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tobi0040

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Everything posted by tobi0040

  1. tobi0040
    This staff? No way.
  2. tobi0040
    Spy. It is like they rebuilt in six months. I hate those guys.
  3. tobi0040
    If I was another team, I would buy low on struggling Twins prospects
  4. tobi0040
    Roy Oswalt comes to mind. He got really low and drove hard with his legs.
  5. tobi0040
    Now add all the things the AAA staff has told him.
  6. tobi0040
    The most telling part of the Blyleven conversation was when he said “sadly, they should have had him working on this in the minor leagues”. We cannot get this FO, development, and coaching staff out of here soon enough.
  7. tobi0040
    More or less. I liked those other picks better than Kiriloff. But I like Kiriloff better than Revere. Some think this kid is really going to hit. A really good hitting corner OF is bordering on a player we can't sign in free agency. But Revere is a guy that we can afford his ceiling. The report I read in Wimmers when we drafted him was FB that tops 90-91 and good command. We can sign guys like Pelfrey and Correia all day.
  8. tobi0040
    I am not tying to revisionist look back. I don't think it was a player selection issue, this guy turned out and that guy didn't. Revere was never going to be a difference maker. Neither was Wimmers. Or the relievers for that matter. We should focus on areas that we can't solve in free agency. Low ceiling Corner OF, 1B, relievers, we can buy those. Catcher, SP, SS. Not so much
  9. tobi0040
    The issue with Revere is ceiling and asset allocation. He has a career 664 OPS and plays corner OF. He has 6 WAR in 7 seasons and now makes $7m in arbitration. That is the type of guy that is a dime a dozen in free agency. You have no business using a first round pick on him. So while he may have more WAR than several guys, give me an upside starter that has less chance of making the big leagues, but if he does we have 7 years of control and the potential for the first few free agent years. And I don't think this thought process has the benefit of hindsight at all. Ben Revere was never going to be the type of major league player the Twins could not afford or a star on a good team and that was known on draft day. To me that is the definition of a terrible pick.
  10. tobi0040
    I think his point, which I completely agree with is BPA to the extreme can have you drafting a CF like five times in 7 years. Or multiple SS when you may already have a few in your system.
  11. tobi0040
    Our rotation has been loaded with veterans under contract that have no shot at being a #1 or #2. You find yourself at absolute best case about the 20th rotation in baseball when you do that. When guys struggle, get hurt, they underperform even the low ceiling they had before you fall off a cliff. Gibson needs to be tendered because of the lack of options. But we should under no circumstance be even thinking about locking up another guy like this. Especially when he is controlled and should not get too expensive. Not to mention the higher upside guys about 6-12 months away from breaking through.
  12. tobi0040
    I wasn't too thrilled with the pick because I like high ceiling guys and I think Gordon was a pretty safe pick. But he has been a little better than I thought he would, especially this year. And he is at about the level I thought he would be, best case. If we need to criticize the Twins at #5 by saying they should have taken the guy that went 13th I think we are being a tad picky. Especially when our player is likely a major league SS. Maybe not an all star, but a fairly good player. Gordon is looking better than Aiken or Kolek at 1 and 2, Alex Jackson, Kyle Freeland, etc. Most of the other guys in between 5-13 look like ok/good players but not great.
  13. tobi0040
    I don't agree a trade means they maximized his value. His struggles were reflected in the return.
  14. tobi0040
    Tyler Jay is looking a lot better DIllon Tate. Tucker at #5 is not ripping it up either. Tate has a 4.39 ERA and has not reached AA. Only 7.5 k per 9 and 3.7 BB's. Tucker has a .711 OPS and is in A ball. Stealing a lot of bases. And Jay's numbers have been better than Fullmer's by a pretty wide margin.
  15. tobi0040
    I didn't realize the season was only 2.5 more weeks. Hopefully they make the playoffs. I would add fall league, Dominican, etc.
  16. tobi0040
    If the next 4-5 weeks go well in AAA I would not be opposed to a Sept. call up just because more baseball/hitting is going to be better for him. But when the new regime comes in, finding someone to diagnose his swing issues and work with him all off-season is priority #1. Then start him in AAA to refine it in games.
  17. tobi0040
    This was a good article. I did find it comical when you brought up Strasburg resigning and the impact on the FA market. I had this visual of that news breaking and the Twins FO finding out and being just devastated!
  18. tobi0040
    I agree completely. I was thinking the same thing with the Hunter comps when he came up. I think the current regime's record on development is very poor. There has to be a lot of different folks in charge of development now versus in 1993 through 1997 when Hunter came up. The current group seems to focus on winning minor league games, versus using the minors as a feeder system to the big leagues.
  19. tobi0040
    You can make a case that We may not be good for two years, so by the time we are good again he is a free agent and would get very expensive at 31. So I would lean trade.
  20. tobi0040
    Slow news day
  21. tobi0040
    Was it the same guy that had no patience for pitchers that walk guys but was ok with hitters that never walk?
  22. tobi0040
    I wasn't pushing for a Sam Fuld signing. Just that Fuld is a 4th OF type who has accumulated WAR 3 x as fast as Grossman. To me, we all agree the guy has no value around the league via trade. Maybe that should be a sign that we shouldn't be planning around him
  23. tobi0040
    Grossman has been a negative defensive player accross four years though. The offensive surge has just been this year. Across his four years he has accumulated a WAR of .4 in 1,000 PA. Sam Fuld has accumulated 3.7 WAR across 1,500 PA. What I would do given the defensive flexibility of Kepler and Rosario is sign a 4th OF that would be a platoon complement and be in the $2-3m range.
  24. tobi0040
    Despite his likely unsustainable offensive season (.392 OBP and 127 ERA +), his defense almost wipes away his value (BRef has a 1.7 oWar and -1.6 dWar). So we should have no real compelling reason to keep him around because he is likely a negative value player. We also should have some money to spend, so I we should have a pick of external options to Walker/Grossman.
  25. tobi0040
    I think you are right in the sense that he has been a 750 OPS player. But truly elite players aren't forced into making adjustments. They try each day to get better. I have no doubt many people have told him to slow the hacks down. It is a shame he isn't listening.
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