Yes, Chicago has the tiebreaker on Minnesota, so if the Twins lose, Chicago also has lose for the Twins to win the division. Similarly, Oakland has the tiebreaker on Minnesota, so if the Twins lose, the A's also have to lose to keep Minnesota in the No. 2 seed. Similarly, Cleveland has the tiebreaker on Chicago, so if Chicago loses, Cleveland also needs to lose to stay behind Chicago and get the No. 7 seed. So if these were coin flips, it would be a 1 in 16 chance of all four teams losing.