Jump to content
Twins Daily
  • Create Account

tobi0040

Verified Member
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    5,776

  • Joined

  • Last visited

  • Days Won

    10

 Content Type 

Profiles

Minnesota Twins News, Rumors & Analysis

Minnesota Twins Videos

2026 Minnesota Twins Top Prospect Rankings

2022 Minnesota Twins Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses

Minnesota Twins Trade & Free Agent Rumors

Minnesota Twins Fan Guides & Resources

2023 Minnesota Twins Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses

The Minnesota Twins Players Project

2024 Minnesota Twins Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses

2025 Minnesota Twins Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses

2026 Minnesota Twins Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses

Forums

Blogs

Events

Store

Downloads

Gallery

Everything posted by tobi0040

  1. tobi0040
    OPS +, Ripken career +112, Jeter +116. Jeter better avg (.311 vs. .276), Ripken way more HR (431 vs. 258). Career Offensive WAR Jeter 95.2 versus Ripken 77.2. Defense is not even close, Ripken +34.6, Jeter -9.4. Jeter has been a liability defensively for most of his career. You net those two together and you get 112 to 85 edge for Ripken. Honus's stats are obviously way better than both....just a historical issue. I think WAR and OPS+ factor against competition at the time. Honus had a +151 OPS+. WAR 123 + 21.3, net +144
  2. tobi0040
    I think you need a guy on the 100 list for Suzuki, or offer him a 2 year deal. If his demands are crazy, then move him for the best offer. I agree though, something needs to happen in the next 14 days.
  3. tobi0040
    Arcia's career OPS against righties is .773. Looks like at a floor of a platoon player, especially if you can get that .773 OPS 75% of the time. In two years we should have Buxton, Sano, Mauer, and likely at least two from the Hicks, Rosario, camp playing every day. As well as an everyday catcher. So the roster should be flexible enough for a guy like that.
  4. tobi0040
    Those are possibilities. But it would have been fun watching Prince another 6-7 years there. He is already struggling and he isn't going to age well.
  5. tobi0040
    Arcia's OPS against lefties is .454 this year. So he is a potential candidate.
  6. tobi0040
    Well, we moved Cuddy off 3B because he could not play defense a lick there. And we only got our hands on Crede because he could never stay healthy. And in 2009 he only played 90 games, which was the last year he played in the big leagues at 31 years old. So those two don't really qualify as examples of potential replacements, position scarcity, IMO.
  7. tobi0040
    To be fair, Escobar's career OPS is .646.
  8. tobi0040
    We don't need to outrun the bear here. And I did make a comment about the Tigers. They could have a tough fall from grace here.
  9. tobi0040
    Even more encourating when you look at the standings as well. We have the same record as the White Sox, 3 back from Cleveland, 4 back from KC with a much better pipeline. Detroit, they are certainly an aging, expensive team. Odds are Max walks at the end of the year. At some point Cabrera has to slow down a bit right? He can't hit .330 with 40 HR when he is 35+. Verlanders best days are behind him. I just wish Texas would not have taken Prince's contract. What were they thinking?
  10. tobi0040
    I don't know the split between RHP and LHP. But if we assume 75% of the pitchers are righties, you have a guy that could at least be a bench/pinch hit option 75% of the time and a backup at four positions. The other 25% of the time you get a guy with an .820 OPS in your lineup. That is acceptable to me if Sano moves him off 3B. If Sano can't stick my money says we won't find a better 3B for awhile.
  11. tobi0040
    Absolutely, as well as the focus on his non slider at the moment.
  12. tobi0040
    I am the one that brought up Koskie and I did not do it to compare the two. Koskie had some sick years here. My point was, Plouffe is far and away the best 3B we have had since Koskie and he has been gone for 8 years. If Plouffe makes $3M in arbitration and fills about four backup roles, crushes lefties, plays average or slightly above average 3B, and we have a health question mark at 1B and a position question mark coming up at 3B....seems like a no brainer to me. We can probably dump others to improve the club. Plouffe is not near the top of the list.
  13. tobi0040
    The second part, like the first is fine with me.
  14. tobi0040
    I think what often gets lost is the marketing value Joe Mauer has to the Twins. He is the face of the franchise, I bet 60% of the jerseys at TF are his (at least non-retro or 5+ year old jerseys). The Twins would have taken a huge hit if they did not sign him and he has to bring in 2-5M in incremental value a year, bottoms in the seats, kids that watch, girls that watch, people that buy his jersey and would otherwise not. Maybe the day the deal was signed the Twins viewed this contract as $18M for a player and $5M in marketing?
  15. tobi0040
    Precisely, Arcia's OPS against righties is .779, against lefties he is at .454. Arcia is too young to give up on and he needs at bats against lefties and hopefully he can play every day. But in 1-2 years if we are good and he doesn't, you could platoon those two and combine the .779 OPS and .820 OPS. Only 18 players in all of MLB, spanning all 3 OF positions have higher than a .800 OPS this year. So for under $3M you can get top tier production.
  16. tobi0040
  17. tobi0040
    I am not given up on him, but I have others rated much higher at this point. The 9 HR is a concern, not a ball hit right at someone verus not issue....
  18. tobi0040
    I said he is average or above average for the position. 14th, 15th, and 11th seems exactly where i said he was. Which player ahead of him is available on the free agent market and within the Twins price range that is very easy to replace? Prior to Plouffe, the fact is we have not had an average or above average 3B since Koskie. Of the 13 people ahead of him in OPS, I see 3 veterans under contract and a whole bunch of players that are young and controlled for years. Notice the drop off between Plouffe (.727 OPS) and 19th, Matt Dominguez .652 OPS. I don't want to get into the bottom third of this list again. Escobars career OPS is .646. If you think his .720 this year is going to stick you may be setting yourself up for dissapointment.
  19. tobi0040
    Agree, I have not seen Gordon on anyone else's top 50. Honorable mention on one I believe.
  20. tobi0040
    If we get an Alex Meyer type prospect in rookie ball or A ball, you send Kurt on his way and figure it out next year. If the haul is a Scott Diamond, Sean Gilmartin type, pay the guy some money to catcher here for the next few years.
  21. tobi0040
    I can't really blame him. I love Buxton, but when you don't play and someone else his .333 with 31 HR and 25 2B in half a season at AA and AAA..... Also interesting to note that Law has Meyer and Berrios as high as he does (42 and 50). I have heard him suggest on chats that neither will pan out. The logic used on Meyer is that Randy Johnson is basically the only pitcher 6'9 or taller that had a good career as a starter and that Berrios is too short and does not have a downward plane or much movement on the FB.
  22. tobi0040
    Not the first time people have said his pitches lack movement. Scouts were always puzzled between his stuff and his numbers. He had a good 5th year in college, but his 3rd and 4th years his numbers were not head and shoulders above the other guys, even though scouts loved his stuff. Always been a question, I am guessing he lacks movement, deception, or tips his pitches. None of those are good.
  23. tobi0040
    Sano may not stick at 3B and I have seen too many Mike Lamb's and Tony Bautista's of the world to toss Plouffe to the side. It is a tough position to find a bat even comparable to Plouffe's. Not to mention he should always be in the lineup against lefties.
  24. tobi0040
    I think Trevor Plouffe is the most under-appreciated player on our team. The guy is not Mike Schmidt. I get it. But his OPS the last three years .756, .701, and .727 is average or above average for 3B. I think people on these boards have a distorted view of how thin this position is in the major leagues. He will never hit #3 on a championship team, but he could start or certainly be a role, depth, or platoon player on one. Heck, the Red Sox last year had Willie Middlebrooks at 3B and his OPS was .696. The guy makes no money and is controllable. And his career OPS against lefties is .820. He has a HR every 25 at bats against lefties. That would put him 300th all time, in a category with Al Kaline, Bobby Bonilla, and Andrew Mccutchen. Helpful when he can play 3B, 1B, LF, RF, or DH, especially on a team with a guy that may not stick at 3B in Sano and a 1B that misses time to injury every year. http://www.baseball-reference.com/leaders/at_bats_per_home_run_career.shtml
  25. tobi0040
    I think you offer him 2/16. If he takes it great. If he doesn't you move him. Will he take this? Probably not. But you never know. He has made a decent amount of money and doesn't strke me as a guy with three lambo's in his garage. We absolutely can't let him play out this year without an extension. I understand the sell high logic, I get it. Will Suzuki hit .300 and be an all star the next two years? NO. That is not the important point here. But my fear is, who will catch for the Twins next year? The free agent list, beyond Russell Martin is downright scary. We don't trust Pinto, it is clear as day. And we need to drop the fantasy about playing a catcher in A ball next year. Not going to happen. I have seen this franchise say great things about catchers in the low minors, only to not trust them at the big league level over and over again. IMO, we have Eric Fryer behind the plate next year with 300-400 at bats. That is the risk. The ideal trade partner would be both a contender with a hole at catcher and some catching depth at about AA, so we can give them Suzuki for a guy that could catch for us about June of next year.
×
×
  • Create New...