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Mr. Brooks

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Everything posted by Mr. Brooks

  1. Mr. Brooks
    Whoever said that clearly forgot about Dozier. Aside from him though, I'm not sure who else would even be a consideration. Definitely not any pitchers. You could make a case for Mauer, but that's only if you are going by this season only. I'd have to see him maintain this for a couple more months before I'd put him in the top 10.
  2. Mr. Brooks
    Correct. The Twins are actually the 9th oldest team in baseball, according to ESPN.
  3. Mr. Brooks
    Without doing actual research, I feel comfortable calling Pujols a top 15 hitter all time. At least during that 10 year peak that Chief posted. Congrats to him for achieving the 3k his milestone.
  4. Mr. Brooks
    Having promising pitchers in the system is not the same thing as having WS caliber starting pitching. We have no idea what those guys will do in the majors. Only Berrios is established, and despite flashes of the really good #2, fringe ace type that I think he can be, he's not there yet- which means he may never be. I'm thrilled that we have legitimate starting pitching prospects now. But until they pan out, this team is still in dire need of pitching at the mlb level, IMO.
  5. Mr. Brooks
    Dropping the ball isn't luck.
  6. Mr. Brooks
    His slider projects as a plus pitch. It's not there now. His change up is going to need a couple years, I'd guess, to become a viable third pitch. We also have no idea what his command is going to look like when he gets to the upper minors where guys don't swing at everything. His scouting reports suggest that his stuff has masked his command issues at rookie ball. I'd expect some speedbumps along the way. Finally, I'd assume the Twins want him to start until they think he can't. If you mean come up as a reliever, sure, he could probably do that next year some time. As a starter? I don't think so. He needs a third pitch if he's going to start in MLB. The major leagues aren't the place to develop a third pitch on the fly. Do you have any (recent) examples of non college startes going from rookie ball to MLB in less than two years? It just doesn't happen. Pitching in mlb is really hard, he's a very intriguing prospect, but I don't think he's anywhere near ready to pitch to big league hitters.
  7. Mr. Brooks
    What can the league do, realistically? If teams have data showing them that those things you suggest have a lower run expectancy, they aren't going to go back to the way things used to be.
  8. Mr. Brooks
    Luck is a much bigger factor in baseball than other sports. In baseball, you can hit a hard line drive, and it's right at someone. You can hit a 20 hopper that finds a way through the infield. There are really no comparisons to that in football or basketball. Hockey there is. It's also why you never see teams in baseball with equivalent winning or losing percentages that you would from the best and worst teams in football. In the NFL, it's common for the worst teams to go 1-15 or 2-14 (or even 0-16!). There just aren't enough ways for the worse team to overcome their talent discrepancy in football. A 2-14 equivalent in baseball would be about 21-141. And you'll never see that, no matter how bad the team is. All that said, the better team should still win 60% of the time in baseball. And, there are ways to build a team that can win in the regular season (when you face 3,4,5 pitchers 60% of the time), but stands very little realistic chance in the postseason, when you face 1's and 2's 80% of the time, and you rarely face 4's, and never 5's. So, while I completely agree with those saying baseball is very luck dependent (that's why they play so many games in the first place), I don't think it's quite accurate to say anyone can win if they get in. I think a few teams have almost no chance, and the rest have nearly equal chance, depending on how they are built.
  9. Mr. Brooks
    Expertly stated. Thanks.
  10. Mr. Brooks
    The US military spends about $700 million per year on print, digital, and tv advertising. It seems to me this is a much more efficient means of attracting recruits than a TV ad.
  11. Mr. Brooks
    Graterol has 2 starts above rookie ball. He has no chance of any MLB consideration next year, and a small chance of getting a look in 2020. Realistically, around this time 2021 is about the time we have a chance to see him debut.
  12. Mr. Brooks
    Same here. Two years ago, I didn't think Rosario would ever be a better than league average bat with his approach. I'm very happy to be proven wrong. Now, if only he could prove me wrong with his defense and baserunning. But, for now I'll accept those deficiencies if he's an .800+ OPS hitter.
  13. Mr. Brooks
    There is zero reason why Wade couldn't play every day on the MLB team, then go back down when Buxton gets back. Also, Buxton, Kepler and Rosario are all here at least 3 more years. What is his future here, if not 4th outfielder?
  14. Mr. Brooks
    And my point is that I feel Falvine already know that Hughes is done. Aside from that, I agree with you, he's not going anywhere. I'll add, Falvine are equally responsible if Hughes puts up negative 1.5 WAR, and the Twins miss the playoffs by one or two games. It's not like releasing him is the only side of the coin that carries risk. I'll also add that Falvine had nothing to do with the signing, which makes it easier to explain if that dreaded meeting with the owner that you describe ever comes, than it would if they had signed him, then later asked for permission to release him.
  15. Mr. Brooks
    Well by that token Wilson's milb stats aren't hurting the Twins either. He's as capable as any baseball player of going on a fluky, unsustainable hot streak at the plate. So if we're only allowed to judge each player based on their current snapshot at the mlb level, then why are you ripping Wilson's bat?
  16. Mr. Brooks
    Suzuki and Castro have identical career OPS. Haven't you been critical of Castro's bat?
  17. Mr. Brooks
    Almost every player you listed here either has been good somewhat recently, still have enough value to justify a roster spot - even if they are no longer worth their salary, or are playing for tanking teams- in which case their roster spot is not only meaningless, their poor performance is actually beneficial to their goal of gaining a high draft pick. Look, I agree that Hughes likely isn't going anywhere. But I don't agree that it's because Falvine think there is any kind of realistic chance he burns them. Nor do I think it's because they need to feel 100% sure he won't (again, that is impossible). I think it's because Pohlad isn't yet to the point where he's willing to accept it as a total loss.
  18. Mr. Brooks
    Then Wade should be in AAA. The standard defense when it's asked why he's not, is "it doesn't matter where he is, they can bring him up from AA."
  19. Mr. Brooks
    But we don't know if ownership has even made his release possible. For all we know, Falvine are willing to/ want to move on, despite not having a crystal ball, but ownership won't let them.
  20. Mr. Brooks
    But it's not possible to know that. You either hold on to him, or you let him go and take that risk. There are no crystal balls.
  21. Mr. Brooks
    To further your analogy, the stockbroker that spent 100k on a stock that crashed and burned has already been fired.
  22. Mr. Brooks
    If Falvine need to be 100% certain that a decision isn't going to backfire before they make it, then they have zero chance, zero, of winning a WS.
  23. Mr. Brooks
    Every team in baseball would like to have guys at C, SS, and CF that can hit. Unfortunately, there aren't enough that can to go around.
  24. Mr. Brooks
    That was an awesome first hand recollection of one of my favorite Twins memories. Thanks for the link.
  25. Mr. Brooks
    Santana isn't eligible to come off the DL until May 27th, and considering he's only thrown off a mound once (exclusively fastballs and changeups, no sliders), I'll be surprised if he's ready by then. That gives Romero a minimum 4 more starts.
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