Cris E
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Everything posted by Cris E
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Twins Daily 2026 Top Prospects: #7 Gabriel Gonzalez, OF
Cris E replied to Sam Caulder's topic in Twins Minor League Talk
He's built like a young RH Tony Gwynn, a touch thick through the thighs and belt, and and his stats are just a bit more powerful; Gwynn only hit .330 - .340 in the PCL before coming up. So let Gabby hit in St Paul to prove it's real and manipulate the service time and possibly fix the roster a bit, then get him up and let him play. See if he can hit, let him play as much D as he can, hope he has a fine career and doesn't get too big to stay healthy. This modern fixation on being the perfect player doesn't allow room for individual skills to stand out. He'll almost certainly never hit like Tony Gwynn, but if he's an average bat then he's as good as Larnach already. He's probably nearly as good as he's going to get so you may as well play him. EDIT: Erod and Jenkins are different in that they have higher ceilings and worse health records, so they both have more growing to do and more durability to show. -
Minnesota Twins 2026 Position Analysis: Third Base
Cris E replied to Nick Nelson's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Mea culpa, I completely forgot about him. He's better than the glove-only guys but not a real solution. I'm not sure if he's any better than Clemens. Stay well, Mr Lewis.- 17 replies
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- royce lewis
- kody clemens
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Minnesota Twins 2026 Position Analysis: Third Base
Cris E replied to Nick Nelson's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Austin has not played 3B since 4 games his senior year in college, in 2020. I think he'd be surprised even if you aren't. I believe the plan mostly consists of saying rosaries morning, noon and night for Lewis. Then come the utility guys. Clemens has played a couple dozen games over there at the MLB level so he is probably the long-term replacement. I can't believe Shelton hasn't put him over there more often this spring.- 17 replies
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- royce lewis
- kody clemens
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Minnesota Twins 2026 Position Analysis: Third Base
Cris E replied to Nick Nelson's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
He's only a backup, so sure. His primary position is on the 60 Day.- 17 replies
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- royce lewis
- kody clemens
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Twins Daily 2026 Top Prospects: #8 Kendry Rojas, LHP
Cris E replied to Cody Schoenmann's topic in Twins Minor League Talk
Good one, professional writer. You are both funny and insightful. I am chastened. Sorry for reading your stuff, won't happen again. -
Twins Daily 2026 Top Prospects: #8 Kendry Rojas, LHP
Cris E replied to Cody Schoenmann's topic in Twins Minor League Talk
Um, 27.1 IP in St Paul matches up with 28 K and 23 BB. You need to calm down and read your data more closely. Good young pitcher, but 27.1 IP is only 82 outs, so 90 strikeouts would be something. -
Minnesota Twins 2026 Position Analysis: Third Base
Cris E replied to Nick Nelson's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
If you think the depth is bad at the MLB level, last year the following guys made starts at 3B for the St Paul Saints. Their current location is included. Jose Miranda 69 games Padres minors Armando Alvarez 25 games Mexican league Jonah Bride 19 games Texas minors Tanner Schobel 14 games Twins AA Yunior Severino 10 games Mexican league Will Holland 7 games Free agent Anthony Prato 6 games Free agent Jefferson Morales (2 games, Mexico), Jair Camargo (2 games, Atlanta), Dalton Shuffield (1 game, retired) plus Royce Lewis and Brooks Lee. So Tanner Schobel is our depth from AAA last season. Gio Urshela was signed for a real reason, and it should be frightening.- 17 replies
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- royce lewis
- kody clemens
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Twins Daily 2026 Top Prospects: #10 Charlee Soto, RHP
Cris E replied to Nick Nelson's topic in Twins Minor League Talk
Eeyore wants to see clouds so he's counting it his way. Logic can just go back to hotel while gritty realism is in the room. -
Minnesota Twins 2026 Position Analysis: Second Base
Cris E replied to Nick Nelson's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
He's not like Julien though, because he runs, which is exciting and invigorating to an offense. But otherwise your point stands.- 19 replies
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- luke keaschall
- kody clemens
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Former Twins Top Draft Pick Sentenced to Life in Jail
Cris E replied to Seth Stohs's topic in Minnesota Twins Talk
A flawed man, a sad tale. Not sure if everyone recalls his early role in the PED mess of the early 2010s. He was a centerpiece of the big Sports Illustrated cover story on steroids back in 2012. https://www.si.com/more-sports/2012/05/29/baseball-steroids -
Twins Daily 2026 Top Prospects: #10 Charlee Soto, RHP
Cris E replied to Nick Nelson's topic in Twins Minor League Talk
He looks higher effort than Preilip in that clip above, much more arm and less lower body in his delivery. I don't want to say that never works, but to me that kind of says reliever more than 100+ pitch outings. Whatever, it'll be fun to watch him move up. I looooove a good changeup. -
Twins Daily 2026 Top 20 Prospects: #9 Marek Houston, SS
Cris E replied to Adam Friedman's topic in Twins Minor League Talk
I don't even think OPS is a good way to evaluate everyone. If a guy does a couple important things really well then you take him as he is. For example, last year the MLB average was .245/.315/.404 (BA/OBP/SLG), so if a top defensive SS with some baserunning chops hit .230/.350/.300 (OPS+ around 75) he'd be fine in my book but utterly excoriated by most folks. (Only six guys in MLB qualified for the batting title and slugged under .350, and only five were at or below .650 OPS, but only 38 had OBP at or above .350.) Catchers are in the same special defensive category as far as I'm concerned. -
Minnesota Twins 2026 Position Analysis: Second Base
Cris E replied to Nick Nelson's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
My weekly dose of unbridled optimism says that Keaschall had his sophomore season when he came back at the end of last year and picked things back up without missing a step. There's utterly no basis for that, but it's a sunny morning and I'm enjoying my coffee so here we go. More realistically, he may regress but his style is pretty controlled and features enough speed that a few bunts or singles the other way could get him going if he ever bogs down. I expect his D at 2B to get a little better with more time throwing after the TJ. Julien and Polanco both got better after spending some time on their glovework too, so it can happen. I would also expect the team to be very patient with him there since the line is deep in LF and there's not really another viable middle infielder that'll let Lee come over from SS or replace Luke at 2B. This could be another place to direct Winokur if he starts hitting and the SS thing is not working out for him.- 19 replies
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- luke keaschall
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It's always a good idea to get a good player under a cheap contract whenever possible. It's also a good idea to get as big a contract as you can since you never know when your arm will explode and your career will end. 32 years old is not old for pitchers in MLB, especially guys who know how to pitch and are not making it on mindless velocity. His numbers may have gone down two years ago, but that's because he was in the CY conversation three years ago and was injured the past two seasons. Get a deal that puts money in his pocket, protects the team from him missing too much time and both can succeed. @DocBauer has it right when he calls for expensive performance bonuses for IP or starts so he can make bank when he can take the ball and he doesn't cost a fortune when he can't Stepping back, I think there will be a minimum number of missed games due to the CBA. I also expect way more revenue sharing, a floor and a change in the luxury tax rates to make an effective ceiling for most situations (eg doubling current rates and adding more tiers in larger steps.) They'll buy off the players with expansion jobs and they'll buy off the rich owners by giving them the expansion money. What that would mean is teams like the Twins will need to sign contracts like this or a Ryan extension to hit the numbers by 2029. Of course I could be wrong, which is why this deal won't get done until next year. Well, it won't unless Pablo takes complete bath on this or accepts a deal like @DocBauerproposed with a low base plus a bunch of performance clauses.
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Is Justin Topa a Surprise DFA Candidate This Spring?
Cris E replied to Cody Schoenmann's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
These things usually go two ways: he inches back towards his usual form or it turns out to be an injury and he's on the 60 day. Let's revisit in a couple weeks. -
Twins Daily 2026 Top Prospects: #11-15
Cris E replied to Nick Nelson's topic in Twins Minor League Talk
You misunderstood my post: I was hoping that Lewis figures out how to stay on the field. And that is something that can be picked up and improved on. Buxton had a better year last year, Molitor played much more after 30 than before, You learn how to prepare differently, how to protect yourself better, and you're less likely to try doing way more than you're capable of. But if Lewis can't stay out there for 100 games then they'll be needing another 3B and they really don't have one.- 23 replies
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- marco raya
- brandon winokur
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Twins Daily 2026 Top Prospects: #11-15
Cris E replied to Nick Nelson's topic in Twins Minor League Talk
I think Winokur is the next Twins 3B in the event that Lewis never does play 120 games in a season. I mean he might figure things out and become a fixture over there, but they need a solution in case he doesn't. And right now this organization is echoing, hollow, empty at 3B. How empty? Gio Urshela empty.- 23 replies
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- marco raya
- brandon winokur
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Be fair: most middle money teams try to wring the most possible out of prospects before casting them aside. The reason TAM and MIL stand out for trading away prospects is that it isn't common at all in their income bracket. Zoll may just be "Conventional" rather than "Falvey". OTOH conventional may not be what this org needs right now. There's enough talent laying around, both on the 26 man and the 40 man, that a quicker turn around might serve better than sending everyone away for a couple years and waiting on the 20 year olds.
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At the very least the bullpen is his shortest path back to playing in games. As he recovers from this they've got a choice of building a starter's stamina or getting him ready to throw 20-30 good pitches, and I think they'll likely take the more direct path back. The one good thing about this is that after more missed time he might be more on board with pitching when/where he can rather than according to the old dreams of starting.
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I always wondered if it was true that big power, uppercut swings need to play more often to stay effective. It seems guys like that have to live on the edge of perfection to get hits, and stepping in once or twice a week for a half dozen ABs would make that really hard. If Outman is going to be a fourth OF and PH then you have to wonder if that's the right profile for that bench role.
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Um, Gonzalez is the exact bat-first, defensive liability you're trying to move on from. You don't think Trevor or Matt ever announced that they were going to spend the winter on their glove work? That this was the year for improved defense? Come on, they've been pros for years, working with good coaches on a daily basis and not getting a lot better. Not saying you can't dream, but you should keep in mind what kind of development you're waiting for.
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Abel may have the most stuff, but he's got to move that xFIP to ERA at some point. That's one of those hard things that young pitchers struggle with. Same with second and third time through, and figuring out how to stretch your arsenal to give some sort of new look every time you face a batter. Ryan, Ober, SWR, and Bradley will probably come out of the gate in April, but over the next six months there's going to be a lot of jostling between Bradley, Mathews and Abel (and maybe some others too) over those last couple rotation spots. Injuries will open and close doors, guys will play themselves in and out of the lineup, and maybe the pen becomes a parking spot for one of them. It's so early.
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Finding Solace in the Wake of Pablo López's Bad News
Cris E replied to Nick Nelson's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
That wasn't a 70 win team last July 20, it was kind of .500-ish in a weak division but facing injuries and some why aren't we doing better ennui. Making the call then based on what they saw is very different from looking back and saying that was a 90 loss team and why are we even talking about this. What I was responding to was the laziness in implying that the poor record was related to signing guys with injury histories. Buxton played a lot and very well. Lewis, Wallner, Larnach and Jeffers all played a career high number of games (Jeffers within 3). Even Bader and Correa both finished the year with 144+ games played, at or near career highs. OTOH Lopez and Ober were hurt again. But I honestly believe most pitchers should be counted on to miss some time every other year, and miss serious time every fourth or fifth year. They just get hurt, so you pile them up on the 60 Day like the Dodgers do to have enough for the long season.

