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mrguy

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Everything posted by mrguy

  1. mrguy
    Pretty insane performance by Wind Surge pitching that it's pretty crazy they didn't win. I guess the plan out there was either Wichita was attacking the batters with anything to challenge them or the other team was simply told to swing at everything and see what happens.
  2. mrguy
    Moving him and the pitching coach, Ricci, up to the saints seems like a great way to ensure the guys that shined there continue to build on what worked for them at a higher level. How well they can transition to the higher level now that some of them will have their first full season up there is one thing, but they clearly understood how to unlock some stuff out of a lot of those guys. Felt like last year, there was always someone in wichita breaking a single season record or having a career best in some metric for that team
  3. mrguy
    I agree, I don't really think he's a great signing idea, just one I'd expect to be made
  4. mrguy
    I've continued to be confused why Raya was so fast tracked when I feel like his stats at most levels hadn't suggested he was really ready to move up. Now it just feels like he's going to be hanging out in AAA for a while until eventually they either rush him to the majors in a boom or bust way, or he just fizzles out as a top prospect. Prielipp definitely has more potential than him, but continues to have the question about his health on the back of everyone's mind. I don't think he's at all ready to try in the big leagues since he kind of had a not that solid intro to AAA, but if he can adjust throughout this next season, I don't see why they shouldn't let him get some bullpen work in MLB.
  5. mrguy
    Re-signing Luis Arraez is one of those decisions I wouldn't even be surprised they made. Every media outlet is reporting that he's not as highly valued as people were initially projecting him as, so he'll likely sign for not as much compared to many other free agent options. He's technically considered a "top free agent," so it'd look good from Falvey's position since it'd give the impression that he's trying(even though we all know this wouldn't be that big of an acquisition). And with first base specifically, it doesn't really seem like there are many options on the prospect pool or current major league options to really fit every day unless we fast track an outfielder like Fedko or something to learn the position. As for the other side, trading Lopez feels like a decision they've already settled on, it's more a matter of what return they'd get if they manage to make one happen. While I like a lot of the high minors pitching options the Twins have, I don't know if it's really the time to be messing around with pitching while they've already cleared house enough, at that point it'd really be a gamble on how much you really trust some of these guys. Again, this is assuming a team even takes a trade for Pablo Lopez, which I don't really know have any strong guesses as to who'd be the best trade candidate and who we'd realistically get for him.
  6. mrguy
    In general, this seems to be a discussion to be had with a lot of the clogged up outfield pipeline, but I do wonder what this spells for some of the higher up options that are also going to be at risk? With someone like Kyler Fedko who is both Rule 5 eligible and more "MLB ready" I guess in an offseason market that is specifically looking for outfield options. Are they being seen as potential trade chips? Or do they simply have more confidence they wouldn't be touched than the guy they got through trades?
  7. mrguy
    Hendry Mendez was the only one that confused me, because a AA outfielder prospect in an org with so much outfield depth(and a lot of them knocking on MLB already) already seems like a spot not really that risky to need to protect even if he had a good year and could likely be AAA next year, but maybe this is more a precautionary thing to make sure the Phillies don't try and immediately take him back so the Twins end up with nothing in the Bader trade? Everyone else on that list makes sense though
  8. mrguy
    I can definitely see this year being primarily spent on finding ways to get their high minors players opportunities to find ways to the big leagues. The ones with solid seasons last year that start strong. This year's spring training will probably have a lot of those guys trying out and potentially making it as low cost bullpen options. With so many high minors pitchers approaching/being rule 5 eligible, I feel like they're probably going to put a decent amount of them on the remaining 40 man spots since they'll likely shuffle a lot of them around throughout next season. Decisions like this were also probably what motivated their approach to minor league pitching this year, having a lot of guys serving as quasi-starter/reliever roles with a lot of players having 3-4 inning games, to hopefully fast track and develop some of their minor league depth in preparation of them offloading their higher contracted pitching options. I wouldn't be surprised if quite a few of the AA/AAA pitchers that were placed in that role this last year show up at some point next season.
  9. mrguy
    Bringing back Luis Arraez feels like the only major signing I could imagine them doing. Doesn't really feel like many teams see much value with him due to his most recent season, so his projected value probably isn't really accurate. Plus bringing back a former player that isn't hated in a position they do need to fill feels like a win-win for Falvey and the Pohlads since it can look like they care by signing a "big" free agent, while bringing back a player fans kind of like who was good when he was here while also likely being cheaper than analysts are expecting him to go for(so it likely will save them money, which is probably the part they'll care about the most)
  10. mrguy
    The "potential" of your farm system implies that you could have some depth to work with coming into the job and have a lot of potential in the future as well. Teams with questionable farm systems will put questions on how much depth you can work with in cases of injuries or who will even be available once certain players are gone. If you are projected to have a strong farm system with lots of good players potentially breaking through, the idea is that you won't have as much stress worrying about what to do in those cases because you'll have the tools to boost your team even in the worst case scenarios. The question is though, can we really say that in 2026, the Twins actually DO have that depth ready for the next couple years?
  11. mrguy
    No matter what doom posters may say, i sincerely doubt Buxton is gone, you know how many great players stayed on teams in terrible situations that never won anything their whole career? A surprisingly high number(the most obvious active example of this isn't even Buxton). The rest outside of maybe Ryan and Lopez, I honestly have no feelings towards whether they stay or go at this point
  12. mrguy
    Those early innings in AAA, both for him and Prielipp are just the growing pains that come from the jump from AA to AAA. We can already see what's good about them and what they will have to adjust, and the main goal this coming season would then be to see how quickly they can make that adjustment since the stuff is clearly there. And if they can make those adjustments while still maintaining their actual stuff, they can very easily shift to being contributors. He's still young, only turning 24 when the season starts, acting like being 24 in AAA is some wall that basically locks them out of being anything special just seem cynical, especially when you consider that plenty of great starters didn't debut in the majors until they were 24. The easiest example here would be Jacob DeGrom, who debuted at 26.
  13. mrguy
    Klein is probably the guy I have the most faith making an immediate impact. Prielipp is probably going to have some more patience and spend a lot of his season in AAA working on those little issues that got to him there like his walk rate before finally getting the call. Klein just seems like an ace in the making, literally having the 3rd most strikeouts in the entire ORG(majors and minors) only being behind Zebby and Joe Ryan. The guy definitely seems like someone I can see becoming a young end of the rotation piece by this time next year if he can stay healthy and keep getting the results he's gotten. And he's gotten this result in high minors at 23, definitely a guy I feel like is going to be big for the team.
  14. mrguy
    Paredes, Bragg, and Hoopes all have potential. Paredes is probably the most likely out of the others, he's been one of the most consistent arms across each level he's shown up in. He got promoted to AAA to end the season and considering he had the 5th most innings out of ANY twins minor league pitcher and the results he got, I think they definitely saw something in him. At 25, he's definitely at the point where he'll have to prove himself, but if he can deliver that same consistency, I can see him being a second half promotion. In general though, I only see 4 or 5 pitchers in the twins minors system that actually have a chance of showing up next year in any form, outside of Paredes as hopeful option, the others would be Prielipp, Klein, Morris(who I feel like they expect to be ready immediately next year), and Raya(who I feel like they really want to be ready ASAP, but might need more time)
  15. mrguy
    And with that the twins minor league year is over. A lot of great performances and a lot of guys who in my mind broke out this year. Fedko has been one of those shining examples, the guy really does feel like he really figured it out. I was hoping he'd somehow get that 30/30 season, but you can't say his final number was anything to scoff at. I really do hope he'll be a guy we'll be talking about as a valuable member and sign of good things in the future on the MAJOR league team by this time next year
  16. mrguy
    Jenkins is adjusting, but still doesn't really have the results in AAA to justify it yet. I imagine he'll start in St. Paul, but will probably be in a Twins uniform in May if he starts strong next year
  17. mrguy
    That's true, and the twins system has a lot of solid pitchers in AA/AAA that would be eligible for Rule 5 this year. Those guys should be more of a priority to protect than him
  18. mrguy
    Prielipp's first fully healthy year has had its ups and downs, but it's good he ended with a quality start and generally solid outing. I don't think we'll see him in a major league game until at best, the middle/later end of next year though unless they want to rush him up and give him some bullpen experience. Lots of stuff he clearly still needs to work out, he has great quality stuff, but it feels like it doesn't quite feel like he gets the results that those pitches should be getting. Definitely needs to take some time figuring out how to efficiently utilize what he's got, he still gets lots of strikeouts but there's definitely some control/sequencing issues and batters are catching onto it and the higher ERA, WHIP and the 5.57 BB/9 he's had in St. Paul so far definitely show that. Good on Paredes finally getting a chance in St. Paul and he definitely delivered exactly what could've been expected after his season in Wichita. Finally getting proper statcast data on his stuff is going to be interesting to be able to look at since his results have always been surprisingly solid as an under the radar arm. Obviously won't have a lot of data to look at with him given there's only 2 games left in St. Paul's season, but it's something I'll be curious to check out next season(maybe even spring training, i imagine they'll be desperate for bullpen options in general next season)
  19. mrguy
    This season is a bust anyway, while you could argue that's a good opportunity to just let some younger guys get MLB experience, you're honestly just using time you don't have to. Guys like Fedko will almost certainly get a tryout opportunity in spring training and will probably be on the lineup next year anyway, so might as well let them have their first MLB experience come in a more hopeful time where they can at least pretend the twins have some fight in them rather than going in during a defeated time for both the team and fans. Plus with only a week left of the regular season, it's not like they're going to really get a ton of experience as most likely bench players, might as well let them be in an environment where they're actually going to be on the field
  20. mrguy
    An unfortunate end for the wind surge, but honestly they shouldn't beat themselves up about it. They had an amazing run this year and most of the players who were on that team this year deserve some props for the strides they made. Like I said before, feels like every week we'd hear about some player on that team passing a career high in one of their metrics or setting a new franchise record for that team, and generally a lot of guys who played on that team have broken out as guys I honestly have hopes in seeing reach St. Paul or even the majors within the next couple seasons.
  21. mrguy
    it's amazing that the wind surge have fought hard enough to make the literal final game be what determines their playoff chances. i hope they make it, but even still, their guys fought hard no matter what happens. all of them deserve some credit for the strides they made this year.
  22. mrguy
    Really good day for the minor league teams. The Saints really needed a win today and I'm sure they're all glad to finally have one. Good on the Kernels too for another year moving further in their playoffs. I wonder if Wichita can make up that one game difference though, really can't allow a mistake in these next two games. But they've definitely been an impressive team this year with many players who started the season and promoted out or played the season there having breakout years. Whoever was coaching the wind surge this year really unlocked a lot of these guys' development, feels like there's always a guy there who's surpassed their career best in every metric. Like Kala'i Rosario managing to become a top tier stealer with 32 in this year after only having 16 across all his previous seasons COMBINED and generally having one of his best offensive years, coming just short of a 30/30 season. Or even a guy like Paredes(who I have sung the praises of before), who stayed pretty under the radar in the system, but has managed to lead the Texas League in wins(taking the Wind Surge franchise record), and then now took the Wind Surge's lead in saves for this season after shifting to closing out games with another hitless outing in a year that's had him see the most action he's had in his minors career.
  23. mrguy
    Armstrong has been a very good addition, after having a couple rough outings when he first showed up in the Twins system, it feels like he's started to find his groove and has been pretty dominant since. I feel like Mike Paredes is probably ready to try St. Paul at this point. Over 100 innings, a 2.48 ERA, and over his last 5 outings, he's only allowed 4 hits(and 3 of those were in the first of the 5 outings) with 14K in 10 innings, don't really know what else there is to see with him down there maybe just waiting until the end of the regular season to let him play in the playoffs if they make it?
  24. mrguy
    John Klein is someone I see at least getting a non roster invite with the season he's had. 3rd most strikeouts in the entire twins franchise this season only behind Joe Ryan and Zebby, which is not bad company to be in, doing it across AA and AAA. I don't know if he's got the control to be ready for the majors yet, but he at least has earned enough consideration to give him a shot in Spring Training.
  25. mrguy
    To some degree, I get the point here, but considering the twins system this year has been having a lot of focus on giving starters and some relievers somewhat equal playing time for the most part so there is more depth in the system, I do think there is an argument that this isn't as true in the case for some anymore. Like Paredes is #5 on this list for the month and he's got almost the same innings to the starters they have in Wichita on a consistent month to month basis. He has the most innings pitched on the team in general approaching 100 and will probably be the few in the whole twins minor league system to hit that number with only Ty Langenberg, Chase Cheney(who is also in this list), and Aaron Rozek being the only guys that have spent the whole season in the minors reaching it by this time in the season. Same is true with guys like Trent Baker, who shifted to being a reliever when reaching AAA, who pitched only 1 less inning than top prospect Marco Raya this month. At that point, the only point that can really discredit their performance would be the age vs the level they're in, and all the high minor examples are still below league average in age.
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