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tobi0040

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Everything posted by tobi0040

  1. tobi0040
    I think a month in the pen would actually be fine because the Twins probably have him on a 150-160 inning limit this year. In the rare chance we are making a run, that first month in the pen would help ensure he is part of it. I would find this solution vastly superior to him wasting bullets starting in AAA.
  2. tobi0040
    My ideal scenario is May makes the rotation and Meyer is eased into the rotation in long relief (2-3 innings at a time in meaningless games, on a somewhat regular schedule). Then Meyer is the next up when someone goes down.
  3. tobi0040
    I also like the callout about the bust rate of high school pitchers taken in the top 10. I looked at the drafts from 2001 to 2010, a total of 16 high school pitchers were taken. I get eight guys that have made the majors and several studs. Greinke, Kershaw, Bailey, Wheeler, Bumgarter, and Parker. The other two were Danks and Turner. Taillon is also in this category but he had TJ last year as a top 20 prospect (drafted in 2011). So it is nice to see the Twins not avoiding this group as the payoff can be huge. If you are curiuous, the others were Gruler, Loewen, Everts, Moore, Rogers, Hobgood, and Whitsen.
  4. tobi0040
    I agree, I am not the least bit concerned about the strikeouts. If that k rate is the same the next year or two, especially as he lets that slider loose I will be. The GO and BB numbers you cited are encouraging. As well as the .4 HR/9 number and the 7.88 H/9 number.
  5. tobi0040
    Right, but I would expect Meyer to be better then both of them.
  6. tobi0040
    If?
  7. tobi0040
    I have heard being tall = hard to repeat = shoulder issues. I would consider that a mechanics issue of sorts
  8. tobi0040
    I would say that if the Twins think mechanics are causing him to re-injure his shoulder then they should be tweaking those mechanics sooner rather than later. Based on the fact that we haven't heard that as their analysis or any word on the Twins tweaking his mechanics, I am guessing they have not reached that conclusion.
  9. tobi0040
    The ERA has been suspect, relative to his home road splits, FIP, xFIP, k rates, etc. I do think it speaks volumes that he was traded for a ham sandwich, then shelled this year. Now he findshimself, talent-wise about 7-8 deep in a rotation that was not at all good last year. Maybe they had negative connatations to it....just something to watch this year.
  10. tobi0040
    If Milone does go to Rochester it will be interesting to see if he demands a trade or compains as he did last year (complain, not sure if he demanded a trade).
  11. tobi0040
    I guess I don't mind the Twns paying $2.8M for the depth. His track record suggests to me he is much closer to an MLB pitcher than the typical AAAA options we have seen lately. But the veteran status and $2.8M should not mean he gets the job over May or Meyer. I think they could make him the guy though...as you point out "the first"
  12. tobi0040
    "Some wonder whether the huge foul territory at O.co Coliseum helped him out. Balls that are easily foul outs in Oakland might land 15 rows into the seating at Target Field giving the hitter another opportunity to get a hittable pitch." Home ERA/FIP Road ERA/FIP 2012 2.74/3.97 4.83/4.08 2013 3.44/4.96 4.19/3.80 2014 4.14/4.44 4.25/4.94 Overall much better numbers at home. Crazy gaps between ERA and FIP at home in 2012 and 2013. I think this theory has some merit
  13. tobi0040
    I think you have seen the Tigers keep about the same payroll and it won't increase further. They have picked and choosed a bit lately, letting Max walk for example. They tried extended one of Max or Miggy. They probably don't do the Victor extension until they off-loaded Prince. And I don't see them handing out another $27M a year deal to Price. If that is an accurate assessment, they won't have payroll wiggle room to add and the money tied up will get older and older. The question about the heirs is a fair one. My understanding is the Illitch just wants a ring and is not in good health. I can admire that. He is losing about $30M a year but doesn't care because his other businesses are making money hand over first. Maybe the heirs don't have the same passion, who knows.
  14. tobi0040
    Yeah, Texas did the analysis and concluded that while Prince was not going to age well, he would probably age much better in Texas summers, playing near 100 degrees each day.
  15. tobi0040
    The only caveat here is they had the goods to land a 1.5 year rental of Price and two months of Sanchez. They would not have had the goods to land, say the current asking price of Cole Hamels. Max was not an ace when they traded for him, he looked like an overhyped guy with a 4.50 ERA. Andrew Miller and Cameron Maybin were big time prospects at the time of that trade. Turner is another guy who people really liked. Their timing as noted by others has been phenomenal on virtually every one of these.
  16. tobi0040
    Respectfully, Rosario has been an extra base hit machine. He has shown enough pop to hit double digits in HR as well as a gap hitter with speed. 2010 - 17 XBH in 64 games. 9-3-5 2B-3B-HR 2011 - 41 XBH in 83 games. 10-10-21 2B-3B-HR 2012 - 65 XBH in 136 games. 44-4-17 2B-3B-HR 2013 - 59 XBH in 172 games. 36-10-13 2B-3B-HR 2014 - 31 XBH in 87 games. 20-3-8 2B-3B-HR His average is .285 in the minors, with last year really dragging that down. .280 might be somewhat lofty but not out of the question
  17. tobi0040
    Regarding the needing power in a corner OF, I think in 1-3 months this team may be screaming for better defense out of the corners and Rosario very well might be the prescription (like more cow bell). So I think it is a bit of a trade off. If the guy hits .280, 15 HR, 35 2B and provides an additional CF in the corner, that replaces a DH out there....I think it is a good trade off. The question is how much does someone like Arcia need to outhit Rosario to accept the defense?
  18. tobi0040
    Interesting about the k's. May had 8.67 per 9 last year with the Twins. Higher than Ervin (8.2) and Hughes (8). Obviously better than Ricky and Gibson. His biggest competition will hopefully be Meyer. Just a matter of innings.
  19. tobi0040
    I think we should get used to May's up and down performance. In 2012 and 2013 when he ended with an ERA in the 4.80 and 4.50 range, those were skewed quite a bit by a few bad outings. In 2013 he had two starts with 8 ER each, and another two with 5 ER.
  20. tobi0040
    I am surprised he is lumped in here as a starter candidate. I am guessing he is firmly behind Meyer, May, and Milone. Likely, gulp, Pelfrey as well.
  21. tobi0040
    Not to mention, you typcally are going off sometimes as little as 30-40 IP...so walk rates have a very small sample.
  22. tobi0040
    We should be able to keep Cerrano at bay with breaking balls.
  23. tobi0040
    A few other points to note. Last year was Meyer's worst from a BB per 9 perspective. His control was not on anyones radar a year ago. He was also tinkering with a new pitch, which he developed mid-season. One could conclude that could hurt his control (no data exists for minor league pitch fx data by pitch type). Lastly, (cue me beating a dead horse), but he ended with a 3.52 ERA. He led the league in K's and gave up only 10 HR. So a lot of those free passes did not score
  24. tobi0040
    Kind of on this topic, I would like us to give the job to the guy we think will be the best in june. I don't want a typical slow start because we made a decisions based on options or scholarship, then bring up the guy we know is better in a month. We have waited four years to watch good baseball.
  25. tobi0040
    If all I need is a shirt, where did he get it?
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