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nytwinsfan

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Everything posted by nytwinsfan

  1. nytwinsfan
    I vote for a playoff rotation of Hughes circa 2014, Berrios, May, Gibson, with Santana, Pelfrey, and Duffy coming out of relief.
  2. nytwinsfan
    Well since the brain is part of the physical body, I agree.
  3. nytwinsfan
    I basically agree with this. I would bring up Kepler Sept. 1 and platoon him with Hunter until Hicks gets back, at which time I would platoon him with Hicks and leave Hunter as a bench bat, leader, platoon player with Mauer (moving Sano to 1B when Hunter hits against lefties and Mauer sits). Give the old guys a few extra days off and maybe that will improve their production. I'd also bring Polanco up on Sept. 1 and give him time and both SS and 2B (does anyone else think Dozier could use a day off every other week-- he has worn down the second half two years and a row now). I'd also bring up Vargas Sept. 1 as a bench bat, occasional starter. I'd bring up Berrios Sept. 1 to pitch out of the bullpen, since he's getting closer and closer to the innings limit. I doubt the Twins will do that though. I wouldn't bring up Danny Santana, except maybe just to use him as a pinch runner. I doubt Pinto is ready for the majors. Unless he is absolutely raking, I'd leave him in the minors. I wouldn't bring up Arcia. To all of you calling for him to be called up, are you insane? He is a mess right now. Maybe if he starts raking the next two weeks, but otherwise no way.
  4. nytwinsfan
    Tyler Jay's FIP is now 1.98 with 17 K in 13.1 innings.
  5. nytwinsfan
    Yeah, I'd do that deal. I'd probably go more than $73.3.
  6. nytwinsfan
    Yeah, but results are not all that matters in the short run. Gonsalves' FIP at A+ is 3.43 wheras Jay's FIP at A+ is 2.03. Obviously Gonsalves' is a starter and Jay is a reliever, so all else being equal you would expect Jay's FIP to be lower, but the reality here is that there is absolutely NO reason to be down on Jay, who is the victim of a .421 BABIP in a tiny sample size of 12.1 innings. Let's also remember he is coming off of a college season where he started for the first time ever in multiple games. His arm is probably being pushed more than it has in previous' years. And despite that, Jay's strikeouts (11.68 per 9) look great. If there is any slight criticism of Jay, it is he has walked too many batters, but again, tiny, small sample size. Really, we should be excited about BOTH Gonsalves and Jay. Now if Thorpe can bounce back strong in 2016, we'll have three truly promising lefties in our system, which hasn't been the case since . . . I don't know when.
  7. nytwinsfan
    Wow, great game from Gonsalves. Really good to see after his strikeouts had been down in FM earlier.
  8. nytwinsfan
    But the thing is we don't need another 4th or 5th starter in our system, but we could use a good LOOGY who isn't terrible against righties (in case the order goes L-R-L). So my point is maybe "now" is the best "any time" for the Twins. So basically your last sentence.
  9. nytwinsfan
    Hicks makes some highlight-worthy plays, but he also makes some huge blunders. As just one example, he gave up a "triple" (really it was an error) in the second inning of May's start that would have been easily caught by most CF, because he misplayed it. Then the next batter hit a 2 run homer. He's far from a perfect defender, and he's not as fast as Buxton. Buxton has more defensive upside, so assuming he is hitting well enough to be in the lineup, he should be playing CF.
  10. nytwinsfan
    Seems like all of those scouts who kept insisting that his hit tool was really good despite poor early results weren't just making it up.
  11. nytwinsfan
    Agreed, a .260 batting average is acceptable, but it would also drop his OBP .40 points and his slugging like .60 or .80 or something. And given his current BABIP, if his BABIP were to come down to a still pretty high .350, that would probably drop him closer to .250 or .240. All that being said, if you read what I said, I'm clearly not "worried" about his BABIP. I am just pointing out that his current production (which is top 5 hitter in baseball level) is not sustainable with his current BABIP. I just don't want some people to filp out when he likely ends the year at around a .255/.370/.500 hitter, which is obviously still fantastic. I know most people won't, but some will. It is good to know what to reasonably expect.
  12. nytwinsfan
    Hate to be the downer on this delightful morning after quite the show, but Sano's BABIP is sitting at an unsustainable .419 right now. He is going to need to reduce his strikeouts a bit if he is going to keep up anywhere near this level of production. I only mention this because nobody else has. All of that being said, he is barely 22, just coming off a full year of injury, and visually is taking fantastic at bats with excellent strike zone judgment. I have little doubt he will make adjustments and improve his K rate. I also think his batted ball profile, which so far has been heavily line drives and fly balls, is probably built for a higher BABIP than the average player, but there is no way it remains above .400 or in the high .300s in the long-run.
  13. nytwinsfan
    Ok, that's pretty reasonable and I mostly agree. The only place I might disagree, which Gleeman point's out, is that if we are going to have a logjam at some point next year, the time to trade Plouffe might be this winter, not next spring. Because Plouffe might be at the height of his value now, it might be tougher to trade him for as much value in May or June when teams have already set their rosters, and because it might be tough to switch Sano from DH to 3B midseason. And whether or not Plouffe is with the team will help moot any future logjam, since Kepler and/or Arcia could partly or fully shift to 1B/DH if Plouffe leaves, leaving an extra spot in the 3B/DH/1B trifecta.
  14. nytwinsfan
    Yes, really. You really can't imagine Hunter not being gone is even a discussion? Have you met Terry Ryan? I agree that we shouldn't re-sign him, I'm just not so sure Ryan would never do it. The possibility of Hunter being back is one that has to be considered, whether we like it or not. But even aside from Hunter, Arcia and Kepler are both in the picture for next year, so that is at least five potential outfielders, all of whom are potentially starting quality. And the Twins don't like to platoon or keep young non-everyday players on the 25-man roster. So that is the reason Gleeman and Bonnes raised the logjam. You can say there shouldn't be a logjam if the Twins had better management, but I think there clearly is going to be a logjam under current management, unless someone or someone(s) are traded, or Arcia, Hunter, and/or Kepler are moved to different positions and others moved to make room for them there. Thus I think it is a very legitimate topic to discuss.
  15. nytwinsfan
    Sorry Bonnes, but I completely agree with Gleeman about playing Buxton (or Kepler) instead of Shane Robinson. I also agree about Hicks and Rosario not needing to play every day so that Buxton can play 4-5 times a week. I don't think Rosario and Hicks sitting once a week will hurt their development. 8 ABs a week from Shane Robinson is a pretty big deal. It really is.
  16. nytwinsfan
    I more or less agree, but they can't do that now because Plouffe won't clear waivers. Unless a team claims him that happens to have and be willing to offer a good return for Plouffe (which is unlikely), this will have to wait until the Winter Meetings, assuming Ryan is looking to trade Plouffe at all.
  17. nytwinsfan
    I agree with this up and until the RF part. Sano can play outfield in a pinch, sure, but it just doesn't maximize his value (in fact it minimizes it). It makes more sense to have him at 3B if we trade Plouffe, DH, or 1B. The Twins have too many possible plus defenders who can also hit well in the outfield pipeline. If we really want Vargas to be an everyday player, then either Plouffe will need to be traded or Mauer will need to move off 1B.
  18. nytwinsfan
    You can say you don't think that minor league stats have much correlation with major league stats and you don't consider them very relevant. And you can say that WAR isn't an important or relevant stat. And you can say that doubles and triples don't count as "power." You can even ignore the tremendous amount of value that Rosario and Hicks have provided on both sides of the ball in limited playing time this year. I don't have much to say to you then, since I think we see the game incredibly differently. We may as well be watching different sports.
  19. nytwinsfan
    First of all, all three have power (as does Kepler who should also be included in that list), just a lot of it is in doubles and triples. They also provide defense. Look at KC to see how that kind of outfield works. So far the Royals outfielders have hit approximately 30 HR combined, but yet they have provided about 10 WAR, which is fantastic for 2/3 of the way through a season. If we could get that kind of output out of Rosario/Buxton/Hicks/Kepler (which I think we can) it would be absolutely huge and give us one of the best outfields in baseball. http://www.fangraphs.com/leaders.aspx?pos=of&stats=bat&lg=all&qual=150&type=8&season=2015&month=0&season1=2015&ind=0&team=7&rost=0&age=0&filter=&players=0 BTW, note the Royals are the best outfield in defense by WAR right now, and that is while missing Alex Gordon for a while. Shows just how little HR power is required to have a great outfield. http://www.fangraphs.com/leaders.aspx?pos=of&stats=bat&lg=all&qual=0&type=8&season=2015&month=0&season1=2015&ind=0&team=0,ts&rost=0&age=0&filter=&players=0
  20. nytwinsfan
    Completely agree. In terms of order from worst to best bet, I would put them as Nolasco, Santana, Hughes. I still have hope for the latter two. Get Hughes' arm some time off and give Santana some time to get rid of the rust before we judge.
  21. nytwinsfan
    Yeah, but his peripherals had also improved, as represented by FIP. It wasn't like if his ERA had just improved, or if a hitter's BABIP and thus average had improved. Of course there is still a lot of risk it is an outlier, but there was legitimate reason to think he might have improved as a pitcher.
  22. nytwinsfan
    You are right, of course. But Terry Ryan either doesn't understand what a "sunk cost" is, or more likely, doesn't want to admit that the Twins "franchise player" is a former shell of himself and unlikely to ever return to his former self. If in another week or two if the Twins haven't bounced back, I'd send Mauer to AAA for the rest of the year and call up Kepler and/or Vargas to play 1B. I'd give Mauer another shot next year of course, after all, the concussion symptoms could start to dissipate as they eventually did with Morneau while he was in Colorado. But if he doesn't bounce back quickly early next year, I'd send him back to AAA again. But again, none of that is likely to happen, no matter how "economically rational," it is.
  23. nytwinsfan
    If things don't bounce back quickly for the Twins in the next week or two (which is likely), why not shut him down for the rest of the year. Next year we need 2014 Phil Hughes, or at least something closer to 2014 Phil Hughes. He pitched a lot of innings last year. Let's try out Taylor Rodgers, Duffy, and Berrios. Let's see what we've got.
  24. nytwinsfan
    http://www.sportsonearth.com/article/141302732/minnesota-twins-wild-card-races Here is more fuel for this fire!!!
  25. nytwinsfan
    Yup, agree with this article completely. Thanks for hitting the nail on the head. Is this satire?
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