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Mr. Brooks

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Everything posted by Mr. Brooks

  1. I don't think we could move Hughes even if we ate his entire contract. He still requires a 25 man roster spot, and I can't imagine anyone thinks he's worth that.
  2. Busenitz had a 4.20 FIP last season. He wasn't very good at all, IMO, just incredibly lucky. He had babip and strand rates that are nowhere near repeatable.
  3. Well those lower levels are much more about tools than stats. But, if he can't play the outfield, he's definitely much less of a prospect. He likely doesn't have Sano offensive tools that will play anywhere.
  4. Well if Bill Gates loses a million dollars, and gains none, he'll still have more money than me, so I'm not sure why you are disputing what was written.
  5. It's significantly more than that. Keep in mind, these are 16 to 20 year olds starting out in the minor leagues, so they need to be compared to other people in their age brackets. According to US Census data, the median annual income for the 16-24 year old age bracket is about $11,500. So that $131,000 is more than an average US worker will make during that 8 year window, combined. With about $40k left over. And that's just the bonus, that doesn't include their salaries. Again, I'm not arguing that they shouldn't be paid more, I think they should. But it does need to be looked at with the context of what similar workers their age would make, because yes the owners are making billions of dollars, but they aren't really making that money off most of these milb players. I don't think milb teams are very profitable, they are making their money off the players who are good enough to play in the major leagues, which most of these guys will never be.
  6. Never meant to imply it was a big deal. Just pointing out that even pitchers coming off a normal, healthy off-season need quite a while to be ready to pitch in an mlb game. For a guy coming off surgery, who hasn't thrown a baseball in 6 months, Santana is going to need a lengthy rehab stint. I just can't see going from not being able to grip a baseball, to starting a mlb game, after 6 months of rust, by May 1st.
  7. The testing is random. It has no bearing on how the team is performing or performed the year before.
  8. It also prevents some players benefiting from the timing of their failed test. A player who fails in March would be back in time for postseason, while a player who fails in July would miss the postseason.
  9. Falvey said he wouldn't be available for the opening series, but that they were aiming for a start in Pittsburgh. EDIT: Sorry, it was Levine, not Falvey. That's why I usually just say Falvine. "Lynn could make two more starts in camp, but might need one more appearance in the minors in order to strengthen his arm. Twins General Manager Thad Levine told MLB Network that Lynn could start April 2 or 4 in Pittsburgh. The Twins open March 29 in Baltimore." http://m.startribune.com/lance-lynn-says-twins-seemed-like-a-perfect-fit/476680503/
  10. Nobody has a starting caliber backup at every position. Not even the big spenders. It's just not realistic. Good, smart teams try to have the most talented, reliable backups they can. Because injuries do happen. But it's just not practical to have backups at every position that won't make you miss your starter over the long haul. If you did, they wouldn't be backups, they'd be starters somewhere, and market forces would ensure that. The only way your idea would work, IMO, would be to contract to about 18 teams. There just isn't a large enough talent pool to consistently allow teams to have 25 everyday caliber players.
  11. Agents earn like 3-4%. That's 50k max he's paid to agents. Probably another 50k max to the rest of those things. Also, I don't believe anyone said he's set for life. But he's also nowhere near poverty. In fact it's insulting to the billion+ people in the world who do face poverty on an everyday basis to suggest that he is.
  12. My point is, how much money does one have to have, before it's no longer understandable? Are you saying it's understandable for anyone? If so, why even bring the poverty aspect into the comment? Are you saying that if you were once poor, then it's continuously understandable, regardless of how much money they've already earned? I'd be more understanding if it's a fringe milb guy who didn't have a large bonus, and hadn't already earned mlb paychecks. But Polanco is no longer poor. And he's relatively established as a major leaguer. Barring catastrophic injury, his floor at this point is probably an Eduardo Escobar type career, which is going to be fairly lucrative. Long story short, I'm just trying to discern how much security a guy can have, before poverty no longer makes what he did understandable?
  13. None of those guys are likely to be ready by June. In fact, only Gordon has a chance. I don't agree that there is a high likelihood that this causes any missed time beyond the suspension. The only scenario I can see that would, is if both Escobar and Adrianza start out terribly, and the Twins trade for a SS better than Polanco. But, with them likely being close to maxed out payroll right now, I don't find that too likely either.
  14. I think have read previously that most players are tested randomly twice per year. I think players with previous failed tests are subject to unlimited random tests.
  15. I'd also be curious what percentage of milb players currently make less than minimum wage. What percentage of players in the systems received signing bonuses? It's probably even less money than some have suggested to ensure that they all clear minimum wage, when you factor in that at least a fair amount of them received a fairly significant signing bonus.
  16. I'm not defending this, not at all. But, how are apprenticeship type employees governed in other industries? Is it common for those types of employees to be paid less than minimum wage, or is this unprecedented?
  17. Why are you using $15/hr for your math? The minimum wage is substantially lower than that in nearly every jurisdiction where these players earn their money.
  18. You're probably right. But, I think it's more of a toss up than you think. Escobar is a very poor defensive SS. At least by the metrics. And I think, with much of the Twins improvement last year coming from defense, that Molitor might be inclined to take a hard look at the better defender in this case.
  19. Well, even though there is no salary cap in baseball, we know Falvine have a budget. So, every dollar spent on backups is one less dollar spent on starters. I'd rather have the money spent on players likely to play every day, rather than a bench player who MIGHT have to play a lot, IF the player ahead of him gets hurt or suspended. Sure, if Falvine could predict the future, they might have been able to pay $5 million for a backup SS, without hurting the budget too much. That basically removes Morrison from the team, assuming they are at budget. But since they can't predict which player will get hurt or suspended for a long period of time, they'd have to spend that much at every backup spot, which would severely cut into the budget for the players they expect to play everyday. Then, there's also the obstacle of convincing players to take equal money to be an insurance policy, when they are good enough to start somewhere else. So, you'd likely have to pay a premium to acquire many of those players. Are you willing to eliminate the signings of Morrison, Lynn, Reed, and Rodney, so they can instead sign starting caliber backups at every position? I'm not. I'd assume most GM's with a budget also would not.
  20. 99.9% of people in the world will never make generations of money. So that is a pretty low standard of when it's understandable to cheat to get ahead.
  21. What do you think is the median, to date earnings for a 24 year old? Would you say "only" $1.35 million is anywhere close to extreme poverty?
  22. Exactly. It just doesn't make any logical sense for someone to inject ped's into someone who doesn't want them. What is the end game? If they make it big, you are going to tell them, "surprise! I've been secretly injecting you with illegal and potentially dangerous drugs this whole time!" I can't imagine anyone is delusional enough to think that is going to end well. And good luck finding work after pulling a stunt like that. Really, the only explanation that makes any logical sense, is that Polanco wanted him to inject ped's. Not to say that nonsensical, illogical things never happen, so it's not 100%. But it's really, really close.
  23. But there aren't enough players in the world for every team to have 25 players that are good enough to play every day. If you are lucky enough to have the luxury of a bench player who is good enough to be an everyday player, you probably won't have that guy for long. He'll go somewhere where he can play everyday.
  24. Not really though. "I'm sorry for the situation, but it wasn't my fault", isn't really taking responsibility. "I screwed up. I have nobody to blame but myself. I'm human, I made a mistake. I'll never let it happen again, and will forever work to reestablish my character." That's what taking responsibility would sound like to me.
  25. But isn't it possible that the peer(s) he's cheating out of a job/ money are also from a poor nation? And as someone else said, he may have been dirt poor at one point, but he's not now. From his bonus and salaries, he's already made as much money as I'll make in my lifetime.
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