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USAFChief

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Everything posted by USAFChief

  1. USAFChief
    And either Suzuki or Herrmann, no? Same as before.
  2. USAFChief
    The DFA of Fryer is interesting in relation to the dredged up Hendricks thread. Fryer was one of the people Ryan retained on the 40 man rather than give Hendricks a try as a reliever, and Hendricks had an option left.
  3. USAFChief
    Everyone should read this thread. Quite interesting.
  4. USAFChief
    winner.
  5. USAFChief
    yeah yeah, great catch, blah blah blah. we're happy for you. go $**(# yourself.
  6. USAFChief
    wait...this wasn't a continuation of the one liners, was it?
  7. USAFChief
    Biggest issues for this team going forward: 1. Joe Mauer 2. Everything else
  8. USAFChief
    I went to the doctor, he told me I needed heart surgery. I told him I wanted a second opinion. He told me, "Ok, you're ugly, too." Dangerfield
  9. USAFChief
    When I had kids, I childproofed the house. But the little bastards found a way back in anyway. -Chief
  10. USAFChief
    If there is this huge difference between the lineups, it seems to me that's yet another argument not to sacrifice and limit your chances of a big inning, no?
  11. USAFChief
    Don't thank me. Thank Judge Smalls.
  12. USAFChief
    Is there anybody that WOULDN'T be happy with that?
  13. USAFChief
    http://i37.photobucket.com/albums/e78/zzneight/caddyshack.jpg It's easy to grin When your ship comes in And you've got the stock market beat. But the man worthwhile Is the man who can smile When his pants are too tight in the seat.
  14. USAFChief
    Many of us here are disappointed in TR's actions this summer. I myself, a pretty die hard fan, find myself a little less motivated to watch, and I LOVE watching the Twins. Is is so difficult to imagine some of the players on the team may be disappointed too? They felt like they had busted their ass, had given themselves a chance, but needed some help? And then saw that need basically ignored by the front office? Players are human beings. I can't imagine at least some of them NOT being disappointed, and perhaps pressing, or maybe unconsciously trying just a bit less hard.
  15. USAFChief
    You don't think you're exercising a bit of circular logic here? "Players have to be depressed that the front office didn't help them." "That's ridiculous. BTW, Dozier has sucked since the front office did nothing."
  16. USAFChief
    great post.
  17. USAFChief
    I don't like run expectancy charts because using the average of thousands of situations to describe the likely outcome of a specific situation doesn't seem to me very helpful, or very accurate. By using thousands of situations, you have described the perfectly average pitcher, pitching to the perfectly average hitter, in a perfectly average inning, with perfectly average runners, in perfectly average weather....etc etc etc. A specific situation isn't anything like that. Shane Robinson against LaTroy Hawkins, two on none out, ninth inning, isn't anything like Miguel Cabrera against a tiring Tommy Milone, 6th inning, which isn't anything like Eric Fryer against Max Scherzer, first inning, .... I shouldn't have even brought it up, because using run expectancy charts to dictate strategy is not smart, IMO.
  18. USAFChief
    This is quite simple...in either case, at least one more hit is needed to tie the game. The lead runner makes no difference to the game, it's the runner on 1st base that matters. By bunting, the second runner (the one that matters) is on 2nd with one out. One hit is needed to tie the game. He can't score without benefit of a hit (or an error/WP, which isn't a strategy, and in any case, has as much chance of happening whether you bunt or not). By not bunting, if you get that same one hit, now the second runner is on 2nd (or third, or already across the plate), only now there are no outs. Now the tying run doesn't need another hit to score. Two sac flies would do it. A bunt NOW puts the tying run at third instead of second. No matter how you play that inning, you need at minimum, one more hit. I would prefer to have three shots at it, with the understanding that I'm losing flexibility if that hit doesn't come in the first of the three tries.
  19. USAFChief
    Concur, with the exception of walks being better than everything except extra base hits. Even singles are better than walks, since they can and often do advance runners more than one base. Otherwise, I agree...making the pitcher throw strikes to get you out is very important and not something the Twins as a whole are very good at. One thing I do like about Bruno's philosophy is, if you get a good pitch to hit, swing at it.
  20. USAFChief
    FWIW (not much IMO), BPro's run expectancy chart: 1st and 2nd, no out =1.43, 2ndand 3rd one out, 1.29.
  21. USAFChief
    Two hits aren't necessary in either case, if the hit comes before the out.
  22. USAFChief
    I don't agree with it, but isn't conventional wisdom to play for the tie at HOME, and to win on the road?
  23. USAFChief
    Actually, no. An extra base hit works, obviously. A single gives you 1st and second, no outs, or 1st and third, no outs. Now you have the tying run at second, or third, and can tie the game without another hit. Either of those is preferable to 2nd and third, one out, when you STILL need a hit to tie the game, but can no longer afford the out. By giving up the one out you had to play with--intentionally---before you get the hit you needed either way, you reduce your chances, IMO. Like I said, you need another hit...why waste one of three chances on purpose?
  24. USAFChief
    Seconded.
  25. USAFChief
    Sano looks like a nice hitter.
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