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Mike Sixel

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Everything posted by Mike Sixel

  1. my thought on Astudillo.......give him a shot to prove us right or wrong. That is what other teams seem to do, trust results and see if they stick.
  2. I think the Sox could be better than teh Twins next year, if the Sox are aggressive and the Twins are not and Buxton/Sano bomb again. Even if one of them is good, and the Twins aren't aggressive. That Sox farm system is flush, and they seem more likely to be aggressive than this FO......
  3. If you need a LHP starter for some reason, you have Mejia.....I wouldn't move Rogers in a million years. He's doing what he should be.
  4. thanks for the reply. I think the White Sox and Phillies should be on your list for sure. Possibly the Red Sox, but that seems unlikely to me. Possibly the Cubs, but I doubt they spend the money. I also think the Gians are somewhat in on him. And, why not San Diego?
  5. 20MM is low for Kuechel, but 24MM is high for Corbin? Why wouldn't Machado get a huge deal, do you think? I really doubt you are right on that one, so I'm curious why you think that.
  6. That's not how it works........plays in the OF are MUCH more difficult than plays at 1B. The data is clear, there just isn't much difference between ok defense at 1B, and great defense at first, but there are huge discrepancies in the OF.
  7. Your argument seemed to be they'd still have holes, this year.....which is true. If he's great for years to come, they should be able to fill those holes. If not, then it doesn't matter if they sign him or not, if they still have that many holes 2-3 years from now, this team will be bad. So maybe I didn't read your post correctly. They can afford as many players as they want, it depends on how much profit they want to make. Atlanta made 100 million last year, with a similar payroll and tv deal......so there is money to be spent if they want to. Would it be a massive percent paid to one player? Yes. Does that mean they can't find ways to make it work? Imo, no. But, I understand the counter argument, especially based on what they are likely to do, vs what they could do.
  8. no one, I don't think, is arguing to move him there full time......but to have him in a rotation of Sano, Austin, Garver, Astudillo, Kepler, and now Cron.....because sometimes you want people to rest....and because sometimes you want others in the OF so he can "rest". Plus, he's 25.....why do people think this is his offense going forward? Sometimes you might want to pinch hit, and he might move to 1B. But, imo, now that Cron is here, it's very likely that he's the full time 1B, and this is moot.
  9. I hope they are making decsions based on the future, not past.......this team isn't winning squat if Buxton isn't great and playing. Cron and Cave combined can't produce what a great Buxton can. And, if Buxton is bad, those two can't produce enough to make up for it....not for a playoff team.
  10. Kind of self-fulfilling that they won't be, if that is the plan. There literally isn't a 2B on the roster right now.....and not enough SP at all. Which, imo, is their plan. Spend a little to look "serious", like last year, with short term deals that don't help at all next year or the year after, and then trade off players because there just isn't enough here.....because, you know, they didn't add enough last year or probably this year.
  11. I'll be shocked if it is over $115MM. I project more like $105 to start the year, with enough guys traded at the deadline to get it under $100.
  12. Well, he's going to be great for years....not just 1-2. I don't understand this argument at all. And, they'd have money to spend still. Just not a ton. That said, he's not coming here, because they'd never offer him what other teams will. Which is certainly defendable.
  13. I like how people believe in Cron, but have decided a much younger Kepler is a finished product offensively.....
  14. the median start in the majors last year was 5.1 innings......starters don't go long anymore. They just don't.
  15. I have no idea why he couldn't pitch more innings than that......but, here is something to consider.....only 50 pitchers pitched more than 170 innings last year.....so pitching 170 isn't some demerit. It just is how the league works. There is no reason to not use him as a starter, from an innings perspective at least.
  16. I do love their live blogs. But, this isn't a real race....Hey, look, the overt racist won easily! A huge plurality of people in some parts of the country are racists, and support racists. And, they get to elect a disproportionate percent of the Senate. Yay.
  17. I'm not ready to give up on Buxton and Sano yet, but I don't blame anyone that is. Part of the problem is that they added no long term players last year, none. Had they added one last year they'd have one less hole this year. But, they went all in on short term free agents, and did not sign one long term player. Now, they need to replace all the short term signing except Reed and Pineda and Odo, who, btw, are gone after this year (and not were good last year, two were injured).
  18. If they take a player, they better use him like any other player, and not handicap the new manager with a 24 man roster. Last year they had a 23 man roster to start the year. Ugh.
  19. So, you are planning to punt on another year of Sano and Buxton? If so, which might be realistic, shouldn't they be trading Pineda and Gibson right now?
  20. The issue isn't that, it's that if they keep him until spring training, they spent 5MM on him. And not someone else (or putting more money on a better player). Whether they spend the money eventually or not, they spent some of their FA money. It is, of course, possible he is cut before spring, and they use the money on someone else (they'd be on the hook for around 500K). But, realistically, do we think that's the plan?
  21. I'll try to explain my thoughts. 1. That is 10-15% of the FA budget. That's not an insignificant number. 2. They can cut him during the time they are signing FAs, but that seems really, really, unlikely to me. 3. If they have 45MM left, and a good SP costs 20MM a year, that leaves 25MM. Now you need two RPs, that's another 15-20MM, and a 2B, and an OF and maybe a backup #B. You are out of money before you even get to 2B or OF, unless you want to spend a lot less on players, in which case, it is harder to get real impact. 4. I don't believe they have any where near 60MM to spend.
  22. Ersatz Logan Morrison 2:45 What are your thoughts on the Twins picking up a second Rays first baseman? Meg Rowley 2:46 That if present LoMo and possibly future LoMo are ever in the same room together, it could rip a hole in space time? Cron's 2018 was promising. There's limited upside there, but he's also likely an upgrade on their existing options and isn't very pricey. https://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/meg-rowley-fangraphs-chat-11-27-18/
  23. I like your projections a lot,other than Corbin for 5 years, though I get your point......
  24. I hope they acquire some long term assets this year. They've acquired one MLB player that was for more than 2 years so far....one. So, while I think Gray is an interesting bounce back option, that leaves Pineda, Gibson, Gray and Odorizzi all with 1 year left on the team. That doesn't scream long term competitiveness to me.
  25. It simply isn't true that "the same people complaining" wanted Cruz.....you know, like me, nicksaviking, and vanimal, for instance who wanted a rotation of guys currently on the roster. And, for the money to be spent on difference makers at SP and an OF that they could trust (and rotate into DH some).
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