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Mr. Brooks

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Everything posted by Mr. Brooks

  1. It's already been shown with data on this site, that even during Sano's massive K slumps, it's not because of a lack of discipline though. Even during those slumps, his out of zone swing percentages aren't out of line, it's that he starts whiffing on pitches that are in the zone. I think his slumps are due to his mechanics getting out of whack, and not because of any issue with plate discipline. In other words, he's still swinging at good pitches during those slumps, he's just missing them.
  2. The Jays didn't have to make this trade. Stroman isn't a FA. Yet they liked the package enough to make the trade. So I guess we can add their GM and scouts to the list of idiots who aren't as informed as the posters here.
  3. If they do it as their primary source of income, then they are professionals. Either way, they are much more plugged in than posters here who are literally just scouting stat lines. Kay has really good stuff. He's a legit good prospect. But hey, for some posters it fits their narrative to pretend like he's not a good prospect.
  4. Yeah, a FIP near 5 in the national league will typically do a number on a player's value.
  5. Ah, so it's just all the professional scouts at MLB Pipeline and Fangraphs that are stupid. Good thing we have posters in here that have scouted these guys much more extensively. Also, when did mid 90's plus fastballs, to go with a plus curve and plus change become "soft tossers"?
  6. I'd be shocked if any of the 30 teams view Stewart as having even a remote chance of being anything but an absolute emergency only starting pitching option. We need to disregard his draft status. He's just not very good. If he manages 2 or 3 seasons as a fill in AAAA long relief option, while he's making the minimum and has options, that will be a pretty big success for him at this point, IMO.
  7. People who actually get paid to evaluate these prospects grade Duran as equal or lesser than the AAA pitcher that the Mets sent. So, no that doesn't "easily" beat it. It may very well have, we don't know how the Jays have these guys graded. The only pitching prospect we have who objectively, definitively grades out better, according to professional publications, not a poster's amateur opinion, is Graterol.
  8. Of course they could beat it. My point was to illustrate that in order to "easily" beat it, as you suggested, would almost certainly require sending Graterol or Balazovic, or even both, depending on how much value the Jays place on proximity to the majors. I'm ok moving one of those guys, but I'd prefer we aim a little higher than Stroman if we do. The Twins aren't going to gut their system, no matter how much some posters may want them to. Which means any deal involving one of their "big 3" (Lewis/Kirilloff/Graterol), is likely to be the only big time player acquired. If the deadline passes with nobody better than Romo acquired, I'll be right there with you questioning why they didn't try to top the Mets for Stroman. But if they passed because they know they only plan on firing one bullet from their big 3, and that 1 bullet is for a player they like more than Stroman, then I totally get it.
  9. Just out of curiosity, what would be your offer that would easily beat it?
  10. I mean there are trauma surgeons that work 30 hours straight in disaster zones. And they're saving lives. The human body can handle more than a late night 30 hours before a 3 hour baseball game. He would have been just fine.
  11. There is likely no difference between a guy ranked in the 90's, and one who just missed the top 100, assuming they are both given an identical grade. At that point, the ranker is just choosing a few of his/her personal favorites to round out the top 100. The Blue Jays could agree, and have Balazovic slightly ahead, but they could just as likely have them flipped.
  12. I think it's a near lock that Bauer is traded, if he isn't moved at the deadline.
  13. I tossed out Thorpe and Duran in the thread in the Other Baseball forum. Though the reality is, with guys in this tier, different teams are going to have vastly different opinions of them.
  14. I said to "definitively" beat their offer. While your offer may very well be a better offer in the eyes of the Jays, I don't think we can objectively say that it definitively is. Whereas I think we can if it's Graterol or Balazovic.
  15. Balazovic and the Mets AAA pitcher that was traded have identical grades on MLB pipeline, as well as fangraphs.
  16. I'm not sure I have an answer to this or your previous post. I'm just assuming that 1.33 years of team control is going to cost more in prospects than 1 year of team control, theoretically. You may be right that these types of pitchers aren't traded often in the offseason, but they also aren't often traded to teams well below .500 at the deadline either. I just found it to be an unusual move. Not necessarily that I think it's bad or the wrong move.
  17. Duran and Thorpe both have 50 grades on MLB Pipeline. The Mets gave up a 55 and a 50.
  18. I think he means trading for a controllable pitcher in the offseason, not a free agent.
  19. Assuming they wanted 2 pitchers, it would have taken a minimum of Balazovic or Graterol, or both to definitively top that deal. Not saying I wouldn't do that, but perhaps they have bigger names in mind if they're going to fire those 2 valuable bullets?
  20. 2 milb pitchers outside of the top 100. AAA lefty Anthony Kay. A+ righty Simeon Woods-Richardson. I'd put a Twins comp at Thorpe and Duran. That's not quite equitable, Kay is a 55 FV and Thorpe is just 50, but it's the closest i could find.
  21. Isn't that exactly what Brock is saying? Where did he give them credit for anything?
  22. That depends which source one uses. bWAR has him on pace for a 2.1 bWAR season. Fangraphs likes him less.
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