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slash129

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Everything posted by slash129

  1. His K-Rate is acceptable, if he gets the walk rate up and maintains his LD% and HR/FB rate. It would be great for him to get it under 25%, but 28% is something they can work with given improvement in zone control. Stanton, Judge, Nimmo, Aguilar and even Goldschmidt this year are producing at a high level with a comparable K-Rate, but most of them walk a couple to quite a few ticks more.
  2. I just can't see Pressly commanding a top 50 overall prospect .... I would jump on it, but that's probably a pipe dream.
  3. It's semantics, but you're likely correct in that they don't call and ask for a #2 or #4. Falvine can easily say that they want to be compensated for a top 20-25 AL (top 30-35 ML) starter with a sweet contract situation through 2019. I understand that these are human players, but they do get treated like commodities to a degree by the FOs. Why wouldn't the Twins demand value base on his recent performance and then some? They have no motivation to "get what they can". They have Gibson and for next season too. The buyers all have the low ground on this one.
  4. So they'd be looking at a 30yo #2 with relatively cheap, controllable salary through 2019 who's been pitching at his highest level when the buyer is looking to win now. If a GM called Falvine and made an offer for a mean #4 with Gibson's history of 2016 through mid-2017, they should answer with ... "How do you think that type of pitcher is going to help you now when you're trying to make a playoff push? Call back when you're ready to talk about Kyle Gibson."
  5. For the sake of defining trade value, Gibson is currently performing just outside the top 15 pitchers in the AL (just inside or outside the top 30 in ML) and has been for approximately the equivalent of one season (30+ starts) after measurable changes to his approach. It's no small sample size, and teams had a full off-season to get video and make themselves aware of the changes. This means he should return the demand for a #2 (and if I'm Falvine, I'm adding a situational premium due to the buyer's desired end goal). Sure he may not be the 2nd best pitcher on a contending team, but those teams are attempting to have a performance above the mean in each slot. The contender should pay for a #2, even if they want to use him as a #4. I can agree with the last line of your post, because if the Twins wanted to contend then they also need to find additional performance above the mean.
  6. In the AL ... 17th in WAR 18th in xFIP 14th in IP (with one less start than most of the field) In ML 26th in WAR 31st in xFIP 21st in IP Yes, he is a solid #2 flirting with being a #1. I'm going by current baseball starter economics, not some ideal #2 starter on a super team.
  7. I 90% agree. There is 10% that wonders if the pitchers need Bobby if they want to develop and get the framing for calls or have the confidence that they can throw a breaking pitch with a man on third. It's those little things. I'd like to see Garver evaluated for the rest of the season as well, but, if this sell thing happens, the Twins will need to evaluate Littell, Mejia, Slegers, Romero and possibly Gonsalves. That's harder to do, if they don't have confidence in their battery mate. It's even more of a problem if said battery mate doesn't have one of those calming yet take-charge personalities. Is Garver or Astudillo that guy? I don't know. Just ramblin' ....
  8. Great article, Ted. I've seen a good deal of Kepler bashing, and it typically gets backed by that easy yet archaic batting average statistic. Your in depth looks shows exactly why us fans need to be patient with this type of player instead of assuming that he's the easy boot to make room for another prospect to satisfy instant-thrill impetuosity. He's 25. He's got it between the ears. He has the ability to contribute at a high level in all aspects of the game. I look forward to his further emergence as a player that this team builds around. Also, my daughter has a crush on him, so I wouldn't be able to say anything "mean" about him anyway.
  9. I guess I did read too much into your response and assumed the Gibson/Odorizzi departure as a qualifier, since that was my qualifier to that rotation list.
  10. Especially since Kirilloff seems to be starting his OB from a base past first quite often!
  11. And the window after 2019 starts to lineup with the White Sox' window, a team in a much larger market that will spend to supplement. Fortunately, KC looks to be down for awhile longer and Detroit gets to start each season with $30-70 mill locked up in bad contracts through 2023. Cleveland will continue to be strong due to lots of team friendly contracts on marquis players.
  12. So then get rid of Gibson and Odorizzi (both under control and likely quite affordable) to bring in FA's that will start around the 12 mill that Lynn got for marginal back end performance and cost around $20 mill and up for multiple years if you actually want a good player (e.g. Corbin) ... Seems counter-productive Sure, you'll have another question mark lotto piece in the system, but I doubt that will cover the difference.
  13. Hoping some promotions from E-Town can add some pop to the CR lineup. The CR rotation looks more than capable, but they need some help. There are some good players in the lineup, but you can't lose a Lewis and a Kirilloff and not feel it at some point. I know that winning isn't the overall point of MiLB, but it's still fun and good for those communities.
  14. Trading Gibson and Odorizzi (not mentioned in this article, but often otherwise) leaves the Twins with a 2019 rotation of ... Berrios Romero Pineda Mejia Littell With depth of ... Slegers Gonsalves May Thorpe (possibly knocking) To me that's Berrios and lots of inexperience and question marks. It doesn't appear to be a contention rotation, even with the "depth".
  15. IMHO, 7-2 on this road trip is what's necessary to hold off the fire sale. Strange things have happened, but sweeping Boston in Fenway is incredibly unlikely. Lynn should be the first to go. He's the one player that I almost could care less about the return. He's unwatchable and hopefully without a future here.
  16. 21 swinging strikes for Ober ... Pre-TJ seems to be happening ... Any word on velo last night?
  17. It was fun to watch at the end. That Kepler at-bat just didn't go our way.
  18. You make an interesting point, but my process would be at the expense of Morrison and giving Escobar, Polanco and Dozier some DH PAs to allow for the new look Sano to play 3B.
  19. This probably won't be popular, and I understand. I'd rather watch better baseball for a couple of months than backfill the bottom end of the org or get the rights to a player whose equivalent can be had on a minor league deal next ST (Alex Presley). Dozier and Escobar are still playing for contracts, so we should get to see some good baseball.
  20. If a deal for Dozier or Escobar - with or without Duke inlcuded - can return some of these top 10 players like Kilome, Burnes or Mata, I think the Twins would have to seriously consider the move. I would still wait until very close to the deadline to pull the trigger to see if this momentum carries through the roadtrip. I still don't understand the argument of moving either of them for just lottery tickets and the "benefit" of opening up a spot for Gordon. Just because he was a #1 pick, doesn't mean he's earned a chance at the MLB level yet? He's now been floundering at AAA longer than he was excelling at AA this season. That tells me that he's hit a wall with his promotion, not that he's ready to take yet another step.
  21. The surplus of clubhouse mojo that Belisle brings will cover any lost in moving Escobar. In fact, he should just change his name to Midas Belisle, King of the Clubhouse.
  22. Geez ...Jeffers is maintaining a 40% LD-rate on 75 balls in play. That's a pretty good run on squaring it up. Maybe he needs to play where he'll see more movement.
  23. TD's prospect handbook has him in the low 90s, but the only scouting report I could find was from 2012 and had him peaking at 88. Of course, he was 17 then. I haven't been able to watch him live or on TV, but I did see that he got 14 swing-and-misses his last time out. I wish MILB Gameday would track pitch types and speeds.
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