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tobi0040

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Everything posted by tobi0040

  1. tobi0040
    With regards to Sano to the OF....The Twins have had both of these guys in their systems for years now (Plouffe and Sano), It has been clear for a few years they would intersect on the MLB roster. In fact, it would have happened in 2014 if Sano didn't have TJ and as it seems, we are moving a 22 year old Sano to the OF and handing him a position he has never played. I see two conclusions. Either we are trading Plouffe or we have been asleep at the wheel here.
  2. tobi0040
    Torii was not traded. If memory serves he was a FA and we offered 3-45. He signed for 5-90. The flip side is I guess we have probably invested more 1st round picks towards CF than about anyone else too. Hunter, Hicks, Span, Revere, and Buxton.
  3. tobi0040
    I think the issue is the weight and his age. 270 at 22 doesn't typically age well.
  4. tobi0040
    Wait a minute. What is your wife's name?
  5. tobi0040
    I think this trade tells me two things. 1 - We view Ryan as a starting catcher and a guy that can help the team this year and eventually be our starting catcher for several years. 2 - We have doubts about Aaron Hicks. Time will tell if we were right. Here is what I like. 1 - We dealt from a position of strength for a position of weakness. 2 - We targeted a player that was likely better than any catcher we have in our system. 3 - We added a year of control 4 - Hicks in the corner OF spot, especially when he hits arb next year is EXTREMELY replaceable
  6. tobi0040
    Funny story for you. I have been checking the minor league box scores for Sano's stats since he was about 16. He comes up this year and rips it up. Then today I looked at this headline and just saw "Twins cut Miguel Sano" I am back to breathing normal now.
  7. tobi0040
    Steamer has Shields with a 3.0 WAR and Nolasco at 1.1.
  8. tobi0040
    They both have 10 seasons under their belt and Shields has accumulated three times the WAR. This meme needs to stop.
  9. tobi0040
    To me Felix has the upside teams look for but is a very difficult guy to stash on your 25 man all year. He did not have great numbers in A ball last year.
  10. tobi0040
    Agreed Shane. Nunez is as replaceable as you can find and Fien at $2.5M was a silly tender. I would have added Jones and Michael and said goodbye to those guys
  11. tobi0040
    Not sure us chipping in Polanco and Nolasco nets us a good closer in return, especially one that is controlled three more years. The struggle with seeing these trades for some on these boards is the fact that Nolasco has negative value. When you have a guy owed 2/25 that is worth 1 year and $3M as a free agent, you have a guy that you need to eat a ton of salary and/or give up an additional player/prospects in order to move. I think it is questionable whether or not we could trade Nolasco and Polanco for nothing. Is Polanco worth $20M right now?
  12. tobi0040
    I guess this is the rub for me. Nolasco has accumulated 10 WAR in his career in 10 seasons (1 WAR per season average). James has accumulated 29 WAR in ten seasons and is being written off after a 1.9 WAR season, double that of Nolasco's average. I get the blocking concerns. But they are not a substitute.
  13. tobi0040
    Rosario accumulated a WAR of 2.2 last year at age 23, while only playing 122 games. He will make nothing for three years and it controlled another six or so. I am keeping him in the OF. If we have money to spend, we could do better elsewhere. Rosario accumulated the same WAR as Fowler in fewer games.
  14. tobi0040
    Per Beradino, the Twins are trying to move Nolasco. Here is the important part: Another industry source said teams would likely need to see Nolasco take the mound next spring, if not into the 2016 season, before a trade could be worked out. After missing nearly four months last season due to a right ankle injury that required surgery, Nolasco is being viewed purely as an expensive depth option. He isn't guaranteed a spot in the Twins' resurgent rotation, which doesn't even have room for young right-handers Trevor May and Jose Berrios at the moment. http://www.twincities.com/twins/ci_29217799/twins-trying-unload-ricky-nolasco
  15. tobi0040
    So then your options are AAA if he accepts, DFA him, or give him reps somewhere. The place he hurts you least is probably long relief. We simply cannot afford grandfathering him a spot in the rotation. He pitched 37 innings last year. Averaged about 4 IP per start. Gave up 1.7 runners per 9 and 6.75 runs. 1 game can make or break being a playoff team, home field, etc.
  16. tobi0040
    Well in the context of a not gonna happen Nolasco for Shields swap, I would push back that we are selling at a low point. At no point in the last 7-8 years would that have ever been floated as a trade given the disparity between the two players. So the Padres would be sellling even lower I just don't' want to see Nolasco given reps anywhere ahead of a 20-24 year old with much more upside who is controlled for 7 years (Berrios, Burdi, Reed, etc.). I would try and give him away (which we probably have been attempting for two years now), when that fails I would make him a AAA starter until he completely dominates.
  17. tobi0040
    If we have no intention of moving Sano to the OF (which I don't think we really do), I would sign Span to a 2 year deal in a heartbeat. Arcia was a disaster defensively in the OF. Right now I think we have three young guys, Rosario, Buxton, and Kepler. One will falter.
  18. tobi0040
    A caveat, if he is one of the best five starters or six relievers. Yes we could be surprised.
  19. tobi0040
    What exactly is the worst case? Shields is really bad here and Nolasco goes onto two great years? These are calculated risks. You add a career 109 ERA+ guy for a career 90 ERA + guy with injury issues. Moot point anyway, Nolasco has no trade value whatsover. We will continue to see lopsided deals on this site. We are stuck with the guy unless we give him away and eat a majority of his contract. On top of being awful for two years and owed $25M, he has question marks about his health that are not answered at this point.
  20. tobi0040
    No question opt outs are very player friendly. But the reality is very good players have leverage over teams that want to win. The Dodgers may not have been able to get Greinke if they didn't offer one from the get go. So while 6 years is better than 3 + 6, but they received 17 WAR over three years from a guy they may not have been able get otherwise.
  21. tobi0040
    That is not a terrible worst case. I mean you get one really good year out of Shields and he leaves. But you get rid of Nolasco. Done.
  22. tobi0040
    I appluad your creativity and realism. It would take the Twins adding more to this, like Plouffe and Polanco than the Padres add (Pomeranz) in order for a Nolasco for Shields swap.
  23. tobi0040
    The interesting thing about that is that a year from now Shields will have about what Ricky has now left. And he may actually opt out, at least will have to think about it. No way Ricky would opt out of 2/25 now. He would get 1-3 or a minor league deal right now.
  24. tobi0040
    I would much rather have Upton. He had a .755 OPS last year. He hit lefties to the tune of .792 in his last year He could at least be a platoon OF bat, 4th OF, pinch runner on the low end. Nolasco has no role whatsoever.
  25. tobi0040
    This is one that I wish would go away. Imagine if we had James Shields and traded him for Ricky Nolasco
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