the Rays scored and the southpaw Maloney struck out the side in the eighth, albeit facing all left-handed hitters. With plenty of attention being paid to the healthy of Joe Mauer, Denard Span and Justin Morneau, Twins trainers should be happy to hear that they all had a good start to their spring training season. Span had two hits, Mauer drove in the Twins first run and Morneau the second with a two-out opposite-field hit against the Rays shift. That tied the game at 2-2 going into the sixth inning. Then the bench started doing some realy damage. Shortstop Tsuyoshi Nishioka had two hits, including a warning-track triple. Chris Parmelee also had two hits in his two at-bats, though he later ran into an out by failing to recognize that the runner in front of him had stopped at third base. Catcher Chris Herrmann, outfielder Joe Benson and second baseman Mike Hollimon also contributed RBI.
  20. I was at that game with Nick Nelson, which I think is the first time we had ever really hung out. We were in the right field bleachers and started drinking Red Bull & vodka in the early inning, which I never do. And as the game went on, we felt we needed to continue, because we didn't want to jinx it. So that might be your answer - more Red Bull & vodka for Nick & I.
  21. That is an awesome line. I would love, when the season really starts, to have a forum thread devoted to this topic where we identify the songs and add our comments. I'll admit, this is often a topic among my friends and I in the stands.
  22. Even if you were to eat others brownies we would love to have you.
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