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tobi0040

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Everything posted by tobi0040

  1. tobi0040
    The thing that jumped out at me was the innings for Boshers. 25 ip in 32 IP. That is almost half a season
  2. tobi0040
    Also you get to cherry pick your match ups.
  3. tobi0040
    Late to reply here regarding a sunk cost. The first definition was spot on to the context I used it. "A previous transaction that has already happened and cannot be recovered". Technically, nolasco could recover. But giving innings to your 7th best starter based upon a past decision is not understanding or accepting the concept.
  4. tobi0040
    For a comparison sake. Perkins was given 44 starts and 250 innings to try his hand at starting. His ERA and FIP were around 5.00. WHIP around 1.45. And K per 9 in the 4.2 range. May hasn't failed there yet.
  5. tobi0040
    If the choice is moving the best MLB arm we have to the pen or shelling out $20M for a good bullpen arm, that is a no brainer to me. Also should call out that 3-20 can get you a good pen arm. As we have seen, 4-50 doesn't get you a good starter.
  6. tobi0040
    That is really silly logic. The decision points should be what is the optimal spot for everyone to maximize wins
  7. tobi0040
    Just think of this in the business context. You were really flexible last year and pitched well. You had a good attitude unlike a less talented veteran (Pelfrey). You are more skilled than people older than you So we are moving you to a less important role
  8. tobi0040
    Good post. It appears right now May is a big upgrade. But will he be a big upgrade in June? If two of Burdi, Chargois, Reed, Meyer, Peterson, etc. emerge....is May going to be a huge upgrade over them? The risk is if we hand May the ball in the 8th inning in April, we hear that he is not stretched out all year to move back. The 8th inning is a more permanent move than say long relief
  9. tobi0040
    Nolasco is probably the only one that is a sunk cost at this point. Althought Ervin and Hughes could easily become sunk costs in short order. Ervin is owed 3-41 and Hughes 4-49, neither looked good last year. But it will be those contracts that say, let's move May to the pen instead because these guys are owed so much money. This is a franchise that lets past contracts dictate reps. That is not the right way to do it. With regards to overpaying a reliever on the market. Wouldn't a 3-21 type contract for Bastardo by a more prodent signing than 4-50 for a starting pitcher? Bastardo in the pen and May in the rotation = $8M a year Nolasco, Ervin types in the rotation and May in the pen = $13M a year I will take the first option. Better results and less money
  10. tobi0040
    I dislike this move so much I would rather trade Plouffe for a good reliever and a prospect and keep May in the rotation.
  11. tobi0040
    Yeah, we should have a good pen with Perkins, Jepsen, May, and Berrios. The four of them will throw as many innings as Tommy Milone.
  12. tobi0040
    Here is what I see going on: -We have sunk costs in the rotation and we are not doing the right thing and treating them as such -We could fix the pen with a quality signing or two. We already have two good arms (perkins and Jepsen) and a bunch of higher ceiling young guys. The offseason is nowhere near over, we could save this from being an issue and make up for the typical bargain bin signings -As we always do, we favor the lower ceiling veterans over young guys with upside. Milone/Nolasco over May? No thanks. Winning franchises don't move their best arms to the pen for guys like this
  13. tobi0040
    Spot. On.
  14. tobi0040
    Well we were sitting on top prospect Eric Fryer
  15. tobi0040
    That was a pretty good draft in hindsight, Harper, Machado, Sale, Harvey, etc.. But in addition to Sale and Harvey you had Taillon, Pomeranz, Loux, Whitsen, McGuire, and Covey in the top 15 (Some may turn out still I know). So a stud hit rate of 2 of 8 so far. I am not saying we should be excused if we miss every time. My point is we can’t look in hindsight and pick the best guy, then say that team had the right approach with them, i.e. Sale going almost straight to the MLB pen, then moving to the rotation. The reality is Sale would have been really good no matter the approach or timeline. We used to see on these boards comparisons between Trout and Buxton as far as time in the minors as well. The reality is Buxton was not on a 10 WAR pace his first year like Trout and it was the scouting and hitting the jackpot with Trout that was the coup, not the approach. Same with Sale.
  16. tobi0040
    Not to mention the obvious. You can't compare any top draft pick to a one of the best in the game. Well it worked for Chris Sale.....any path would have worked for Chris Sale. Starter, reliever, fast track, slow track. The guy has 22 WAR in four years.
  17. tobi0040
    Instead of going cheap on the pen, maybe a 4/36 for Miller makes a ton of sense in the context of then being able to use May in the rotation (versus a huge contract for a wild card like Nolasco or Ervin)
  18. tobi0040
    This is a position that we have really done a poor job with succession planning. It should have been obvious Mauer would not be catching at 31+, especially after we gave him an 8 year deal. But we never really saw the first round pick, free agent signing, etc.
  19. tobi0040
    And at his age and amount of reps he has gotten with us the last two years, there is really no reason to think he will ever go back to the first half of 2014 guy.
  20. tobi0040
    Some guys have some hope, like Duffey, Reed, and Burdi, etc. But we have made significant investments since 2007, multipe comp and 2nd round picks here without a single player emerging in the bullpen for the Twins.
  21. tobi0040
    I agree with you, save Benson. He is not young (28 opening day) nor a prospect. He has played 21 MLB games, with the Twins in 2011. Kind of a weird signing if you ask me.
  22. tobi0040
    Doc, What is this moving guys around based on matchups that you speak of?
  23. tobi0040
    Major League Ready, I get that we may have learned he was not going to hack it at 3b. But that is my point, it would not have killed us to give him 15 games in left in case we cross that bridge. The thought of handing the guy an OF glove in ST and saying go get em is unnecessary. I still believe TR is lining up a trade for Plouffe.
  24. tobi0040
    He will get something like 11 innings in the spring. A respectable 4.50 ERA and a few random positive news stories and I think you are right.
  25. tobi0040
    There is always that risk. But Hicks makes more money and was erratic. Save a few months this year, he has been pretty bad the last two or three years. He had a good 2012 in the minors but was up and down there as well. I think Rosario will backup CF and play plus defense in the corner. If he does that, .270 with 15 HR and 35-40 2B makes a very fine player.
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