Mike Sixel
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Everything posted by Mike Sixel
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Silver Slugger Nick Markakis 12:36 Did Joe Mauer play enough catcher to get serious HOF consideration? Or did his last act as an overpaid mediocre 1B doom him? Dan Szymborski 12:37 I don't think he played enough C to get consideration crying 1 *I* think his peak is enough and *I* woudl vote for h im. 12:38 But the average voter isn't me or Jay, And peak value as a thing is essentially dead with BBWAA votes right now. Johan Santana's peak was like 90% Koufax and he got pretty much ZERO play
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$/WAR article... https://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/the-recent-history-of-free-agent-pricing/ For those that think the numbers are too high....you might not want to read this.....
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Non-Twins Off-season news, tidbits and transactions
Mike Sixel replied to ashbury's topic in Other Baseball
I'm not sure where to put this.....but note that there are links in the story to his two studies, and also to studies taht discuss teh $/WAR thing that people here hate....but has validity. https://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/post-2018-farm-system-rankings/ Note the WS way out front of the Twins, and Detroit not that far behind..... -
I'd think being in AAA would be worse for Astudillo
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Joe Mauer Announces Retirement After 15 Seasons
Mike Sixel replied to Nick Nelson's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Damn concussions.... Good luck to him and his family! I hope he has a long, happy, retirement. -
If i am reading this correctly, you don't think they should try to compete next year? If true, what should they do?
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Maybe... But if one war was the expectation, then they had the wrong expectation..... And now they need to fill those exact holes again, since they went one year mostly.
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I am not sure the twins exactly gave up on Hicks. They traded him for a guy they thought was a starting catcher. That's very different than giving up on a guy.
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As if I suggested they do both of those things.....Darvish got hurt. The Twins supposedly bid the 2nd most for him, so clearly they thought they should sign him......
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true, if you can attract one that plays that position....true.
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Non-Twins Off-season news, tidbits and transactions
Mike Sixel replied to ashbury's topic in Other Baseball
Jeff Sullivan said in his chat today that a Paxton trade might be happening next week....he used to write a Mariners' blog, so I'm guessing he has inside info. I hope it is either the Twins, or one of the teams that would otherwise sign a top FA pitcher..... -
Jack 9:24 With the Mariners apparently ready to withdraw themselves, the race for the AL’s second Wild Card next year will consist of the Athletics, Rays, and...? Jeff Sullivan 9:24 I think the Angels will end up a dark-horse candidate, and then the Mariners and Twins will cling to distant hope 9:25 Depending on what the Blue Jays do, and depending on what Vlad does when he arrives in the middle of April, there's a non-zero chance there as well https://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/jeff-sullivan-fangraphs-chat-11-9-18/
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I'd suggest last year they didn't spend wisely.....that was the issue (and Sano and Buxton being bad, not stars.....nothing matters if those to are bad, no amount of spending or better decision making). They went cheap, 1 year deals, and didn't sign legit players to multi year deals. Now, they need to fill those same holes again, because they literally didn't try to fill them for this year. Hopefully two things change: Buxton and Sano are stars again They FO chooses actual good players for their deals
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that's literally not the same thing.....more like, when trying to lose weight, and eating less works better for you than working out, should you work out more, or continue eating less? when trying to win an election, should you try to increase your votes where people like you, or try to convince people that haven't voted for your party in decades to switch sides? Remember, I'm talking about state wide and POTUS here.....
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I was a GOP volunteer and paid employee for years....but the party swung to right in the 80s and 90s and never looked back. Tim Pawlenty once gave a speech that gas taxes were the only tax we can all get behind, and he was booed. That was the end of gas tax increases in MN, which is why your infrastructure is crumbling....They've spent decades saying government is evil, teachers are over paid, and taxes are worse than sin. That's not easily reversible.....
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then why did they win zero races in congressional seats they didn't hold? I mean, what happened happened......as I said above, the democrats should try to win every race, but if you are a POTUS candidate, should you really spend time trying to get voters that no democrat can seem to actually get?
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The world is a very different place than it was in the 90s, or even ten years ago......very. The democrats won zero seats they didn't hold in pure rural districts, in a mid term election. Zero. Trying to win those areas isn't as efficient or effective as trying to win suburbs by more votes, or whatever (note, I'm talking statewide or national races here.....of course they should try to win congressional seats or local races......).
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Maybe don't vote for the party that cuts mental health spending, and refuses to increase spending on veteran's health? Those same people are literally voting the other way.
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You're ignoring that players are no longer doing this.......they just aren't. You can project how you'd feel all you want, but just look at the last three or four years. 30/31 and older is now prime? On a site where people say all the time NOT to sign guys into their mid-30s, now it is a good idea? I'm confused by that sentence. In a league that is getting younger and younger? I don't see that.
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The NBA salary situation and CBA doesn't leave teams much choice. If they don't go max, players leave. While that might be more efficient, ,replace Wiggins with a 2nd round pick, and they are actually worse.....you can't win without players. It's an awful CBA, from a team perspective. It's great for players. So, I guess I'm biased to like it from that perspective......
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Well, I think you didn't read that right, Nick. One can hope on Buxton, and also not want to sign him to a long term deal......those are two very different things. Also, no way he signs an extension, super stars (or those that think they will be) who have received large bonus checks are no longer signing these types of deals. In almost every case, they've helped the team more than the player. Buxton will be a FA IN HIS PRIME YEARS. Why is he signing that away? For those saying "patience"....you do realize the Twins control his rights for only a few more years, right? If he's ok this year (which would be huge progress alas), then great...how many great years are they really getting for this patience? If you believe in Buxton and/or Sano, you should want them to be going for it this year or next year, because one or both of them will be gone in three or so years....
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Here's a question.....can stackers go more often? Can you get by with 5 stackers covering 3 games, instead of six of them? So, they go more like every 4 days than every 5 days? I don't know....but maybe.
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because it is often used as an excuse not to get better, in the name of efficiency over effectiveness. If a team is 1 player away, and that player costs more $/WAR than is "right", they should or should not sign him? Because I don't care if they win 84 games efficiently, nor do most fans. And, let's be honest, you have a bias for capital over labor. That's cool, but not everyone shares that bias. The value of teams is rising faster than payrolls are, and I'm not cool with that. Old, formerly interesting, people on the east coast might be, but I don't think everyone shares James' opinion.
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Or, maybe, they just don't have much chance in pure rural areas, and should build on their strengths and not spend huge resources where they can't win. Hillary's mistake was not fighting for places should could win....which is not the same thing I'm arguing at all.
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I'm all for them aiming at 4WAR players....those guys will cost in the 20MM per year range, maybe as low as 15MM per year. Corbin, who might produce that, will get around 25-30MM per year, I'd guess.
