Jump to content
Twins Daily
  • Create Account

tobi0040

Verified Member
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    5,776

  • Joined

  • Last visited

  • Days Won

    10

 Content Type 

Profiles

Minnesota Twins News, Rumors & Analysis

Minnesota Twins Videos

2026 Minnesota Twins Top Prospect Rankings

2022 Minnesota Twins Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses

Minnesota Twins Trade & Free Agent Rumors

Minnesota Twins Fan Guides & Resources

2023 Minnesota Twins Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses

The Minnesota Twins Players Project

2024 Minnesota Twins Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses

2025 Minnesota Twins Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses

2026 Minnesota Twins Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses

Forums

Blogs

Events

Store

Downloads

Gallery

Everything posted by tobi0040

  1. tobi0040
    They do have 7 prospects in the top 100 and another 1-1 staring at them.
  2. tobi0040
    True for CF, not for SS. They have questions about Danny Santana.
  3. tobi0040
    I think Hicks and Pedro are apples and oranges. Hicks is 24, was a top prospect, and has only 350 at bats up here. Pedro is 27, was never highly touted, was left unprotected, and has 610 at bats up here. As bad as Hicks has been, his OPS is 20 basis points better and his walk rate is encouraging and his BABIP has been very low. That does not mean that Hicks could not benefit from going down, but with him I think it is between the ears. Pedro just doesn't have it. He is like Ponder. He just isn't good. He tries hard, he puts in the effort. But the skills are not there.
  4. tobi0040
  5. tobi0040
    My personal opinion, the Rays handle their roster and lineup better than anyone. Primarily through platooning their OF, catcher, 2B, and DH (where they don't have good players). They were able to get these number out of guys that have been cast offs and are not making any money: Sean Rodriguez (Utility) - .704 OPS Jose Labaton (catcher with 311 PA last year) - .714 OPS Matt Joyce - .747 OPS David Dejesus - .741 OPS Delmon Young - .781 OPS Kelly Johnson - .715 OPS Luke Scott - .748 OPS So you are the Twins and you have a debacle at SS. Escrobar has a career OPS over .700 against lefties. Could we not find a single SS out there, a guy labeled as utility guy with a reasonable OPS against righties?
  6. tobi0040
    Kurt has had 77 plate appearances. That is 15 games at 5 at bats a game. If he is still raking in July, we were all wrong. To quote Denny Green, Pedro is what we thought he was.
  7. tobi0040
    If Santana is going to hit .260 or .270, by my account that is another 40 hits or so a year than Pedro will hit (over 600 AB). Let's just agree that he will have defensive lapses and that is ok, especially for a young kid with upside.
  8. tobi0040
    There is no question Pedro is a very good defensive shortstop. But his career line in over 600 AB is .208, OBP .269, OPS .569. By continuing to run out a guy like that, you are saying as long as you are good at defense, we don't really care that your bat belongs in low A. I don't think that is the right approach. Especially since he is 27, never really looked very good in the minors, was never a top prospect, etc. If only we could have seen this coming.
  9. tobi0040
    Terry called around and was offered Chinese takeout for one. He should have done that deal.
  10. tobi0040
    If only their was a dedicated Twins site that predicted issues at the SS position this year. I thought we were all set.
  11. tobi0040
    Agreed. I am guessing Santana will hit more than .121. I thought it was a typo today at .109.
  12. tobi0040
    I completely agree. When the Marlins took Jose Fernandez at #6 and the Dodgers took Kershaw at #7, they weren't hoping for a #4 or #5 starter. Fernandez had command question marks and Kershaw had an oblique injury his senior year. But those lotto tickets had a higher jackpot than a back of the rotation guy. #4 or #5 starters can be signed on the free agent market. Even by the Twins. Kershaw and Fernandez will likely never be free agents and if they were, we wouldn't even put in a phone call.
  13. tobi0040
    I like this kid. This is an interesting write up, says his ceiling is as high as anyone, but: "I would bet that he ends up with two pitches that are at least 6 if not 7's, a solid average change and control enough to be a solid #2 starter in the majors." Give me two 60-70 pitches and I am thinking more ace than #2. But he is intriguing either way. http://www.minorleagueball.com/2014/1/20/5325310/2014-mlb-draft-profile-touki-toussaint-rhp-coral-springs-fl-high
  14. tobi0040
    Somewhere between 8-12 is what I had in mind. #5 in this draft and 8-12 in next years draft should be a pretty big drop off.
  15. tobi0040
    That is unsustainable, but I think if the LOB% stabilizes as well it more than offsets that. He has an LOB% of over 70% in his career and is at 51% now. So even if his H per 9 goes from 4.9 to 8 or so (about his average) and only 28-29% score he should be OK.
  16. tobi0040
    Good call on his second start. Overall he has had 23 base runners and 12 of them have scored. So his stranded rate is just terrible. If he keeps these numbers anywhere near where they are his ERA comes down dramatically over the year: 11.5 K per 9 5.5 H per 9 3 BB per 9 His career stranded rate is a little over 70%. If you apply that rate to this year, he has 7 ER instead of 12. That is why his FIP is 2.36
  17. tobi0040
    I am very pleased, he graduated high school less than a year ago and was never 100% dedicated on baseball. I anticipate he will get gradually better over the next few years, so a 2.81 ERA is a good starting point. His K numbers are not great at 6 per 9, but he is allowing only 4.9 hits per 9 with 2.1 BB per 9. Going back to last year, he has not allowed a HR in 45 IP.
  18. tobi0040
    Not to be technical here, but is Tanaka really a "prospect"? 25 years old, $155M contract. years of pro ball in Japan.
  19. tobi0040
    Just an assumption that "below slot" meant taking a guy that we did not think was BPA. The Royals probably took Dozier last year with their eye on Mannea as well.
  20. tobi0040
    A must add to this is the 1992 NBA draft. See Shaq and Alonzo, we get Christian Laettner #3.
  21. tobi0040
    Just a verbiage issue then. Almost every pick signs for less than the slot. Buxton left $200K on the table. Even Mark Appel signed for $6.35M at 1-1, which was 18% below slot. When people use the term "below slot", it usually implies they are taking a lesser player in order to save money and use it on their next pick. The Royals for example at #8 last year. They signed Dozier for $2.2M, which gave them an additional $940K to take Mannea later.
  22. tobi0040
    That is a ridiculous trade proposal. We would need to add Florimon too.
  23. tobi0040
    I don't see us going below slot, and I would be extremely dissapointed. This will likely be the last time we draft this low in a long time and this is a deep draft. Take a good player to supplement a stacked system.
  24. tobi0040
    I think the optimal number is 15 pitchers and 4 catchers. The Twins are on the cutting edge here, the rest of the league will be following suit. It is a copycat league.
  25. tobi0040
    I have to give Pelfrey credit. You can never find 100% consensus on this site. Until now. Thank you Mike Pelfrey for uniting everyone in wishing you a plane ticket, somewhere other than here, far away from a pitching mound in the major leagues.
×
×
  • Create New...