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Mike Sixel

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Everything posted by Mike Sixel

  1. Mike Sixel
    I really should type those long replies in Word or Mail or something, to get the speeeeling right......sigh.
  2. Mike Sixel
    Well, to me, it about balancing upside and downside and "probabilities" (which I put in quotes because it's not like I'm doing real risk analysis calculations here). I think it is probable (others can disagree with good reason I admit) that Gibson is a number 3 or better pitcher in the majors. I think it is possible Meyer and Stewart are number 1 types, but I think it about as probable that Meyer is a number 3 or 4 or RP. To me, the fact that Gibson has succeeded at a higher level is a big deal. BTW, I think Stewart is the top pitching prospect right now, because his ceiling is so high......again, it's a side of the napkin calculation for me. So, would I always say a guy that is likely to be in the majors is a better prospect than a higher upside, but riskier player? No. Sometimes the riskier guy is the better prospect. But I also think that some people in their lists underestimate the value of the guy that will definitely be in the majors. Look at Thielbar, for example. he's there, and successfull. I count that for a lot over a guy in low A that is currently a starter, but probably needs to be converted to a reliever. Those guys are very unklikely to make the majors, if you look at history and the numbers that don't make it. But Thielbar has made it, and to me, that's super valuable. others disagree, and I 'm not sure that is bad. If we all agreed, and all took the same approach to solving problems, our solutions would not be as good in the long run.
  3. Mike Sixel
    Agreed, the best idea is to have more good players availalbe.
  4. Mike Sixel
    If that is in response to what I said, I was talking leave Sano at 3B, and move others to 1B......Yes, KLAW has suggested RF, Sano has some speed, and a great arm. Regardless of Sano, they don't have anyone really sitting at 1B in the minors right now that people love, do they?
  5. Mike Sixel
    When they feel really confident in Sano, will they move one of these guys to 1B? I would, but I don't know which one.
  6. Mike Sixel
    Great post. I think that's all most of us wanted, especially since there were guys that just were not that good up here, not playing well. Just give him a longer shot, in place of guys we knew were not good with some certainty.
  7. Mike Sixel
    Getting Deduno and Walters in there, in replacement of Worley and pitchers X, Y, Z, has helped the team a lot. Somehow the offense needs to improve also. I think there is upside for Wllingham and Morneau, and not many that can play worse than they have. I do think they could stick around 72-76 wins, which is slightly better than I thought. Most of the games this year have been easier to watch/listen to than last year. But I don't have any belief this team is "good". I can enjoy a better team, but still not expect a good team. I'd enjoy it even more if the young guys would step up, and give me more hope about 2014. I hope for Hicks/Arcia to look like legit MLB players by year end. That would make the year more fun for me. YMMV, of course.
  8. Mike Sixel
    Princess Bride is one of my favorite movies.
  9. Mike Sixel
    It is an interesting theory, which certainly has validity. We don't have much data on the other side of the argument, so it's hard to draw many conclusions. Much like my belief that stats assume starts are not independent events, stats-believers (I'm one, generally) speak with a certainty about some things that may not be so certain. IME, emotion and comfort and other stuff plays a great role in performance. There is probably some middle ground, here, where the vast majority of the time it does not matter in what order pitchers pitch, so give them a clear role. But I would guess that occassionally veering from that role would not be a bad idea either. To me, it is the ridigidity of the approach that is an issue, not that the approach is used most of the time, but that it is used all of the time. But I'm open to the possibility that rigidity increases the likelihood of success.
  10. Mike Sixel
    Albers success is intriguing, I agree.
  11. Mike Sixel
    I like that they took risks on upside. Way better than playing it safe. Go big, or go home is a good motto for the draft.
  12. Mike Sixel
    Yummmy, more straw.
  13. Mike Sixel
    Funny stuff...in seriousness, this and Benson should remind the twins that there is a reason other teams sell high on prospects for proven MLB players.
  14. Mike Sixel
    Sorry, I always forget that what used to be called ranking is called instant runoff. I wonder when that happened. I recall reading articles 10 years ago, where probably both terms were used.
  15. Mike Sixel
    I agree , Shane.
  16. Mike Sixel
    You are braver than me....gibson is in AAA, and appears ready to be a number 3 starter in the majors in the next year or so. JO is in low A, and some scouts feel his FB is too straight. You, sir, are brave.
  17. Mike Sixel
    Sure, but only if you place a value on it.
  18. Mike Sixel
    um, they will be at around 60-70MM budget after this season....they can sign a big FA or two right now, and still have money for the big prospect guys, when they need it in 4-5 years. Really, they can. There are teams that do that, they just aren't located at Target Field.
  19. Mike Sixel
    I'm cool with unlimited donations, as long as they are publicly disclosed. Term limits, ranked voting, different congressional processes, an updated constituion.....lots of options.
  20. Mike Sixel
    I love straw. It makes pretty statues.
  21. Mike Sixel
    Gardy's use of Thielbar is hard to explain.
  22. Mike Sixel
    I actually like the concept of quality starts.....I have issues with the thought that starts are not independent events.....which is what most stats assume.
  23. Mike Sixel
    They should be trying to win in 2014.....but I have my doubts about that also.
  24. Mike Sixel
    We do not know anything....but if you had to bet right now, which non-Kohl pitcher do you think is more likely to have a good MLB career, who would you bet your life on?
  25. Mike Sixel
    Yup......
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