alarp33
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Everything posted by alarp33
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Article: Miguel Sano: A Fading Superstar
alarp33 replied to Cody Christie's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Since that post; .415 OPS, .253 wOBA, 52 wRC+, 46.7 K%- 114 replies
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- miguel sano
- eddie rosario
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No one hates Sano having an .850 OPS, he had a nice 2 weeks off the IL, the criticism and complaints are intensifying because Sano is going out there on a nightly basis and having horrendous at bats, and striking out while coming no where close to solid contact. The complaints are over the past couple of weeks where he's striking out half the time with an OPS well under an acceptable level. This isn't hard to understand. Saying Sano has an .850 OPS so everyone is overreacting is either intentionally being obtuse or ignoring the evidence at hand, that for 2+ weeks he's had as much chance as any of us facing major league pitching. Pitchers made adjustments, is Sano capable of doing the same? We'll see, but current results aren't promising
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The 1B/DH role is too valuable so they should fill it with Vargas and Raley... hmmm can't say I understand that in the slightest.
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Article: We Are All Witnesses, Right?
alarp33 replied to Ted Schwerzler 's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
He's going to play 70% of the games this year. Forget I said "1st", he can have some DH days -
Article: We Are All Witnesses, Right?
alarp33 replied to Ted Schwerzler 's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
I wouldn't sign Mauer for sentimental reasons, I don't care about that. I'd sign him because I still think he can help this team at a position of need, and likely wouldn't cost that much. Let's not forget some of the options this team has used regularly this year, that Mauer has vastly outperformed at the plate Gross, LoMo, etc. Would I play him every day? No. But start him 70% of the time at 1B, let Austin play the other 30% (while also DH'ing on other day), let Rooker force his way up, etc. -
You are really all over the board here. So because some people on this board were skeptical about Rosario swinging at everything and he has turned into a good player... it means that Cave will be that good? BTW, Rosario reached the majors 2 years earlier and had a similar OPS as a rookie (in a much more substantial sample size) If you swing at everything as a rookie thats great, and if your OPS is over .700 its only going to go up? Don't tell that to Danny Santana
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- jake cave
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Remove Jake Cave, add Zach Granite and you could've wrote the same post last July. It's nice that the Twins have found what looks like a usable piece. But it's not "hate" to acknowledge the extremely small sample size and luck driven factors.
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- jake cave
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Article: Dear Twins: Don't Sell!
alarp33 replied to Steven Buhr's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Because you wanted to give Dozier / Escobar QO's? Clearly this was not a playoff team with or without the sell off. Unless of course you think a 48-54 team had a 47-13 run in them -
Article: Dear Twins: Don't Sell!
alarp33 replied to Steven Buhr's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Umm no, if I knew exacts like that I would be making a lot of money in Vegas. But I do understand probabilities and that Cle had a better roster and extremely easy schedule. Are you suggesting the Twins FO made the wrong decision? Are you suggesting its never ok to trade players because you never know exacts of what the future holds? -
Article: Dear Twins: Don't Sell!
alarp33 replied to Steven Buhr's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Cleveland is on pace to win 95 games. On July 27 (the day they traded Escobar) the Twins were 48-54. In order to match Cleveland's 95 wins, the Twins would have needed to finish the season 47-13. Are you suggesting that was a legitimate possibility and we don't know yet if the Sell was a good idea or bad? -
Article: Dear Twins: Don't Sell!
alarp33 replied to Steven Buhr's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
You are only discussing the Twins... like I said, they could have SWEPT 7 games vs Cleveland and would trail the Indians by 8 games still. You are correct, I don't know what would have happened with the Twins... but I don't need to know what would have happened with the Twins if Cleveland continues to win at this clip. Again, I gave the Twins a 7 game sweep of Cle in my hypothetical and they still would trail in the division by 8 games. Unless you are suggesting the Twins would have simply never lost again starting on July 31... what they would or would not have done simply is irrelevant if Cle wins at this clip -
Article: Dear Twins: Don't Sell!
alarp33 replied to Steven Buhr's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
You are missing the point. Cleveland's record is not effected by the "sell". Heck, you can give the Twins all 7 games (making the Twins 16-7 in last 23) vs the Tribe heads up if you want. And they STILL would be 8 games back -
Article: Dear Twins: Don't Sell!
alarp33 replied to Steven Buhr's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Since Friday July 27; Indians 17-6 (5-2 vs Twins) Twins 11-12 (2-5 vs Indians) You could reverse those head to head results, putting the Twins at a solid 14-9 in last 23 (much higher than their Win % was Season to Date) and they still would be trailing in the AL Central race by double digits. -
Article: Willians Astudillo Is A Savvy Mofo
alarp33 replied to Parker Hageman's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
It's also a balk if the pitcher is "astride of the rubber".. which means not touching it, but straddling it? It appears De Jong is close to doing that but must not have.- 22 replies
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Article: Willians Astudillo Is A Savvy Mofo
alarp33 replied to Parker Hageman's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
After De Jong messes with his cleats and tosses the rosin bag down, is he not considered "astride of the pitching rubber" when he walks up next to the rubber?- 22 replies
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Forsythe wouldn't have had a spot in the lineup with or without Dozier. Justin Turner was just activated from the DL, they acquired Machado, Muncy can play some 2B. Frankly it's unlikely that Dozier will have an every day spot in the lineup
- 127 replies
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- eduardo escobar
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I'm confused by what your argument or point is. Are you saying the only way for a team to win a playoff game is by nailing minor deadline deals where they are trading expiring contracts? The Liriano trade wasn't a win because Escobar didn't carry the team to a WS title?
- 127 replies
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- eduardo escobar
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You listed Mauer and Morrison, free agents. Zach Granite, a guy with a .527 OPS in AAA... but admitted Raley could be an every day player We aren't going to agree, and I'm totally able to admit I have no idea how this trade will look in the long run. My issue is with saying something like this is a "Clear loss". I don't understand that in the least. What would Dozier have brought to this team in Aug/Sept? If Raley contributes greatly for 2 weeks in a winning season in his entire MLB career it's a clear win. I don't even get how you could "lose" a trade like this, knowing Dozier is a free agent in 2 months
- 127 replies
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- eduardo escobar
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So you've seen reports that call him a potential every day OFer, but have concluded getting rid of Dozier for 2 months in a lost season was "a clear loss". I don't understand the reasoning here
- 127 replies
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- eduardo escobar
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What's your point? I thought Ryan was a terrible GM, but the Twins have historically done well on these types of trades.
- 127 replies
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They gave up 2 months of Dozier in a lost season. What did the Twins lose exactly? I mean if Forsythe is worse, like many expect, and the Twins get the 7th pick in the draft instead of the 11th.. you are calling that a clear loss? Why exactly does it look like a clear loss right now? Because Fangraphs doesn't like Raley?
- 127 replies
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- eduardo escobar
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Right, this is my point. You have read one scout who doesn't like Raley and have concluded he will never play a role in this organization. The Twins have lots of scouts, some of whom may think he has a chance
- 127 replies
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- eduardo escobar
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Again, none of us here as far as I know are professional scouts. They may have chosen those guys for a specific reason. Downgrade from Dozier to Forsythe is for 2 months in a season they aren't going to make the playoffs. Dozier obviously didn't garner a ton of interest, but if one of these prospects turns out who cares about that downgrade (even if they don't turn out, who cares?)
- 127 replies
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- eduardo escobar
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You are assuming in your analysis that the 2 players WONT factor into any plans for MN. I do not think that is a given. They aren't high end prospects, but there's a chance Raley can be useful
- 127 replies
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