mikelink45
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Everything posted by mikelink45
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My concern is how they advance those minor league players. Do we keep getting questionable old vets or move the young players to the majors? Do we package prospects or DFA them like we have with the relief pitchers they inherited.
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Romero really impressed. It is too early to count, but a young player cannot overcome bad starts like the regulars can, so 3 Ks is really nice to see. With all the noise about starting pitching, he is the guy I want to see force his way to the big leagues. Really good players can start their major league careers young.
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I really like your point about using them when they are young and their arms are alive. Get them throwing before the inevitable injury happens. Relief pitchers need two pitches they do not need to develop like starters do. We seem to have mishandled these quality arms. Relief pitchers are also quite erratic and their amount of use - the daily warming up, etc. means that one or two good years are often followed by a bad year. I would rather see one of our young arms in the BP than a Haley or Kinley.
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Article: Twins To Sign Erick Aybar
mikelink45 replied to Seth Stohs's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
I cannot imagine Aybar being satisfied to be a bench backup for Gordon. -
Franchise hitting records - the Mauer/Dozier edition
mikelink45 commented on mikelink45's blog entry in mikelink45's Blog
The question for him is whether he will commit to himself - get some conditioning, lose some weight, avoid injuries, learn the strike zone. If he does he can challenge Killebrew, but if he doesn't the chances are he will flame out like the Panda and Prince Fielder.- 2 comments
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Article: Twins To Sign Erick Aybar
mikelink45 replied to Seth Stohs's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
I am okay with signing him and dropping him. Keeping him is another matter. We have Ehire and Escobar to fill the utility roles and a number of minor leaguers ready to step in. If they send him to the minors and have him start instead of one of our prospects I will also be upset with that. My desire is to let him provide B game play, entertain the front office and step our of baseball at the end of spring training. -
Franchise hitting records - the Mauer/Dozier edition
mikelink45 posted a blog entry in mikelink45's Blog
Joe Mauer has been with us a long time and it shows – he is currently number 9 all time right behind Hrbek (16 games difference). Joe has 1731 and if he plays 125 games this year 74 games will tie him with Mickey Vernon for sixth place on the Franchise list and he needs 136 to tie Ozzie Bluege for 5th. In case you wonder – Harmon Killebrew is number one with 2329 ahead of Sam Rice. And if you wonder who is next on the list – Brian Dozier 851. Mauer has the most hits of any current Twin with 1986 (#8 on franchise list) which means we should have a 2000 hit celebration this spring – but problem not 3000 any time soon. The Franchise leader is Sam Rice with 2889 and Kirby Puckett is second with 2304 – just a reminder of how good he was. Rod Carew is 5th with 2085 because of Calvin Griffith big mouth and racial insult or he could have made number one since he has 3053 for his career. If Joe matches last years 160 he will have 2054 and pass Killebrew and be right behind Carew for 6th. Dozier is 42nd with 835 and right behind Greg Gagne. If Brian matches his 167 hits he will be at 1002 hits and we can have another celebration in the fall. That would put him right behind Roy Smalley for number 34. Mauer had 36 doubles last year which put him 4th all time in franchise doubles and if he matches last years total he will be in 2nd place behind Sam Rice and ahead of Judge and Puckett. In one more year he should challenge for number one if he continues his current pace. Dozier is in 34th place with 181 right behind Greg Gagne and matching last years total will put him 26th right behind Heinie Manush. Home Runs is where Dozier in six years has far surpassed Mauer in his 14. Mauer is #14 between Cuddyer and Jacque Jones while Dozier is #12 just ahead of Cuddyer and behind Jim Lemon. Dozier has 151, Mauer 137, Mauer might pass Cuddyer, but no more than that next year while Dozier if he matches last year will pass Roy Sievers for #9 right behind Jim Lemon. Killebrew, Hrbek, Allison, Morneau, Oliva, Puckett, Gaetti make a nice recognizable -1 – 8 on the Homerun scale. Mauer has 875 RBI’s which puts him behind Goose Goslin for number #9 and if he can match last years 71 he will move past Goslin and within one of Tony Oliva. Dozier fits in at number 34 again (with 439)b and if he matches last years 93 he will move to #25 behind Eddie Yost and pass Brunansky, Kubel, Jones, and Smalley from the Twins teams. Batting average is difficult to predict because it is not an accumulating – counting stat. Joe Mauer has taken a plunge since his catching days. At 308 he is between Shane Mack and Brian Harper. Rod Carew is untouchable and is followed by Manush, Rice, Goslin, Puckett. Mauer’s best hope is to hold his position. Behind Harper are Cronin, Oliva, and Knoblauch. In career OBP Mauer is tied with Chuck Knoblauch for fourth. Like BA this is not a counting stat so he could go up or down Rod Carew is tied with Buddy Myers for number one all time with 393 and Mauer is 391. In Between is John Stone who played only 5 of his 11 years with the this Franchise. The weakness of stats like this and all percentage stats is that the fewer the years the better chance you have to place high, but unfortunately we do not have anyone – including Dozier who would be in the top 50. In slugging percentage Dozier returns to the list at number 19 (452) and Joe Mauer (443) is at 25. Killebrew is number one at 514 for his career – and that is really great. I was actually pleasantly surprised to see Mauer that high and equally as surprised to see Dozier that low. If you are an OPS fan Mauer is at position 12 with 834. Killebrew is number one at 892. Dozier at 780 is just below Jacque Jones at 33. Killebrew leads in total bases at 4026 and Mauer is 8 at 2856 with Mickey Vernon and Hrbek right about him. If he matches last year he will pass Oliva and take number 5 behind Judge, Puckett, Rice, and Killebrew. Nice list. Dozier is in position 35 with 1507 – if he matches last year he will jump to 23 right behind Michael Cuddyer. Since there are so many complaints about Mauer grounding in to double plays I had to check that out. Killebrew is number 1 with 238 – Mauer is number 2 with 199. Killebrew played 21 years – Mauer 14. I guess there is some truth here. One more surprising negative stat – Killebrew as expected is first in strikeouts with 1629 and Mauer is fifth with 948 and sure to pass Kirby Puckett for fourth and Hunter for third this year. Killebrew – if we take his 21 years (disregard how much he played each year) averages 77 strikeouts per year – take note Sano. Joe for his 14 years averages 67. Miguel Sano in just three years makes the top 50 – he ranks #30 behind Larry Hisle who had twice as many at bats, Guzma, etc. With an average year, which means not playing 162 games, he will move in to the range of 15 – Greg Gagne. Dozier is number 11 on the list and his Strike out rate should bring him up with Gary Gaetti at number 6. And finally, back to the positive, Mauer is 3rd in WAR behind Carew and Killebrew.- 2 comments
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Article: TD 2018 Minnesota Twins Top Prospects Recap
mikelink45 replied to Nick Nelson's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
I liked your comment that the Twins have a good group of Prospects for pitching and maybe that slowed down the FO going after FAs. I would have loved to see the FO commit this year to using 1 or 2 positions in the rotation to debut and develop these pitchers. This is a very good list and continues to project well for the team.- 21 replies
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Max Kepler, being a German, seemed like quite an exception in baseball history, so I had to do some research. Bleacher Reports was so fascinated by his story that they published http://bleacherreport.com/articles/2568511-max-kepler-the-german-baseball-player-who-spurned-soccer-for-mlb-dreams. The article included this Max Kepler quote – "Soccer is the No. 1 sport in Germany," Kepler said. "Baseball was barely poking its head out the window at the time. Being one of the best [soccer players] in my school, people frowned about it and they were just surprised that I would take baseball which is kind of a long jump." What I found out follows - https://www.baseball-reference.com/bullpen/History_of_baseball_in_Germany Baseball Reference says that in a 1796 book by a German, Johann Guts Muths, rules for a game called "English base-ball" appeared and as you might imagine it was a little different than what we play today. Then in 1936 Germany hosted an exhibition of baseball in the Olympics. Baseball was played by American prisoners of war in the notorious Nazi prison camps. http://mopupduty.com/baseball-in-germany-091412/ Following WWII the GIs that were occupying Germany introduced the sport again on their bases. The military men followed their American examples and set up a league that included - Frankfurter Black Knights, Mannheimer Tornados, Münchner Broncos, and Stuttgarter Hawks. The Tornados – an all-black team was the best and the most popular. These teams had many Negro League and Major League players, but as service representation diminished Germany set up its own league – “In 1951, the first season of Baseball-Bundesliga was played, the first German championship.” Eventually they became part of a European baseball association that helped spread the sport through the Continent. Now Max Kepler came out of this history, but he was not the first German player in the majors. Baseball Reference has this to say about the history of German’s in the American League and interestingly it is not Max Kepler who is the noted Minnesota Twins German: “The first Major League players from Germany were David Lenz and Marty Swandell who both debuted from May 7, 1872 for Brooklyn Eckfords. Swandell had played for the club since 1863, while Lenz was a 21-year old catcher who played the opening four games of the season with the club before being replaced by William Bestick. Over the next twenty years another eight players played in the majors, but only two played more than forty in their career - the most successful of which was pitcher Charlie Getzein who won 145 games. From 1893 through 1897, there were no Germans in the majors, but then until the American entry into World War I another twelve players played in the majors. Of course, Germans were part of American history since the beginning so many players in the early years were still recognized by their home country and there have been 41 players who were born in Germany, including Max and Gardy - http://www.baseball-almanac.com/players/birthplace.php?loc=Germany Check out the list. Only three Germans played in the Majors between the two World Wars, a single player (Heinz Becker) played in the World War II-era, and during the 1950s and 1960s no Germans played in the majors. Thirteen players have debuted from 1972 onward, most of whom were the children of American service members stationed in the country. When Ron Gardenhire became the manager of the Minnesota Twins in 2002, he was the first German skipper since Chris von der Ahe in 1897.” Germany’s domestic league – the fifteen team Bundesliga – reformed in 1982 and continues to play to this day. Baseball in German website says that from this league baseball started to sign players like Mitch Franke in 2000, and then Rodney Gressman, Donald Lutz, Max Kepler, Tim Henkenjohann, Simon Guhring, Kai Gronauer, Ludwig Glaser and Jennel Hudson with Max leading the way into the majors. In the book – Beer, Brats, and Baseball – the author Jim Merkel writes about the 1860’s when many Germans, including some of distant uncles – settled in St Louis where the brewed beer and started a local baseball club – not the Cardinals – while joining the Union and helping preserve Missouri as a free state. This coincides with the official advent of Baseball in the US. Baseball history is also filled with “Dutch” nicknames like Hubert Benjamin "Dutch" Leonard, (April 16, 1892 – July 11, 1952) was an American left-handed pitcher in Major League Baseball who had an 11-year career from 1913 to 1921, and 1924 to 1925. He still holds the record for the lowest ERA ever – 0.96 in 1914. But he was born in Birmingham, Alabama. Lots of nicknames were based on the players ethnic backgrounds. Should you want to see how German born players did in baseball careers – Baseball Reference provides this summary of statistics https://www.baseball-reference.com/bio/Germany_born.shtml You will be happy to know that Gardy is the greatest German born manager in history! Glenn Hubard is the best career hitter, and Edwin Jackson is the greatest German born pitcher. And Max – three years, two full years in the majors – his line is 239 – 310 – 422.
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2018 AL Central Division Preview
mikelink45 commented on Ted Schwerzler 's blog entry in Off The Baggy
I think Gardy has become a specialist for teams that are going to lose 90, but stay together and learn. In three years watch for another tanking team that needs a manager who knows how to be sane with all those losses.- 7 comments
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This is one rating that really has me excited. This looks like a star for the future which I hope is not too far away. I would love to see him stick at short - assets like Ripken, Rodriquez...that carry a bat and a glove at short can really make a team. I think the Orioles are figuring that out this year.
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Article: Sano Going To Let It Eat
mikelink45 replied to Ted Schwerzler 's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
I think it speaks volumes. Sano is too young to give up being a two way player, but he has shown a lack of discipline and he will do fine, but he will not do what he could have done. Remember the Panda? How about the quick demise of Prince Fielder? Perhaps this will work out - http://abcnews.go.com/Health/MensHealth/baseball-players-overweight-study-suggests/story?id=10001820 but I doubt it. We are getting bigger and bigger in all sports but baseball seems to be leading - https://www.menshealth.com/guy-wisdom/fat-baseball. I am sad because he has so much potential and he also has the potential to flame out by 30. -
2018 Twins Off-Season top 60 Prospect List: 11-15
mikelink45 commented on Thrylos's blog entry in Thrylos' Blog - select Tenth Inning Stretch posts
I like Kiriloff here. He has to prove he is back that he still has the talent and then if he moves up I will be happy with his improvement. I am glad you were not influenced by draft number or other ratings. -
Article: Getting Rid Of The Bad Odor Might Be Izzi
mikelink45 replied to Cody Christie's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
That is a lot of hoping. As a person with a bad back I can tell you it takes a lot more than wishing. I hope he finds the magic. -
As a fan - I can only say I am confused. We have accumulated a plethora or #4 and #5 rotation guys - FA, veterans on the roster, potential call ups. I see notes about not judging the FO, why not? We have been sold a line that I hope is true about how good they are and this is their second year - so I am waiting to be impressed.
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Article: Twins Daily Top Prospects: #3 Nick Gordon
mikelink45 replied to Cody Christie's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Too high for me if all the reports can be believed. It would seem that even within our organization and with one short stop traded for Odorizzi, he number three in the minor league SS depth chart behind Lewis and Wander Javier. I suspect he is closer to the majors right now, but will be passed this year. If I am wrong I will not be bothered, but for rankings I would move him back some. -
I am pleased with this trade. It is a solid trade and we were able to move a prospect that is our most crowded position - SS - for a solid #4 rotation guy. Of course he will be higher than 4 for us, but still it was a good move. Last year he was 10 - 8 4.14 era and O WAR. That is replacement level, but still better than Sanibal. In the previous 5 years he acquires 8.1 WAR so he could step up again.
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2018 Baseball Stats – current pitchers all time rankings
mikelink45 posted a blog entry in mikelink45's Blog
I thought I would wait to post this, but of course my curiosity got the best of me so I had to explore the all time ranks of pitchers and see what milestones lie ahead in 2018. Let’s start with wins, which I know people now discount. It is true that now wins are a combination of more than offense and the starting pitcher. No long do we have the complete game stat meaning anything. Jack Morris completed 175 to rank 176 and Syl Johnson ranks number 500 with 82 complete games and in that 500-pitcher list there is not one current pitcher. So yes wins don’t count so much now, but they did. Current leaders in complete games are Sabathia – 38 in 17 years of pitching, Colon 37 in 20 years, Hernandez 25 in 13 years, Kershaw 25 in 10, and Shields 23 in 12 years. Ervin Santana is 8th among active pitchers with 21 in 13 years and new comer Anibal Sanchez is 23 with 9 in 12 years. It is almost embarrassing, my favorite all time pitcher who I used to watch in Milwaukee had 382 complete games in 21 years with 363 wins. Camilo Pascual – my favorite early Twin had 132 in 18 years and Blyleven had 141. Colon has the most wins – 240 – and ranks 54 – and 5 wins gets him to rank number 50. He ranks 81 in losses. Sabathia has 237 wins – rank number 58. That is it for top 100. Going to 150 on the list is Lackey and Verlander – 188 rank 143. MLB’s lifetime ERA list has Felix Hernandez 3.20 ranked 107 which is the highest current teacher. Hamels at 161, Greinke at 171 – 3.40, Verlander 193 – 3.46 are the others in the top 10. MLB did not give a cut off for how many innings are required to be on this list. Going to ESPN and Kimbrel 2, Jansen 9, Chapman 16, and Betances 29 are the current pitchers in the top 30, but if you are like me ERA for one inning pitchers has no value. Kershaw is tied for 38 on this list and would be higher than that on MLB, but I think 10 years is required for the MLB list. The only other current pitcher in the top 50 is Chris Devenski and all of his 44.1 innings. Ken Giles and Darren O’Day are the only other active pitchers in the top 100. Sabathia is number 18 in strikeouts 2846 and should pass Jim Bunning this year. Colon is 37 right behind Jim Kaat and with 24 he can catch Jack Morris at 34 – that sounds possible, but based on what I saw last year I would not guarantee it. Verlander has 2416, ranks 41 – tied with Luis Tiant and he should move to 23 with another 200 Ks this year putting him near David Cone. Felix Hernandez is 48, Grienke 57, Hamels 58, Scherzer is tied with Dennis Martinez at 66 and Clayton Kershaw is 68. Shields is 72 which seems to reflect on the abundance of Ks in this period. Lester in 77 and our own Ervin Santana is the last current pitcher in the top 100 – he ranks 99 and 107 Ks (when he is healthy again) will catch Catfish Hunter at 81. Eventually there will be many current era pitchers near the top of the list which makes Nolan Ryan all the more remarkable. Fernando Rodney is tied with Bruce Sutter (HOF) and Jason Isringhausen at #26 in saves. Thirty more saves and he ties with John Wetteland for #14 and is right behind Rollie Fingers. There are more current players on the list below Rodney, but of course there are, in the past pitchers pitched when needed and the artificial Save stat was not important or kept. In WAR, Cy Young has set the standard – 170.3, second is Walter Johnson with 152.3 from our Twin predecessor team, our Bert Blyleven is 11 with 96.5, and Juan Marichal closes the top 50 with 61.9. No active pitchers there. The highest ranked active pitcher is CC Sabathia with 60.7 at 56 tied with Charlie Buffinton which is a player I never heard of – he played for 11 years in the 1890s and was both a pitcher and first baseman. Clayton Kershaw is 68 with 57.4, while Greinke and Verlander are tied with Eddie Cicotte at 72 with 56.9 and just behind Minnesotan – Jerry Koosman. Cole Hamels is 87 with 52.7, Felix Hernandez is 91 with 52.2. Johan Santana is ranked number 100 with 50.7 and Bartolo Colon is 116 with 47.5 just ahead of our Frank Viola 47.4. Jim Kaat is 130 at 45.3 and just two ahead of Max Scherzer at 44.6 and ranked 133. Minnesota native, Ojibwa pitcher from Brainerd and in the HOF Chief Bender is 137 and two places ahead of Jack Morris who had 43.8. My favorite – Twin/Senator great, Camilo Pascual is 191 with 37.8. I do wonder if applying WAR to past performers really is accurate. I suspect many of them are under valued because the game was so different in those days when relievers did not bail out the starter every game. -
Current batters and their historical positions going into 2018
mikelink45 posted a blog entry in mikelink45's Blog
Since baseball is such a numbers sport I am always curious where our current players are on the list and what might happen during this next season that we can anticipate and root for. When it comes to all time batting averages I once anticipated that Joe Mauer would get onto the big list, but in the top 50 we have Carew at 30 and Kirby Puckett (318) tied for 48 with two others. No Mauer, he has dropped out of the top 100. I know it’s the concussion, but that is still too bad. Miguel Cabrera is t 317 after a disastrous year, can he come back? Altuve at 316 has only had 6 years so too early to anticipate while Joey Votto has 10 years now and is tied with Larry Walker (313) at number 66. In the counting stats there are some fun things to watch. Adrian Beltre is our only 3000 hit player right now but Pujols is only 32 hits away so he should join the list this year. Last year he had 143 hits so if he keeps that pace – May/June will have him in the club. Adrian is at 3048 between Lou Brock and Rod Carew. Last year he had just 106 hits and 2018 depends upon his health. If he only matches last year he will zip past Carew, Henderson, Biggio, Suzuki, Winfield, Rodriquez, and Gwynn and move just ahead of Robin Yount. Nice list. If Pujols just matches last year he will end up between Winfield and Rodriquez. In that very important category – Runs – where Rickey Henderson, Cobb, and Bonds lead the field there is only one players in the top 50 – Pujols who sits right behind Honus Wagner. Last year he only had 53 runs and if he does the same this year he will go from number 23 to number 21 right behind Paul Molitor. Beltre is in the next 50 but even if he were to get 100 he would still not catch George Brett who is number 50 and last year he scored only 47. We do not list doubles leaders in most publications – why not? Pujols is #12 all time (619) and Beltre is #13 (613). Both are just behind Hank Aaron - #11. Last year Beltre had 22 and Pujols had 17 which means Beltre could pass both Pujols and Aaron and move past David Ortiz into number 10 on the list. Cabrera is number 32 with 545. Robinson Cano is the only active player in the next 50 and should move into the top 50 this year. He only needs ten to do so. Jose Reyes is in the top 100 in triples and Curtis Granderson is number 198. This is a shame because I think triples are the most exciting hit in the game of baseball. We have two potentially great triples hitters in Rosario and Buxton, I hope they will go for it! If Pujols matches his 23 home runs from last year he will have 637 which will get him past Griffey and into 6th place. Beltre and Cabrera are tied with 462 and are in 35th with Adam Dunn and Jose Canseco. If Beltre hits 17 like last year he will move past Willie Stargell and Stan Musial for number 30. If Cabrera matches last year he will be in 31st place past those same to all time greats. Pujols is in eighth place in RBIS – 1918 and if he matches last years 101, which he should on his improved team, he would move to 3rd place behind Aaron and Rodriguez and past Bonds. Beltre at 28 would move past Frank Thomas for #21 if he matches last year and Cabrera at #32 could move to #26 by matching last years 60 and he would be between Sheffield and Sosa. Robinson Cano at 143 and Adrian Gonzales at 149 are the only other active players in the top 150. In walks Pujols at 53 and Cabrera at 94 are the only active players in the top 100 while Curtis Granderson (that all time great – just kidding) is 31 and Beltre 38, Cabrera 39 are in the top 40 in Ks. Justin Upton, Chris Davis and Matt Kemp join them in the top 100. What does that say about this generation of hitters? Jose Reyes at 34 is the only active player (barely) in the top 100 in Stolen Bases. Like the triples, I loved the stolen base – that really put excitement in the game and Henderson, Brock, Maury Wills were just a few of the great baserunners I got to see. Bring it back! In career WAR – Pujols is right behind Joe Morgan who is number 20 with 99.4 – Morgan has 100.3, Beltre is tied with Cap Anson (the worst person to ever play) in 27th with 93.9 and has Roberto Clemente just ahead of him. Cabrera is 73 and tied with Tony Gwynn at 68.8 WAR. Just ahead of him is Tim Raines. Robinson Cano is at 92 and right behind Buddy Bell and Goose Goslin (only great Senator) and the last current player in the top 100 surprised me – Chase Utley at 94 right behind Willie Randolph. No Twins, but plenty for the baseball fan to pay attention to in addition to the current team. Next time I will look at pitchers. -
Article: Twins Sign RHP Anibal Sanchez... No, Really
mikelink45 replied to Seth Stohs's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Wow and I thought the new front office had no plan. Did I read this wrong - is he another old wily vet to pair with Hunter, Cuddyer, Morneau... Great to have a retirement home team. -0.8 WAR last year! And that follows a -1.2 WAR so he is improving. My broken record keeps playing - use your young arms and quit picking up the homeless. -
Article: Minnesota's Winter Of Discontent
mikelink45 replied to Nick Nelson's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Nope - of course Garcia is already signed, but even if not - I am not his fan.

