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Mr. Brooks

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Everything posted by Mr. Brooks

  1. Gibson is not eligible. He is 1 inning over the cutoff.
  2. If you were a business owner, would you throw away money on a high salaried position that had no impact on your business? If you would, your business wouldn't last very long. The manager/coaches "have little to no impact" argument always amuses me. The people who make this argument must really think that sports owners are idiots when it comes to running a business. It really is amazing that they managed to make so much money with such little business acumen that they would just burn money every year on zero impact employees.
  3. I don't think you understand my point. Yes, you need players for those roles, I'm not arguing that. But, any back end pitcher will do. When you are rebuilding, there is absolutely no reason to go anything more than year to year with a guy like Kevin Correia. UNLESS you think he gives you a better chance to win than any one of the dozen guys like him that signed 1 year deals. If you are a rebuilding team, you don't care about that extra half win that picking the "right" guy out of that bunch will give you. You only care about that extra half win if you think that half win has a chance to make a difference in a playoff race. Yes, you need a guy to take innings behind the plate, but again, a truly rebuilding team only needs a warm body in that role. No reason to go anything but year to year with that role. If you don't have a prospect that can fill that role, then go sign any number of veteran catchers that can be had on one year deals in any given offseason. Finally, when you match Ryan's words with these actions, the picture becomes clearer. Of course, people will say that Ryan is going to lie, he didn't really mean that, he has to say that. Did the GM's of any of the other obvious rebuilding teams say they were going to contend this year? Maybe they did, I don't know. I doubt it.
  4. Rookies can struggle for many number of reasons other than the hitting coach. You can lead a horse to water, but you can't make him drink.
  5. I wasn't arguing that it was perfect. Simply that it was more accurate than ERA.
  6. Why? Do you honestly think that Terry Ryan logged on to Twins Daily for advice on how to handle Aaron Hicks? If he did, he should be fired immediately.
  7. You mean the same Jim Bowden that was named MLB Executive of the Year in 1999 after drafting and trading for an exceptional young nucleus in Cincinnati that won 96 games with one of the leagues lowest payrolls? Or do you mean the Jim Bowden that took over the Expos as they became the Nationals and built the foundation for a respectable team from the ruins of what was the laughable Expos roster when he took over? Jim Bowden knows plenty about building a good baseball team. He's in a broadcast booth right now because he was the fall guy for scouts in Latin America that were skimming bonuses.
  8. I don't think anyone is saying that we "owe" Brunansky anything. I think they are saying that 1 season is not enough to judge his effectiveness.
  9. Old Nurse, the correlations that you point out were only for one season. In the larger, 6 season sample size, FIP was more accurate than ERA both in terms of correlation and RMSE. In fact, ERA was the LEAST accurate (of 8) measure in both methods.
  10. Parmelee hasn't looked great, and I, along with others, don't think he'll be an everyday MLB player. But, that doesn't make it fact. There were plenty of rational people, both here and in the media, who thought the same thing about Brian Dozier. The only way to find out for sure, is to let him play every single day, for an entire season. EVERY DAY. He's a young pup, he doesn't need days off. He doesn't need to sit against lefties. The only way to get better against lefties is to play against lefties. Unfortunately, that will never happen as long as Morneau, Willingham, and Doumit are on the roster. If Gardy is the manager, and those 3 players are on the roster, Parmelee will get jerked in and out of the lineup, and we'll never know, for sure, if he is an MLB player or not.
  11. I don't know, I read all 17 comments, and I only read one that wasn't reasonable. (Rob K) The rest seem to be saying that IF HE'S HEALTHY, he shouldn't be shut down just for the sake of shutting him down. IF HE'S HEALTHY, let him play mostly 1B or DH for the rest of the year. I don't see how that is an unreasonable argument at all. If you are going to shut him down just because the games are meaningless, then you might as well shut him down until 2016. If he's not healthy, he shouldn't play, but if the doctors clear him to play, he should play.
  12. I really think you are being prejiduced by his terrible W/L record. I'm not saying he's been great, or even good, but looking through his game logs, I'm not sure it's as bad as you make it out to be. IMO, of his 24 starts, he's had: 8 good starts. 8 bad stars. 8 mediocre starts. I think that is probably what you would expect from a guy as young as him, especially one who was never an elite prospect to begin with. He has had some really good performances that resulted in an L or ND. Including an 8 inning CG last year where a single unearned run hung an L on him. He's also had several performances that are not great, but just mediocre, the kind that often result in ND's for many pitchers, but Hendriks has gotten the loss due to no run support. I really think if his record was something like 5-8, instead of 1-12 (which it easily could be), and the rest of his stats were exactly the same, that he would get more benefit of the doubt. It's also of note that his career xFIP is 4.58. I'm guessing that the huge difference between his career ERA and xFIP is due to his well above average HR/FB rate. While it may just be that his stuff is easy to square up (leading to harder hit fly balls than average), I don't think that is the case, as his babip is pretty well in line with the league. Pitchers whose stuff is easier to square up generally have inflated babips. Of course, even if his ERA were 4.58, that is still not great, but I think most people would think it was acceptable given his age.
  13. Old Nurse, can you please link to whatever data you are using for your posts please?
  14. Rebuilding teams don't give Ryan Doumit an extension. Rebuilding teams trade Willingham coming off a career year, with a team friendly contract. Rebuilding teams don't give 2 year contracts to Kevin Correia. If all he wanted was some veteran #5 starter to eat some innings until the kids are ready, there were a dozen or more of those that went on 1 year deals. The only way you sign ANY of them to a 2 year deal is because you think one of them is "better" than the others (which is irrelevant unless you think you are competing for something), and you think you need to offer the 2nd year to get him.
  15. The problem with your statement is that Ryan didn't believe we were a rebuilding team. He said as much with both his words AND his actions. I believe that finally, after this season, he realizes that it is a team that needs to be rebuilt, but his poor judgement has already cost us nearly 2 seasons of treading water. IMO its a little late now to avoid a "long rebuild".
  16. Don't you think that makes sense? It seems obvious to me that most of the guys at the bottom of the ERA list are going to have a little bit of bad luck bringing their ERA up. If they were TRULY that bad, they probably wouldn't be allowed to throw enough innings to qualify. Outside of a couple teams who have really good starting pitching depth, and a couple of teams who have really terrible starting pitching depth, most of the back end starting pitchers in baseball are going to be of relatively comparable quality. So, it makes sense that in any given season, it is going to be the ones with the most unfortunate luck who will find themselves at the very bottom of the ERA list. Just so I'm clear, is your argument that there is no luck in baseball? Or is it that the luck cannot be measured? Or, is it that the luck can be measured, but that FIP does not do a good enough job of measuring it? Somewhere online there is a good article regarding how accurate FIP, xFIP, and ERA are at predicting future ERA. It is done with a massive sample size, and has repeatedly shown that FIP is more accurate at predicting future ERA than past ERA is. I'll see if I can dig it up.
  17. You might be right about Barney, and Phillips is elite too. I SHOULD have said the best in the AL, which is what I meant (in regards to the GG).
  18. I would have agreed with you, I didn't see much talent on either side of the ball, but we were in the minority. Phil Mackey predicted we would have one of the best lineups in all of baseball. ALL of the Strib writers said that our lineup would be fine, it was pitching that would be our problem. You would have been in the minority in here. If you'd like I can go dig up the threads coming into the season, it was at least 80/20 with the vast majority thinking our offense would be at least league average. Regarding losing Span, go find the Hicks thread during ST. The majority opinion was that he'd at worst only be a slight step back from Span, with several posters even saying he'd be an upgrade over Span, immediately.
  19. I am a huge Dozier fan, I have been outfront with that, even when he was struggling, and even last year when he was a disaster. BUT, he doesn't deserve the gold glove. He's been very good defensively, but Pedroia is just better, by a mile. It has nothing to do with his bat or his popularity, Pedroia is the best defensive second baseman in baseball.
  20. The most alarming (to me anyways) thing about the strikeouts is that it is coming from a team almost completely devoid of power. Striking out because you are swinging for the fences is one thing, striking out this much when you are simply trying to slap the ball into play is quite alarming.
  21. That doesn't seem to be the theme that I recall hearing going into the year. I (almost universally) heard everywhere coming into this season that our offense would not be the problem, and would actually be one of the better lineups in the league.
  22. Gardy's contract is up. He's not going to sign a 1 year deal. If you bring back Gardy, you do so committing to him for the next 3 years. I even said in my original post that if he still had a year remaining on his deal, I think you let him finish it out.
  23. Who stated that the Twins do not use them?
  24. I'm pretty sure nobody is arguing that they should.
  25. From Merriam Webster: Coaching, is a teaching, training or development process via which an individual is supported while achieving a specific personal or professional result or goal. By definition it would seem that part of a coaches job is to teach fundamentals, and to make sure they are being executed properly. Is there anything that the coaching staff is responsible for? If not, why do they make millions of dollars? Why not just hire someone at minimum wage?
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